Prediction Analysis

Prediction Analysis: GIL Vicente vs AVS

GIL Vicente vs AVS prediction based on recent form, head-to-head data, team performance and key match statistics.

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Primeira Liga 2024-08-16 19:15
GIL Vicente
Home
Selected Prediction
Featured Pick
Over 2.5 Goals
Pick
Yes
Probability
45%
Confidence
Low
Score
1-0
AVS
Away

Prediction Summary

1
51%
X
26%
2
23%
Under 2.5
55%
BTTS No
52%
Confidence
Low

Market Evidence

GIL Vicente (Home)

Goals scored / match1.06
Goals conceded / match1.12
Over 2.5 rate18%
BTTS rate47%

AVS (Away)

Goals scored / match0.78
Goals conceded / match2
Over 2.5 rate0%
BTTS rate56%

Team Form last 5 matches

GIL Vicente
DDLWW
AVS
DWLWL

Goals Comparison rate per team

59% +0.5 67%
24% +1.5 11%
18% +2.5 0%
6% +3.5 0%
0% +4.5 0%
47% BTTS 56%

Model Insight

The selected market is Over 2.5 Goals with a probability of 45%. Model confidence is Low.

GIL Vicente averages 1.06 goals scored at home, while AVS averages 0.78 goals scored away.

Model Strength
55%

Other Top Markets for This Match

Home Win
51%
Draw
26%
Away Win
23%
Over 2.5
45%
BTTS Yes
48%

Head-to-Head last 4

Apr 2026 GIL Vicente 3 - 0 AVS Home
Nov 2025 GIL Vicente(A) 1 - 1 AVS Draw
Jan 2025 GIL Vicente(A) 0 - 1 AVS Away
Aug 2024 GIL Vicente 4 - 2 AVS Home

In the last 4 meetings, GIL Vicente won 2, drew 1 and lost 1.

Current Streaks

GIL Vicente — unbeaten run (home)2
GIL Vicente — scoring streak (home)2
AVS — winless run (away)1
AVS — clean sheets (away, last 5)1 of 5

1X2 Probability model

GIL Vicente Win (1)51%
Draw (X)26%
AVS Win (2)23%

Goals Over rate per team, own matches

59% +0.5 67%
24% +1.5 11%
18% +2.5 0%
6% +3.5 0%
0% +4.5 0%

Goals Under rate per team, own matches

41% -0.5 33%
76% -1.5 89%
82% -2.5 100%
94% -3.5 100%
100% -4.5 100%

GIL Vicente vs AVS — share of each team's own matches finishing above/below each goal line.

Goal Averages per Team

GIL Vicente — scored (home)1.06
GIL Vicente — conceded (home)1.12
AVS — scored (away)0.78
AVS — conceded (away)2
Model expected combined goals2.48

Both Teams To Score

Yes48%
No52%

Rate per Team

GIL Vicente — BTTS matches (home)47%
AVS — BTTS matches (away)56%
Combined (simple average)51.5%

Corners Line match total, blended estimate

Over 4.5100%
Under 4.50%
Over 5.583%
Under 5.517%
Over 6.569%
Under 6.531%
Over 7.555%
Under 7.545%
Over 8.549%
Under 8.551%
Over 9.540%
Under 9.560%
Over 10.526%
Under 10.574%
Expected total corners (blended average)8.80

Per-Team Corners own matches

GIL Vicente (home)

Corners for4.3
Corners against4.0

AVS (away)

Corners for3.7
Corners against5.6

Recent Trend last 5 matches — total corners

GIL Vicente
9 5 11 5 13
AVS
9 7 6 10 14

Yellow Cards Line match total, blended estimate

Over 0.5100%
Under 0.50%
Over 1.597%
Under 1.53%
Over 2.594%
Under 2.56%
Expected total yellow cards (blended average)4.9

Yellow Cards per Team

GIL Vicente (home)

For2.2

AVS (away)

For2.9

Shots per Game

GIL Vicente — total shots (home)11.4
AVS — total shots (away)9.6

Shots on Target

GIL Vicente — on target (home)3.4
AVS — on target (away)2.4

Shot Location Split avg per match, season

GIL Vicente

Inside the box6.09
Outside the box3.53

AVS

Inside the box6.03
Outside the box4.17

Player Shots GIL Vicente

A. Bamba
Shots on Target/Game2
+0.5 On Target18%
+1.5 On Target9%
Pablo
Shots on Target/Game2
+0.5 On Target20%
+1.5 On Target5%
K. Fujimoto
Shots on Target/Game1.6
+0.5 On Target27%
+1.5 On Target13%
T. Touré
Shots on Target/Game1.5
+0.5 On Target24%
+1.5 On Target8%
Félix Correia
Shots on Target/Game1.4
+0.5 On Target36%
+1.5 On Target12%

Player Shots AVS

Samuel Granada
Shots on Target/Game1.5
+0.5 On Target50%
+1.5 On Target25%
Zé Luís
Shots on Target/Game1.4
+0.5 On Target35%
+1.5 On Target12%
B. Akinsola
Shots on Target/Game1.4
+0.5 On Target22%
+1.5 On Target9%
Vasco Lopes
Shots on Target/Game1.4
+0.5 On Target31%
+1.5 On Target8%
Nenê
Shots on Target/Game1.1
+0.5 On Target35%
+1.5 On Target5%

Probabilities are each player's own historical rate this season (minimum 3 matches played), not a joint match forecast.

Expected Goals (xG)

GIL Vicente xG (home)0.94
AVS xG (away)0.89

Average Possession

50.85% Possession 42.81%

Team Comparison GIL Vicente vs AVS

81.62% Pass accuracy 76.78%
437.18 Passes per match 347.36
-0.1 Goals prevented -0.09
11.62 Fouls committed 14.08
2.71 Goalkeeper saves 3.65
1.53 Offsides 1.5
15.71 Tackles per match 16.25

League average xG this season is 1.21 per team per match, for context.

Disclaimer: these predictions are generated by a statistical model and do not constitute financial advice or a guarantee of outcome. Bet responsibly and only what you can afford to lose.
PRE-MATCH ANALYSIS

GIL Vicente vs AVS prediction analysis

Review GIL Vicente vs AVS with prediction probabilities, 1X2, Over 2.5, BTTS, team form, market signals and key performance data from Primeira Liga.

1X2 Over 2.5 BTTS Recent form Team performance Primeira Liga
DataHistorical results, fixtures and performance metrics
Markets1X2, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and trend indicators
AnalysisLeague, team, player and match-level insights
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