Prediction Analysis

Prediction Analysis: Getafe vs Valladolid

Getafe vs Valladolid prediction based on recent form, head-to-head data, team performance and key match statistics.

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La Liga 2024-11-22 20:00
Getafe
Home
Selected Prediction
Featured Pick
Over 2.5 Goals
Pick
Yes
Probability
47%
Confidence
Medium
Score
1-0
Valladolid
Away

Prediction Summary

1
65%
X
22%
2
13%
Under 2.5
53%
BTTS No
57%
Confidence
Medium

Market Evidence

Getafe (Home)

Goals scored / match0.79
Goals conceded / match1
Over 2.5 rate0%
BTTS rate47%

Valladolid (Away)

Goals scored / match0.79
Goals conceded / match3.05
Over 2.5 rate5%
BTTS rate63%

Team Form last 5 matches

Getafe
LWLLL
Valladolid
LLLLL

Goals Comparison rate per team

63% +0.5 63%
16% +1.5 11%
0% +2.5 5%
0% +3.5 0%
0% +4.5 0%
47% BTTS 63%

Model Insight

The selected market is Over 2.5 Goals with a probability of 47%. Model confidence is Medium.

Getafe averages 0.79 goals scored at home, while Valladolid averages 0.79 goals scored away.

Model Strength
65%

Other Top Markets for This Match

Home Win
65%
Draw
22%
Away Win
13%
Over 2.5
47%
BTTS Yes
43%

Head-to-Head last 5

Jul 2026 Getafe(A) 0 - 0 Valladolid Draw
Apr 2025 Getafe(A) 4 - 0 Valladolid Home
Nov 2024 Getafe 2 - 0 Valladolid Home
Jun 2023 Getafe(A) 0 - 0 Valladolid Draw
Oct 2022 Getafe 2 - 3 Valladolid Away

In the last 5 meetings, Getafe won 2, drew 2 and lost 1.

Current Streaks

Getafe — unbeaten run (home)0
Getafe — scoring streak (home)1
Valladolid — winless run (away)14
Valladolid — clean sheets (away, last 5)0 of 5

1X2 Probability model

Getafe Win (1)65%
Draw (X)22%
Valladolid Win (2)13%

Goals Over rate per team, own matches

63% +0.5 63%
16% +1.5 11%
0% +2.5 5%
0% +3.5 0%
0% +4.5 0%

Goals Under rate per team, own matches

37% -0.5 37%
84% -1.5 89%
100% -2.5 95%
100% -3.5 100%
100% -4.5 100%

Getafe vs Valladolid — share of each team's own matches finishing above/below each goal line.

Goal Averages per Team

Getafe — scored (home)0.79
Getafe — conceded (home)1
Valladolid — scored (away)0.79
Valladolid — conceded (away)3.05
Model expected combined goals2.56

Both Teams To Score

Yes43%
No57%

Rate per Team

Getafe — BTTS matches (home)47%
Valladolid — BTTS matches (away)63%
Combined (simple average)55%

Corners Line match total, blended estimate

Over 4.592%
Under 4.58%
Over 5.579%
Under 5.521%
Over 6.566%
Under 6.534%
Over 7.556%
Under 7.544%
Over 8.535%
Under 8.565%
Over 9.524%
Under 9.576%
Over 10.514%
Under 10.586%
Expected total corners (blended average)7.80

Per-Team Corners own matches

Getafe (home)

Corners for3.6
Corners against3.2

Valladolid (away)

Corners for3.9
Corners against4.7

Recent Trend last 5 matches — total corners

Getafe
10 8 7 7 8
Valladolid
12 15 10 14 7

Yellow Cards Line match total, blended estimate

Over 0.5100%
Under 0.50%
Over 1.592%
Under 1.58%
Over 2.582%
Under 2.518%
Expected total yellow cards (blended average)5

Yellow Cards per Team

Getafe (home)

For2.6

Valladolid (away)

For2.3

Shots per Game

Getafe — total shots (home)12.2
Valladolid — total shots (away)8.1

Shots on Target

Getafe — on target (home)3.5
Valladolid — on target (away)3.0

Shot Location Split avg per match, season

Getafe

Inside the box6.76
Outside the box4.68

Valladolid

Inside the box5.66
Outside the box3.18

Player Shots Getafe

Ramón Terrats
Shots on Target/Game1.8
+0.5 On Target33%
+1.5 On Target13%
Diego Rico
Shots on Target/Game1.5
+0.5 On Target6%
+1.5 On Target3%
B. Yıldırım
Shots on Target/Game1.4
+0.5 On Target23%
+1.5 On Target9%
A. Nyom
Shots on Target/Game1.3
+0.5 On Target15%
+1.5 On Target5%
M. Arambarri
Shots on Target/Game1.3
+0.5 On Target43%
+1.5 On Target9%

Player Shots Valladolid

Juanmi Latasa
Shots on Target/Game1.4
+0.5 On Target32%
+1.5 On Target11%
Chuky San José
Shots on Target/Game1.4
+0.5 On Target28%
+1.5 On Target11%
S. Amallah
Shots on Target/Game1.3
+0.5 On Target25%
+1.5 On Target8%
Mario Martín
Shots on Target/Game1.3
+0.5 On Target33%
+1.5 On Target10%
Kike Pérez
Shots on Target/Game1.3
+0.5 On Target21%
+1.5 On Target5%

Probabilities are each player's own historical rate this season (minimum 3 matches played), not a joint match forecast.

Expected Goals (xG)

Getafe xG (home)0.98
Valladolid xG (away)0.91

Average Possession

41.24% Possession 42.63%

Team Comparison Getafe vs Valladolid

68.39% Pass accuracy 79.47%
293.32 Passes per match 364.5
0.19 Goals prevented -0.4
15.84 Fouls committed 12.05
2.5 Goalkeeper saves 3.05
2.37 Offsides 1.76
16.92 Tackles per match 15.89

League average xG this season is 1.29 per team per match, for context.

Disclaimer: these predictions are generated by a statistical model and do not constitute financial advice or a guarantee of outcome. Bet responsibly and only what you can afford to lose.
PRE-MATCH ANALYSIS

Getafe vs Valladolid prediction analysis

Review Getafe vs Valladolid with prediction probabilities, 1X2, Over 2.5, BTTS, team form, market signals and key performance data from La Liga.

1X2 Over 2.5 BTTS Recent form Team performance La Liga
DataHistorical results, fixtures and performance metrics
Markets1X2, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and trend indicators
AnalysisLeague, team, player and match-level insights
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