Prediction Analysis

Prediction Analysis: GIL Vicente vs Benfica

GIL Vicente vs Benfica prediction based on recent form, head-to-head data, team performance and key match statistics.

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Primeira Liga 2025-03-28 20:15
GIL Vicente
Home
Selected Prediction
Featured Pick
Over 2.5 Goals
Pick
Yes
Probability
47%
Confidence
Low
Score
1-1
Benfica
Away

Prediction Summary

1
34%
X
27%
2
40%
Under 2.5
53%
BTTS Yes
52%
Confidence
Low

Market Evidence

GIL Vicente (Home)

Goals scored / match1.06
Goals conceded / match1.12
Over 2.5 rate18%
BTTS rate47%

Benfica (Away)

Goals scored / match1.88
Goals conceded / match0.94
Over 2.5 rate35%
BTTS rate53%

Team Form last 5 matches

GIL Vicente
DDLWW
Benfica
DDWWW

Goals Comparison rate per team

59% +0.5 88%
24% +1.5 59%
18% +2.5 35%
6% +3.5 6%
0% +4.5 0%
47% BTTS 53%

Model Insight

The selected market is Over 2.5 Goals with a probability of 47%. Model confidence is Low.

GIL Vicente averages 1.06 goals scored at home, while Benfica averages 1.88 goals scored away.

Model Strength
53%

Other Top Markets for This Match

Home Win
34%
Draw
27%
Away Win
40%
Over 2.5
47%
BTTS Yes
52%

Head-to-Head last 5

Mar 2026 GIL Vicente 1 - 2 Benfica Away
Sep 2025 GIL Vicente(A) 1 - 2 Benfica Away
Mar 2025 GIL Vicente 0 - 3 Benfica Away
Sep 2024 GIL Vicente(A) 1 - 5 Benfica Away
Feb 2024 GIL Vicente(A) 0 - 3 Benfica Away

In the last 5 meetings, GIL Vicente won 0, drew 0 and lost 5.

Current Streaks

GIL Vicente — unbeaten run (home)2
GIL Vicente — scoring streak (home)2
Benfica — winless run (away)1
Benfica — clean sheets (away, last 5)2 of 5

1X2 Probability model

GIL Vicente Win (1)34%
Draw (X)27%
Benfica Win (2)40%

Goals Over rate per team, own matches

59% +0.5 88%
24% +1.5 59%
18% +2.5 35%
6% +3.5 6%
0% +4.5 0%

Goals Under rate per team, own matches

41% -0.5 12%
76% -1.5 41%
82% -2.5 65%
94% -3.5 94%
100% -4.5 100%

GIL Vicente vs Benfica — share of each team's own matches finishing above/below each goal line.

Goal Averages per Team

GIL Vicente — scored (home)1.06
GIL Vicente — conceded (home)1.12
Benfica — scored (away)1.88
Benfica — conceded (away)0.94
Model expected combined goals2.54

Both Teams To Score

Yes52%
No48%

Rate per Team

GIL Vicente — BTTS matches (home)47%
Benfica — BTTS matches (away)53%
Combined (simple average)50%

Corners Line match total, blended estimate

Over 4.597%
Under 4.53%
Over 5.585%
Under 5.515%
Over 6.577%
Under 6.523%
Over 7.559%
Under 7.541%
Over 8.547%
Under 8.553%
Over 9.538%
Under 9.562%
Over 10.533%
Under 10.567%
Expected total corners (blended average)8.80

Per-Team Corners own matches

GIL Vicente (home)

Corners for4.3
Corners against4.0

Benfica (away)

Corners for6.4
Corners against2.9

Recent Trend last 5 matches — total corners

GIL Vicente
9 5 11 5 13
Benfica
10 14 6 8 12

Yellow Cards Line match total, blended estimate

Over 0.5100%
Under 0.50%
Over 1.594%
Under 1.56%
Over 2.588%
Under 2.512%
Expected total yellow cards (blended average)5

Yellow Cards per Team

GIL Vicente (home)

For2.2

Benfica (away)

For2.2

Shots per Game

GIL Vicente — total shots (home)11.4
Benfica — total shots (away)14.7

Shots on Target

GIL Vicente — on target (home)3.4
Benfica — on target (away)5.5

Shot Location Split avg per match, season

GIL Vicente

Inside the box6.09
Outside the box3.53

Benfica

Inside the box10.65
Outside the box6.21

Player Shots GIL Vicente

Pablo
Shots on Target/Game2
+0.5 On Target20%
+1.5 On Target5%
A. Bamba
Shots on Target/Game2
+0.5 On Target18%
+1.5 On Target9%
K. Fujimoto
Shots on Target/Game1.6
+0.5 On Target27%
+1.5 On Target13%
T. Touré
Shots on Target/Game1.5
+0.5 On Target24%
+1.5 On Target8%
Félix Correia
Shots on Target/Game1.4
+0.5 On Target36%
+1.5 On Target12%

Player Shots Benfica

A. Belotti
Shots on Target/Game2
+0.5 On Target50%
+1.5 On Target21%
Tiago Gouveia
Shots on Target/Game2
+0.5 On Target50%
+1.5 On Target50%
Z. Amdouni
Shots on Target/Game1.8
+0.5 On Target38%
+1.5 On Target25%
Arthur Cabral
Shots on Target/Game1.7
+0.5 On Target29%
+1.5 On Target14%
Á. Di María
Shots on Target/Game1.6
+0.5 On Target44%
+1.5 On Target20%

Probabilities are each player's own historical rate this season (minimum 3 matches played), not a joint match forecast.

Expected Goals (xG)

GIL Vicente xG (home)0.94
Benfica xG (away)2.23

Average Possession

50.85% Possession 58.38%

Team Comparison GIL Vicente vs Benfica

81.62% Pass accuracy 84.06%
437.18 Passes per match 501.68
-0.1 Goals prevented -0.07
11.62 Fouls committed 11.76
2.71 Goalkeeper saves 2.29
1.53 Offsides 3.11
15.71 Tackles per match 18.65

League average xG this season is 1.21 per team per match, for context.

Disclaimer: these predictions are generated by a statistical model and do not constitute financial advice or a guarantee of outcome. Bet responsibly and only what you can afford to lose.
PRE-MATCH ANALYSIS

GIL Vicente vs Benfica prediction analysis

Review GIL Vicente vs Benfica with prediction probabilities, 1X2, Over 2.5, BTTS, team form, market signals and key performance data from Primeira Liga.

1X2 Over 2.5 BTTS Recent form Team performance Primeira Liga
DataHistorical results, fixtures and performance metrics
Markets1X2, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and trend indicators
AnalysisLeague, team, player and match-level insights
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