What markets are included in the GIL Vicente vs Arouca prediction?

GoalStatsLab may analyze 1X2 outcome probabilities, Over/Under 2.5 goals, Both Teams To Score, corners and cards where enough match data is available.

How is the GIL Vicente vs Arouca prediction calculated?

The prediction is based on available football data such as recent form, goals scored and conceded, home and away performance, league trends and selected market probabilities.

Are football predictions guaranteed?

No. Football predictions are statistical estimates and should be used for analysis, not as guaranteed betting outcomes or financial advice.

Prediction Analysis: GIL Vicente vs Arouca

GIL Vicente vs Arouca prediction based on recent form, head-to-head data, team performance and key match statistics.

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Primeira Liga 2025-05-10 19:30

GIL Vicente

Home

Selected Prediction

Featured Pick

Over 2.5 Goals

Pick

Yes

Probability

47%

Confidence

Low

Score

1-1

Arouca

Away

Prediction Summary

44%

26%

30%

Under 2.5

53%

BTTS Yes

51%

Confidence

Low

Market Evidence

GIL Vicente (Home)

Goals scored / match1.06

Goals conceded / match1.12

Over 2.5 rate18%

BTTS rate47%

Arouca (Away)

Goals scored / match1.12

Goals conceded / match1.76

Over 2.5 rate6%

BTTS rate65%

Team Form last 5 matches

GIL Vicente

DDLWW

Arouca

WDDLW

Goals Comparison rate per team

59% +0.5 76%

24% +1.5 29%

18% +2.5 6%

6% +3.5 0%

0% +4.5 0%

47% BTTS 65%

Model Insight

The selected market is Over 2.5 Goals with a probability of 47%. Model confidence is Low.

GIL Vicente averages 1.06 goals scored at home, while Arouca averages 1.12 goals scored away.

Model Strength

53%

Other Top Markets for This Match

Home Win

44%

Draw

26%

Away Win

30%

Over 2.5

47%

BTTS Yes

51%

Head-to-Head last 5

May 2026 GIL Vicente 1 - 3 Arouca Away

Dec 2025 GIL Vicente(A) 2 - 2 Arouca Draw

May 2025 GIL Vicente 1 - 1 Arouca Draw

Dec 2024 GIL Vicente(A) 1 - 1 Arouca Draw

Apr 2024 GIL Vicente 2 - 2 Arouca Draw

In the last 5 meetings, GIL Vicente won 0, drew 4 and lost 1.

Current Streaks

GIL Vicente — unbeaten run (home)2

GIL Vicente — scoring streak (home)2

Arouca — winless run (away)4

Arouca — clean sheets (away, last 5)1 of 5

1X2 Probability model

GIL Vicente Win (1)44%

Draw (X)26%

Arouca Win (2)30%

Goals Over rate per team, own matches

59% +0.5 76%

24% +1.5 29%

18% +2.5 6%

6% +3.5 0%

0% +4.5 0%

Goals Under rate per team, own matches

41% -0.5 24%

76% -1.5 71%

82% -2.5 94%

94% -3.5 100%

100% -4.5 100%

GIL Vicente vs Arouca — share of each team's own matches finishing above/below each goal line.

Goal Averages per Team

GIL Vicente — scored (home)1.06

GIL Vicente — conceded (home)1.12

Arouca — scored (away)1.12

Arouca — conceded (away)1.76

Model expected combined goals2.56

Both Teams To Score

Yes51%

No49%

Rate per Team

GIL Vicente — BTTS matches (home)47%

Arouca — BTTS matches (away)65%

Combined (simple average)56%

Corners Line match total, blended estimate

Over 4.5100%

Under 4.50%

Over 5.585%

Under 5.515%

Over 6.574%

Under 6.526%

Over 7.565%

Under 7.535%

Over 8.550%

Under 8.550%

Over 9.541%

Under 9.559%

Over 10.536%

Under 10.564%

Expected total corners (blended average)9.60

Per-Team Corners own matches

GIL Vicente (home)

Corners for4.3

Corners against4.0

Arouca (away)

Corners for5.2

Corners against5.7

Recent Trend last 5 matches — total corners

GIL Vicente

9 5 11 5 13

Arouca

8 8 5 5 13

Yellow Cards Line match total, blended estimate

Over 0.5100%

Under 0.50%

Over 1.597%

Under 1.53%

Over 2.594%

Under 2.56%

Expected total yellow cards (blended average)5.3

Yellow Cards per Team

GIL Vicente (home)

For2.2

Arouca (away)

For2.9

Shots per Game

GIL Vicente — total shots (home)11.4

Arouca — total shots (away)11.8

Shots on Target

GIL Vicente — on target (home)3.4

Arouca — on target (away)4.0

Shot Location Split avg per match, season

GIL Vicente

Inside the box6.09

Outside the box3.53

Arouca

Inside the box6.5

Outside the box5.21

Player Shots GIL Vicente

Pablo

Shots on Target/Game2

+0.5 On Target20%

+1.5 On Target5%

A. Bamba

Shots on Target/Game2

+0.5 On Target18%

+1.5 On Target9%

K. Fujimoto

Shots on Target/Game1.6

+0.5 On Target27%

+1.5 On Target13%

T. Touré

Shots on Target/Game1.5

+0.5 On Target24%

+1.5 On Target8%

Félix Correia

Shots on Target/Game1.4

+0.5 On Target36%

+1.5 On Target12%

Player Shots Arouca

V. Morozov

Shots on Target/Game2

+0.5 On Target18%

+1.5 On Target18%

D. Nandín

Shots on Target/Game1.5

+0.5 On Target40%

+1.5 On Target13%

Ivo Rodrigues

Shots on Target/Game1.5

+0.5 On Target18%

+1.5 On Target9%

Jason

Shots on Target/Game1.5

+0.5 On Target41%

+1.5 On Target16%

Pablo Gozálbez

Shots on Target/Game1.4

+0.5 On Target29%

+1.5 On Target12%

Probabilities are each player's own historical rate this season (minimum 3 matches played), not a joint match forecast.

Expected Goals (xG)

GIL Vicente xG (home)0.94

Arouca xG (away)1.15

Average Possession

50.85% Possession 52.59%

Team Comparison GIL Vicente vs Arouca

81.62% Pass accuracy 80.94%

437.18 Passes per match 421.68

-0.1 Goals prevented -0.03

11.62 Fouls committed 14.65

2.71 Goalkeeper saves 2.82

1.53 Offsides 1.88

15.71 Tackles per match 16.32

League average xG this season is 1.21 per team per match, for context.

Disclaimer: these predictions are generated by a statistical model and do not constitute financial advice or a guarantee of outcome. Bet responsibly and only what you can afford to lose.

PRE-MATCH ANALYSIS

GIL Vicente vs Arouca prediction analysis

Review GIL Vicente vs Arouca with prediction probabilities, 1X2, Over 2.5, BTTS, team form, market signals and key performance data from Primeira Liga.

1X2 Over 2.5 BTTS Recent form Team performance Primeira Liga

DataHistorical results, fixtures and performance metrics

Markets1X2, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and trend indicators

AnalysisLeague, team, player and match-level insights