Prediction Analysis

Prediction Analysis: Getafe vs Espanyol

Getafe vs Espanyol prediction based on recent form, head-to-head data, team performance and key match statistics.

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La Liga 2024-12-09 20:00
Getafe
Home
Selected Prediction
Featured Pick
Over 2.5 Goals
Pick
Yes
Probability
37%
Confidence
Medium
Score
1-0
Espanyol
Away

Prediction Summary

1
65%
X
24%
2
12%
Under 2.5
63%
BTTS No
66%
Confidence
Medium

Market Evidence

Getafe (Home)

Goals scored / match0.79
Goals conceded / match1
Over 2.5 rate0%
BTTS rate47%

Espanyol (Away)

Goals scored / match0.89
Goals conceded / match1.63
Over 2.5 rate5%
BTTS rate47%

Team Form last 5 matches

Getafe
LWLLL
Espanyol
WLLLL

Goals Comparison rate per team

63% +0.5 63%
16% +1.5 16%
0% +2.5 5%
0% +3.5 5%
0% +4.5 0%
47% BTTS 47%

Model Insight

The selected market is Over 2.5 Goals with a probability of 37%. Model confidence is Medium.

Getafe averages 0.79 goals scored at home, while Espanyol averages 0.89 goals scored away.

Model Strength
66%

Other Top Markets for This Match

Home Win
65%
Draw
24%
Away Win
12%
Over 2.5
37%
BTTS Yes
34%

Head-to-Head last 5

Mar 2026 Getafe(A) 2 - 1 Espanyol Home
Dec 2025 Getafe 0 - 1 Espanyol Away
Apr 2025 Getafe(A) 0 - 1 Espanyol Away
Dec 2024 Getafe 1 - 0 Espanyol Home
Jan 2024 Getafe(A) 1 - 0 Espanyol Home

In the last 5 meetings, Getafe won 3, drew 0 and lost 2.

Current Streaks

Getafe — unbeaten run (home)0
Getafe — scoring streak (home)1
Espanyol — winless run (away)4
Espanyol — clean sheets (away, last 5)1 of 5

1X2 Probability model

Getafe Win (1)65%
Draw (X)24%
Espanyol Win (2)12%

Goals Over rate per team, own matches

63% +0.5 63%
16% +1.5 16%
0% +2.5 5%
0% +3.5 5%
0% +4.5 0%

Goals Under rate per team, own matches

37% -0.5 37%
84% -1.5 84%
100% -2.5 95%
100% -3.5 95%
100% -4.5 100%

Getafe vs Espanyol — share of each team's own matches finishing above/below each goal line.

Goal Averages per Team

Getafe — scored (home)0.79
Getafe — conceded (home)1
Espanyol — scored (away)0.89
Espanyol — conceded (away)1.63
Model expected combined goals2.19

Both Teams To Score

Yes34%
No66%

Rate per Team

Getafe — BTTS matches (home)47%
Espanyol — BTTS matches (away)47%
Combined (simple average)47%

Corners Line match total, blended estimate

Over 4.590%
Under 4.510%
Over 5.576%
Under 5.524%
Over 6.564%
Under 6.536%
Over 7.553%
Under 7.547%
Over 8.540%
Under 8.560%
Over 9.537%
Under 9.563%
Over 10.529%
Under 10.571%
Expected total corners (blended average)8.50

Per-Team Corners own matches

Getafe (home)

Corners for3.6
Corners against3.2

Espanyol (away)

Corners for3.5
Corners against6.5

Recent Trend last 5 matches — total corners

Getafe
10 8 7 7 8
Espanyol
10 11 6 14 9

Yellow Cards Line match total, blended estimate

Over 0.5100%
Under 0.50%
Over 1.598%
Under 1.52%
Over 2.584%
Under 2.516%
Expected total yellow cards (blended average)4.9

Yellow Cards per Team

Getafe (home)

For2.6

Espanyol (away)

For2.4

Shots per Game

Getafe — total shots (home)12.2
Espanyol — total shots (away)8.8

Shots on Target

Getafe — on target (home)3.5
Espanyol — on target (away)2.3

Shot Location Split avg per match, season

Getafe

Inside the box6.76
Outside the box4.68

Espanyol

Inside the box5.79
Outside the box3.58

Player Shots Getafe

Ramón Terrats
Shots on Target/Game1.8
+0.5 On Target33%
+1.5 On Target13%
Diego Rico
Shots on Target/Game1.5
+0.5 On Target6%
+1.5 On Target3%
B. Yıldırım
Shots on Target/Game1.4
+0.5 On Target23%
+1.5 On Target9%
A. Nyom
Shots on Target/Game1.3
+0.5 On Target15%
+1.5 On Target5%
M. Arambarri
Shots on Target/Game1.3
+0.5 On Target43%
+1.5 On Target9%

Player Shots Espanyol

Javi Puado
Shots on Target/Game1.5
+0.5 On Target46%
+1.5 On Target20%
Roberto Fernández
Shots on Target/Game1.3
+0.5 On Target37%
+1.5 On Target11%
A. Véliz
Shots on Target/Game1.2
+0.5 On Target19%
+1.5 On Target4%
Edu Expósito
Shots on Target/Game1.2
+0.5 On Target26%
+1.5 On Target5%
L. Cabrera
Shots on Target/Game1.2
+0.5 On Target15%
+1.5 On Target3%

Probabilities are each player's own historical rate this season (minimum 3 matches played), not a joint match forecast.

Expected Goals (xG)

Getafe xG (home)0.98
Espanyol xG (away)0.9

Average Possession

41.24% Possession 39.55%

Team Comparison Getafe vs Espanyol

68.39% Pass accuracy 76.58%
293.32 Passes per match 328.29
0.19 Goals prevented -0.04
15.84 Fouls committed 13.11
2.5 Goalkeeper saves 3.82
2.37 Offsides 1.74
16.92 Tackles per match 16.84

League average xG this season is 1.29 per team per match, for context.

Disclaimer: these predictions are generated by a statistical model and do not constitute financial advice or a guarantee of outcome. Bet responsibly and only what you can afford to lose.
PRE-MATCH ANALYSIS

Getafe vs Espanyol prediction analysis

Review Getafe vs Espanyol with prediction probabilities, 1X2, Over 2.5, BTTS, team form, market signals and key performance data from La Liga.

1X2 Over 2.5 BTTS Recent form Team performance La Liga
DataHistorical results, fixtures and performance metrics
Markets1X2, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and trend indicators
AnalysisLeague, team, player and match-level insights
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