Prediction Analysis

Prediction Analysis: Getafe vs Real Sociedad

Getafe vs Real Sociedad prediction based on recent form, head-to-head data, team performance and key match statistics.

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La Liga 2026-01-09 20:00
Getafe
Home
Selected Prediction
Featured Pick
Over 2.5 Goals
Pick
Yes
Probability
32%
Confidence
Medium
Score
1-0
Real Sociedad
Away

Prediction Summary

1
41%
X
31%
2
29%
Under 2.5
68%
BTTS No
61%
Confidence
Medium

Market Evidence

Getafe (Home)

Goals scored / match0.95
Goals conceded / match0.84
Over 2.5 rate5%
BTTS rate32%

Real Sociedad (Away)

Goals scored / match1.16
Goals conceded / match1.58
Over 2.5 rate11%
BTTS rate79%

Team Form last 5 matches

Getafe
WLWDL
Real Sociedad
DLDDL

Goals Comparison rate per team

58% +0.5 84%
32% +1.5 21%
5% +2.5 11%
0% +3.5 0%
0% +4.5 0%
32% BTTS 79%

Model Insight

The selected market is Over 2.5 Goals with a probability of 32%. Model confidence is Medium.

Getafe averages 0.95 goals scored at home, while Real Sociedad averages 1.16 goals scored away.

Model Strength
68%

Other Top Markets for This Match

Home Win
41%
Draw
31%
Away Win
29%
Over 2.5
32%
BTTS Yes
39%

Head-to-Head last 5

Apr 2026 Getafe(A) 1 - 0 Real Sociedad Home
Jan 2026 Getafe 1 - 2 Real Sociedad Away
Jan 2025 Getafe(A) 3 - 0 Real Sociedad Home
Sep 2024 Getafe 0 - 0 Real Sociedad Draw
Apr 2024 Getafe 1 - 1 Real Sociedad Draw

In the last 5 meetings, Getafe won 2, drew 2 and lost 1.

Current Streaks

Getafe — unbeaten run (home)2
Getafe — scoring streak (home)2
Real Sociedad — winless run (away)6
Real Sociedad — clean sheets (away, last 5)0 of 5

1X2 Probability model

Getafe Win (1)41%
Draw (X)31%
Real Sociedad Win (2)29%

Goals Over rate per team, own matches

58% +0.5 84%
32% +1.5 21%
5% +2.5 11%
0% +3.5 0%
0% +4.5 0%

Goals Under rate per team, own matches

42% -0.5 16%
68% -1.5 79%
95% -2.5 89%
100% -3.5 100%
100% -4.5 100%

Getafe vs Real Sociedad — share of each team's own matches finishing above/below each goal line.

Goal Averages per Team

Getafe — scored (home)0.95
Getafe — conceded (home)0.84
Real Sociedad — scored (away)1.16
Real Sociedad — conceded (away)1.58
Model expected combined goals1.98

Both Teams To Score

Yes39%
No61%

Rate per Team

Getafe — BTTS matches (home)32%
Real Sociedad — BTTS matches (away)79%
Combined (simple average)55.5%

Corners Line match total, blended estimate

Over 4.595%
Under 4.55%
Over 5.590%
Under 5.510%
Over 6.574%
Under 6.526%
Over 7.566%
Under 7.534%
Over 8.553%
Under 8.547%
Over 9.537%
Under 9.563%
Over 10.527%
Under 10.573%
Expected total corners (blended average)8.90

Per-Team Corners own matches

Getafe (home)

Corners for4.2
Corners against3.8

Real Sociedad (away)

Corners for5.2
Corners against4.5

Recent Trend last 5 matches — total corners

Getafe
5 10 6 4 6
Real Sociedad
6 7 9 5 8

Yellow Cards Line match total, blended estimate

Over 0.5100%
Under 0.50%
Over 1.5100%
Under 1.50%
Over 2.587%
Under 2.513%
Expected total yellow cards (blended average)4.8

Yellow Cards per Team

Getafe (home)

For2.4

Real Sociedad (away)

For2.5

Shots per Game

Getafe — total shots (home)8.9
Real Sociedad — total shots (away)11.7

Shots on Target

Getafe — on target (home)2.9
Real Sociedad — on target (away)4.3

Shot Location Split avg per match, season

Getafe

Inside the box5.58
Outside the box3.66

Real Sociedad

Inside the box7.61
Outside the box4.74

Player Shots Getafe

M. Satriano
Shots on Target/Game0.8
+0.5 On Target61%
+1.5 On Target17%
L. Vázquez
Shots on Target/Game0.5
+0.5 On Target41%
+1.5 On Target12%
M. Arambarri
Shots on Target/Game0.5
+0.5 On Target43%
+1.5 On Target8%
Borja Mayoral
Shots on Target/Game0.4
+0.5 On Target44%
+1.5 On Target0%
Adrian Liso
Shots on Target/Game0.4
+0.5 On Target29%
+1.5 On Target4%

Player Shots Real Sociedad

Mikel Oyarzabal
Shots on Target/Game1.1
+0.5 On Target71%
+1.5 On Target29%
O. Óskarsson
Shots on Target/Game1
+0.5 On Target55%
+1.5 On Target30%
Carlos Soler
Shots on Target/Game0.6
+0.5 On Target48%
+1.5 On Target9%
Gonçalo Guedes
Shots on Target/Game0.6
+0.5 On Target34%
+1.5 On Target19%
Brais Méndez
Shots on Target/Game0.6
+0.5 On Target48%
+1.5 On Target7%

Probabilities are each player's own historical rate this season (minimum 3 matches played), not a joint match forecast.

Expected Goals (xG)

Getafe xG (home)0.79
Real Sociedad xG (away)1.41

Average Possession

40.08% Possession 51.26%

Team Comparison Getafe vs Real Sociedad

68.08% Pass accuracy 82.18%
286.84 Passes per match 448.13
0.08 Goals prevented -0.08
15.21 Fouls committed 14.24
3.11 Goalkeeper saves 2.79
2.39 Offsides 2.43
18.05 Tackles per match 17.87

League average xG this season is 1.35 per team per match, for context.

Disclaimer: these predictions are generated by a statistical model and do not constitute financial advice or a guarantee of outcome. Bet responsibly and only what you can afford to lose.
PRE-MATCH ANALYSIS

Getafe vs Real Sociedad prediction analysis

Review Getafe vs Real Sociedad with prediction probabilities, 1X2, Over 2.5, BTTS, team form, market signals and key performance data from La Liga.

1X2 Over 2.5 BTTS Recent form Team performance La Liga
DataHistorical results, fixtures and performance metrics
Markets1X2, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and trend indicators
AnalysisLeague, team, player and match-level insights
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