Prediction Analysis

Prediction Analysis: Getafe vs Girona

Getafe vs Girona prediction based on recent form, head-to-head data, team performance and key match statistics.

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La Liga 2024-11-10 17:30
Getafe
Home
Selected Prediction
Featured Pick
Over 2.5 Goals
Pick
Yes
Probability
23%
Confidence
High
Score
1-0
Girona
Away

Prediction Summary

1
47%
X
33%
2
20%
Under 2.5
77%
BTTS No
71%
Confidence
High

Market Evidence

Getafe (Home)

Goals scored / match0.79
Goals conceded / match1
Over 2.5 rate0%
BTTS rate47%

Girona (Away)

Goals scored / match0.89
Goals conceded / match1.58
Over 2.5 rate0%
BTTS rate53%

Team Form last 5 matches

Getafe
LWLLL
Girona
LLWLW

Goals Comparison rate per team

63% +0.5 74%
16% +1.5 16%
0% +2.5 0%
0% +3.5 0%
0% +4.5 0%
47% BTTS 53%

Model Insight

The selected market is Over 2.5 Goals with a probability of 23%. Model confidence is High.

Getafe averages 0.79 goals scored at home, while Girona averages 0.89 goals scored away.

Model Strength
77%

Other Top Markets for This Match

Home Win
47%
Draw
33%
Away Win
20%
Over 2.5
23%
BTTS Yes
29%

Head-to-Head last 5

Jan 2026 Getafe(A) 1 - 1 Girona Draw
Oct 2025 Getafe 2 - 1 Girona Home
Feb 2025 Getafe(A) 2 - 1 Girona Home
Nov 2024 Getafe 0 - 1 Girona Away
Mar 2024 Getafe 1 - 0 Girona Home

In the last 5 meetings, Getafe won 3, drew 1 and lost 1.

Current Streaks

Getafe — unbeaten run (home)0
Getafe — scoring streak (home)1
Girona — winless run (away)1
Girona — clean sheets (away, last 5)1 of 5

1X2 Probability model

Getafe Win (1)47%
Draw (X)33%
Girona Win (2)20%

Goals Over rate per team, own matches

63% +0.5 74%
16% +1.5 16%
0% +2.5 0%
0% +3.5 0%
0% +4.5 0%

Goals Under rate per team, own matches

37% -0.5 26%
84% -1.5 84%
100% -2.5 100%
100% -3.5 100%
100% -4.5 100%

Getafe vs Girona — share of each team's own matches finishing above/below each goal line.

Goal Averages per Team

Getafe — scored (home)0.79
Getafe — conceded (home)1
Girona — scored (away)0.89
Girona — conceded (away)1.58
Model expected combined goals1.67

Both Teams To Score

Yes29%
No71%

Rate per Team

Getafe — BTTS matches (home)47%
Girona — BTTS matches (away)53%
Combined (simple average)50%

Corners Line match total, blended estimate

Over 4.592%
Under 4.58%
Over 5.579%
Under 5.521%
Over 6.569%
Under 6.531%
Over 7.558%
Under 7.542%
Over 8.537%
Under 8.563%
Over 9.529%
Under 9.571%
Over 10.522%
Under 10.578%
Expected total corners (blended average)8.20

Per-Team Corners own matches

Getafe (home)

Corners for3.6
Corners against3.2

Girona (away)

Corners for4.2
Corners against5.3

Recent Trend last 5 matches — total corners

Getafe
10 8 7 7 8
Girona
7 8 10 11 9

Yellow Cards Line match total, blended estimate

Over 0.598%
Under 0.52%
Over 1.590%
Under 1.510%
Over 2.579%
Under 2.521%
Expected total yellow cards (blended average)5

Yellow Cards per Team

Getafe (home)

For2.6

Girona (away)

For2.4

Shots per Game

Getafe — total shots (home)12.2
Girona — total shots (away)9.7

Shots on Target

Getafe — on target (home)3.5
Girona — on target (away)3.4

Shot Location Split avg per match, season

Getafe

Inside the box6.76
Outside the box4.68

Girona

Inside the box7.03
Outside the box3.55

Player Shots Getafe

Ramón Terrats
Shots on Target/Game1.8
+0.5 On Target33%
+1.5 On Target13%
Diego Rico
Shots on Target/Game1.5
+0.5 On Target6%
+1.5 On Target3%
B. Yıldırım
Shots on Target/Game1.4
+0.5 On Target23%
+1.5 On Target9%
A. Nyom
Shots on Target/Game1.3
+0.5 On Target15%
+1.5 On Target5%
M. Arambarri
Shots on Target/Game1.3
+0.5 On Target43%
+1.5 On Target9%

Player Shots Girona

Abel Ruiz
Shots on Target/Game1.5
+0.5 On Target26%
+1.5 On Target13%
Iván Martín
Shots on Target/Game1.5
+0.5 On Target6%
+1.5 On Target3%
David López
Shots on Target/Game1.5
+0.5 On Target7%
+1.5 On Target3%
Y. Herrera
Shots on Target/Game1.4
+0.5 On Target34%
+1.5 On Target14%
B. Miovski
Shots on Target/Game1.3
+0.5 On Target18%
+1.5 On Target6%

Probabilities are each player's own historical rate this season (minimum 3 matches played), not a joint match forecast.

Expected Goals (xG)

Getafe xG (home)0.98
Girona xG (away)1.13

Average Possession

41.24% Possession 56.47%

Team Comparison Getafe vs Girona

68.39% Pass accuracy 87.37%
293.32 Passes per match 517.42
0.19 Goals prevented -0.2
15.84 Fouls committed 11.5
2.5 Goalkeeper saves 2.86
2.37 Offsides 2.14
16.92 Tackles per match 14.92

League average xG this season is 1.29 per team per match, for context.

Disclaimer: these predictions are generated by a statistical model and do not constitute financial advice or a guarantee of outcome. Bet responsibly and only what you can afford to lose.
PRE-MATCH ANALYSIS

Getafe vs Girona prediction analysis

Review Getafe vs Girona with prediction probabilities, 1X2, Over 2.5, BTTS, team form, market signals and key performance data from La Liga.

1X2 Over 2.5 BTTS Recent form Team performance La Liga
DataHistorical results, fixtures and performance metrics
Markets1X2, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and trend indicators
AnalysisLeague, team, player and match-level insights
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