Prediction Analysis

Prediction Analysis: Getafe vs Las Palmas

Getafe vs Las Palmas prediction based on recent form, head-to-head data, team performance and key match statistics.

Back to Predictions
La Liga 2025-04-12 14:15
Getafe
Home
Selected Prediction
Featured Pick
Over 2.5 Goals
Pick
Yes
Probability
39%
Confidence
Medium
Score
1-0
Las Palmas
Away

Prediction Summary

1
47%
X
28%
2
25%
Under 2.5
61%
BTTS No
56%
Confidence
Medium

Market Evidence

Getafe (Home)

Goals scored / match0.79
Goals conceded / match1
Over 2.5 rate0%
BTTS rate47%

Las Palmas (Away)

Goals scored / match1
Goals conceded / match1.68
Over 2.5 rate16%
BTTS rate63%

Team Form last 5 matches

Getafe
LWLLL
Las Palmas
LLLLL

Goals Comparison rate per team

63% +0.5 63%
16% +1.5 21%
0% +2.5 16%
0% +3.5 0%
0% +4.5 0%
47% BTTS 63%

Model Insight

The selected market is Over 2.5 Goals with a probability of 39%. Model confidence is Medium.

Getafe averages 0.79 goals scored at home, while Las Palmas averages 1 goals scored away.

Model Strength
61%

Other Top Markets for This Match

Home Win
47%
Draw
28%
Away Win
25%
Over 2.5
39%
BTTS Yes
44%

Head-to-Head last 4

Apr 2025 Getafe 1 - 3 Las Palmas Away
Jan 2025 Getafe(A) 2 - 1 Las Palmas Home
Mar 2024 Getafe 3 - 3 Las Palmas Draw
Dec 2023 Getafe(A) 0 - 2 Las Palmas Away

In the last 4 meetings, Getafe won 1, drew 1 and lost 2.

Current Streaks

Getafe — unbeaten run (home)0
Getafe — scoring streak (home)1
Las Palmas — winless run (away)3
Las Palmas — clean sheets (away, last 5)0 of 5

1X2 Probability model

Getafe Win (1)47%
Draw (X)28%
Las Palmas Win (2)25%

Goals Over rate per team, own matches

63% +0.5 63%
16% +1.5 21%
0% +2.5 16%
0% +3.5 0%
0% +4.5 0%

Goals Under rate per team, own matches

37% -0.5 37%
84% -1.5 79%
100% -2.5 84%
100% -3.5 100%
100% -4.5 100%

Getafe vs Las Palmas — share of each team's own matches finishing above/below each goal line.

Goal Averages per Team

Getafe — scored (home)0.79
Getafe — conceded (home)1
Las Palmas — scored (away)1
Las Palmas — conceded (away)1.68
Model expected combined goals2.23

Both Teams To Score

Yes44%
No56%

Rate per Team

Getafe — BTTS matches (home)47%
Las Palmas — BTTS matches (away)63%
Combined (simple average)55%

Corners Line match total, blended estimate

Over 4.592%
Under 4.58%
Over 5.576%
Under 5.524%
Over 6.561%
Under 6.539%
Over 7.550%
Under 7.550%
Over 8.537%
Under 8.563%
Over 9.535%
Under 9.565%
Over 10.524%
Under 10.576%
Expected total corners (blended average)8.30

Per-Team Corners own matches

Getafe (home)

Corners for3.6
Corners against3.2

Las Palmas (away)

Corners for3.2
Corners against6.5

Recent Trend last 5 matches — total corners

Getafe
10 8 7 7 8
Las Palmas
14 16 6 11 9

Yellow Cards Line match total, blended estimate

Over 0.598%
Under 0.52%
Over 1.592%
Under 1.58%
Over 2.579%
Under 2.521%
Expected total yellow cards (blended average)5.1

Yellow Cards per Team

Getafe (home)

For2.6

Las Palmas (away)

For3.1

Shots per Game

Getafe — total shots (home)12.2
Las Palmas — total shots (away)8.5

Shots on Target

Getafe — on target (home)3.5
Las Palmas — on target (away)3.4

Shot Location Split avg per match, season

Getafe

Inside the box6.76
Outside the box4.68

Las Palmas

Inside the box6.5
Outside the box4.37

Player Shots Getafe

Ramón Terrats
Shots on Target/Game1.8
+0.5 On Target33%
+1.5 On Target13%
Diego Rico
Shots on Target/Game1.5
+0.5 On Target6%
+1.5 On Target3%
B. Yıldırım
Shots on Target/Game1.4
+0.5 On Target23%
+1.5 On Target9%
A. Nyom
Shots on Target/Game1.3
+0.5 On Target15%
+1.5 On Target5%
M. Arambarri
Shots on Target/Game1.3
+0.5 On Target43%
+1.5 On Target9%

Player Shots Las Palmas

Alberto Moleiro
Shots on Target/Game1.5
+0.5 On Target46%
+1.5 On Target14%
Sandro Ramírez
Shots on Target/Game1.5
+0.5 On Target45%
+1.5 On Target13%
O. McBurnie
Shots on Target/Game1.3
+0.5 On Target29%
+1.5 On Target9%
Kirian Rodríguez
Shots on Target/Game1.3
+0.5 On Target33%
+1.5 On Target10%
Álex Muñoz
Shots on Target/Game1.3
+0.5 On Target19%
+1.5 On Target5%

Probabilities are each player's own historical rate this season (minimum 3 matches played), not a joint match forecast.

Expected Goals (xG)

Getafe xG (home)0.98
Las Palmas xG (away)0.94

Average Possession

41.24% Possession 50.95%

Team Comparison Getafe vs Las Palmas

68.39% Pass accuracy 80.18%
293.32 Passes per match 434.03
0.19 Goals prevented 0.08
15.84 Fouls committed 11.89
2.5 Goalkeeper saves 3.37
2.37 Offsides 1.55
16.92 Tackles per match 16.26

League average xG this season is 1.29 per team per match, for context.

Disclaimer: these predictions are generated by a statistical model and do not constitute financial advice or a guarantee of outcome. Bet responsibly and only what you can afford to lose.
PRE-MATCH ANALYSIS

Getafe vs Las Palmas prediction analysis

Review Getafe vs Las Palmas with prediction probabilities, 1X2, Over 2.5, BTTS, team form, market signals and key performance data from La Liga.

1X2 Over 2.5 BTTS Recent form Team performance La Liga
DataHistorical results, fixtures and performance metrics
Markets1X2, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and trend indicators
AnalysisLeague, team, player and match-level insights
Scroll to Top