Prediction Analysis

Prediction Analysis: Getafe vs Celta Vigo

Getafe vs Celta Vigo prediction based on recent form, head-to-head data, team performance and key match statistics.

Back to Predictions
La Liga 2025-05-24 19:00
Getafe
Home
Selected Prediction
Featured Pick
Over 2.5 Goals
Pick
Yes
Probability
46%
Confidence
Low
Score
1-1
Celta Vigo
Away

Prediction Summary

1
41%
X
27%
2
32%
Under 2.5
54%
BTTS Yes
51%
Confidence
Low

Market Evidence

Getafe (Home)

Goals scored / match0.79
Goals conceded / match1
Over 2.5 rate0%
BTTS rate47%

Celta Vigo (Away)

Goals scored / match1.42
Goals conceded / match1.89
Over 2.5 rate11%
BTTS rate74%

Team Form last 5 matches

Getafe
LWLLL
Celta Vigo
WLWWL

Goals Comparison rate per team

63% +0.5 89%
16% +1.5 42%
0% +2.5 11%
0% +3.5 0%
0% +4.5 0%
47% BTTS 74%

Model Insight

The selected market is Over 2.5 Goals with a probability of 46%. Model confidence is Low.

Getafe averages 0.79 goals scored at home, while Celta Vigo averages 1.42 goals scored away.

Model Strength
54%

Other Top Markets for This Match

Home Win
41%
Draw
27%
Away Win
32%
Over 2.5
46%
BTTS Yes
51%

Head-to-Head last 5

Feb 2026 Getafe 0 - 0 Celta Vigo Draw
Aug 2025 Getafe(A) 2 - 0 Celta Vigo Home
May 2025 Getafe 1 - 2 Celta Vigo Away
Nov 2024 Getafe(A) 0 - 1 Celta Vigo Away
Feb 2024 Getafe 3 - 2 Celta Vigo Home

In the last 5 meetings, Getafe won 2, drew 1 and lost 2.

Current Streaks

Getafe — unbeaten run (home)0
Getafe — scoring streak (home)1
Celta Vigo — winless run (away)0
Celta Vigo — clean sheets (away, last 5)1 of 5

1X2 Probability model

Getafe Win (1)41%
Draw (X)27%
Celta Vigo Win (2)32%

Goals Over rate per team, own matches

63% +0.5 89%
16% +1.5 42%
0% +2.5 11%
0% +3.5 0%
0% +4.5 0%

Goals Under rate per team, own matches

37% -0.5 11%
84% -1.5 58%
100% -2.5 89%
100% -3.5 100%
100% -4.5 100%

Getafe vs Celta Vigo — share of each team's own matches finishing above/below each goal line.

Goal Averages per Team

Getafe — scored (home)0.79
Getafe — conceded (home)1
Celta Vigo — scored (away)1.42
Celta Vigo — conceded (away)1.89
Model expected combined goals2.53

Both Teams To Score

Yes51%
No49%

Rate per Team

Getafe — BTTS matches (home)47%
Celta Vigo — BTTS matches (away)74%
Combined (simple average)60.5%

Corners Line match total, blended estimate

Over 4.590%
Under 4.510%
Over 5.576%
Under 5.524%
Over 6.561%
Under 6.539%
Over 7.540%
Under 7.560%
Over 8.527%
Under 8.573%
Over 9.519%
Under 9.581%
Over 10.514%
Under 10.586%
Expected total corners (blended average)7.40

Per-Team Corners own matches

Getafe (home)

Corners for3.6
Corners against3.2

Celta Vigo (away)

Corners for3.4
Corners against4.5

Recent Trend last 5 matches — total corners

Getafe
10 8 7 7 8
Celta Vigo
10 9 15 11 8

Yellow Cards Line match total, blended estimate

Over 0.598%
Under 0.52%
Over 1.595%
Under 1.55%
Over 2.587%
Under 2.513%
Expected total yellow cards (blended average)5.3

Yellow Cards per Team

Getafe (home)

For2.6

Celta Vigo (away)

For2.4

Shots per Game

Getafe — total shots (home)12.2
Celta Vigo — total shots (away)11.4

Shots on Target

Getafe — on target (home)3.5
Celta Vigo — on target (away)4.2

Shot Location Split avg per match, season

Getafe

Inside the box6.76
Outside the box4.68

Celta Vigo

Inside the box7.76
Outside the box4.11

Player Shots Getafe

Ramón Terrats
Shots on Target/Game1.8
+0.5 On Target33%
+1.5 On Target13%
Diego Rico
Shots on Target/Game1.5
+0.5 On Target6%
+1.5 On Target3%
B. Yıldırım
Shots on Target/Game1.4
+0.5 On Target23%
+1.5 On Target9%
A. Nyom
Shots on Target/Game1.3
+0.5 On Target15%
+1.5 On Target5%
M. Arambarri
Shots on Target/Game1.3
+0.5 On Target43%
+1.5 On Target9%

Player Shots Celta Vigo

T. Douvikas
Shots on Target/Game1.8
+0.5 On Target25%
+1.5 On Target10%
Borja Iglesias
Shots on Target/Game1.8
+0.5 On Target43%
+1.5 On Target22%
J. Bamba
Shots on Target/Game1.5
+0.5 On Target33%
+1.5 On Target17%
Iago Aspas
Shots on Target/Game1.4
+0.5 On Target57%
+1.5 On Target23%
Alfon González
Shots on Target/Game1.4
+0.5 On Target58%
+1.5 On Target19%

Probabilities are each player's own historical rate this season (minimum 3 matches played), not a joint match forecast.

Expected Goals (xG)

Getafe xG (home)0.98
Celta Vigo xG (away)1.44

Average Possession

41.24% Possession 53.71%

Team Comparison Getafe vs Celta Vigo

68.39% Pass accuracy 84.66%
293.32 Passes per match 517.95
0.19 Goals prevented -0.14
15.84 Fouls committed 12.16
2.5 Goalkeeper saves 2.42
2.37 Offsides 1.86
16.92 Tackles per match 14.68

League average xG this season is 1.29 per team per match, for context.

Disclaimer: these predictions are generated by a statistical model and do not constitute financial advice or a guarantee of outcome. Bet responsibly and only what you can afford to lose.
PRE-MATCH ANALYSIS

Getafe vs Celta Vigo prediction analysis

Review Getafe vs Celta Vigo with prediction probabilities, 1X2, Over 2.5, BTTS, team form, market signals and key performance data from La Liga.

1X2 Over 2.5 BTTS Recent form Team performance La Liga
DataHistorical results, fixtures and performance metrics
Markets1X2, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and trend indicators
AnalysisLeague, team, player and match-level insights
Scroll to Top