Prediction Analysis

Prediction Analysis: GIL Vicente vs Estoril

GIL Vicente vs Estoril prediction based on recent form, head-to-head data, team performance and key match statistics.

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Primeira Liga 2025-09-21 17:00
GIL Vicente
Home
Selected Prediction
Featured Pick
Over 2.5 Goals
Pick
Yes
Probability
57%
Confidence
Medium
Score
1-1
Estoril
Away

Prediction Summary

1
49%
X
24%
2
27%
Over 2.5
57%
BTTS Yes
58%
Confidence
Medium

Market Evidence

GIL Vicente (Home)

Goals scored / match1.65
Goals conceded / match1
Over 2.5 rate12%
BTTS rate47%

Estoril (Away)

Goals scored / match1.47
Goals conceded / match1.82
Over 2.5 rate18%
BTTS rate47%

Team Form last 5 matches

GIL Vicente
LLDWL
Estoril
LDDLL

Goals Comparison rate per team

82% +0.5 65%
59% +1.5 41%
12% +2.5 18%
6% +3.5 18%
6% +4.5 6%
47% BTTS 47%

Model Insight

The selected market is Over 2.5 Goals with a probability of 57%. Model confidence is Medium.

GIL Vicente averages 1.65 goals scored at home, while Estoril averages 1.47 goals scored away.

Model Strength
58%

Other Top Markets for This Match

Home Win
49%
Draw
24%
Away Win
27%
Over 2.5
57%
BTTS Yes
58%

Head-to-Head last 5

Feb 2026 GIL Vicente(A) 1 - 3 Estoril Away
Sep 2025 GIL Vicente 2 - 0 Estoril Home
Feb 2025 GIL Vicente 1 - 2 Estoril Away
Aug 2024 GIL Vicente(A) 0 - 0 Estoril Draw
Feb 2024 GIL Vicente(A) 3 - 1 Estoril Home

In the last 5 meetings, GIL Vicente won 2, drew 1 and lost 2.

Current Streaks

GIL Vicente — unbeaten run (home)0
GIL Vicente — scoring streak (home)2
Estoril — winless run (away)4
Estoril — clean sheets (away, last 5)1 of 5

1X2 Probability model

GIL Vicente Win (1)49%
Draw (X)24%
Estoril Win (2)27%

Goals Over rate per team, own matches

82% +0.5 65%
59% +1.5 41%
12% +2.5 18%
6% +3.5 18%
6% +4.5 6%

Goals Under rate per team, own matches

18% -0.5 35%
41% -1.5 59%
88% -2.5 82%
94% -3.5 82%
94% -4.5 94%

GIL Vicente vs Estoril — share of each team's own matches finishing above/below each goal line.

Goal Averages per Team

GIL Vicente — scored (home)1.65
GIL Vicente — conceded (home)1
Estoril — scored (away)1.47
Estoril — conceded (away)1.82
Model expected combined goals2.97

Both Teams To Score

Yes58%
No42%

Rate per Team

GIL Vicente — BTTS matches (home)47%
Estoril — BTTS matches (away)47%
Combined (simple average)47%

Corners Line match total, blended estimate

Over 4.585%
Under 4.515%
Over 5.579%
Under 5.521%
Over 6.565%
Under 6.535%
Over 7.556%
Under 7.544%
Over 8.547%
Under 8.553%
Over 9.538%
Under 9.562%
Over 10.533%
Under 10.567%
Expected total corners (blended average)8.70

Per-Team Corners own matches

GIL Vicente (home)

Corners for5.4
Corners against3.4

Estoril (away)

Corners for4.1
Corners against4.4

Recent Trend last 5 matches — total corners

GIL Vicente
13 7 16 8 7
Estoril
6 13 9 8 11

Yellow Cards Line match total, blended estimate

Over 0.5100%
Under 0.50%
Over 1.5100%
Under 1.50%
Over 2.588%
Under 2.512%
Expected total yellow cards (blended average)4.7

Yellow Cards per Team

GIL Vicente (home)

For2.2

Estoril (away)

For2.4

Shots per Game

GIL Vicente — total shots (home)14.6
Estoril — total shots (away)11.3

Shots on Target

GIL Vicente — on target (home)5.0
Estoril — on target (away)3.6

Shot Location Split avg per match, season

GIL Vicente

Inside the box7.88
Outside the box5.91

Estoril

Inside the box7.44
Outside the box4.21

Player Shots GIL Vicente

Murilo
Shots on Target/Game1
+0.5 On Target72%
+1.5 On Target22%
Pablo
Shots on Target/Game1
+0.5 On Target77%
+1.5 On Target15%
Gustavo Varela
Shots on Target/Game0.7
+0.5 On Target50%
+1.5 On Target19%
Luís Esteves
Shots on Target/Game0.7
+0.5 On Target58%
+1.5 On Target9%
Santi García
Shots on Target/Game0.6
+0.5 On Target42%
+1.5 On Target15%

Player Shots Estoril

Y. Begraoui
Shots on Target/Game1
+0.5 On Target59%
+1.5 On Target26%
André Lacximicant
Shots on Target/Game0.8
+0.5 On Target55%
+1.5 On Target14%
João Carvalho
Shots on Target/Game0.6
+0.5 On Target52%
+1.5 On Target9%
Alejandro Marqués
Shots on Target/Game0.4
+0.5 On Target27%
+1.5 On Target8%
R. Guitane
Shots on Target/Game0.4
+0.5 On Target33%
+1.5 On Target3%

Probabilities are each player's own historical rate this season (minimum 3 matches played), not a joint match forecast.

Expected Goals (xG)

GIL Vicente xG (home)1.32
Estoril xG (away)1.26

Average Possession

49.79% Possession 52.71%

Team Comparison GIL Vicente vs Estoril

80.24% Pass accuracy 80.88%
374.15 Passes per match 444
-0.13 Goals prevented -0.27
13.53 Fouls committed 12.94
2.5 Goalkeeper saves 2.71
1.44 Offsides 1.35
14.56 Tackles per match 14.76

League average xG this season is 1.3 per team per match, for context.

Disclaimer: these predictions are generated by a statistical model and do not constitute financial advice or a guarantee of outcome. Bet responsibly and only what you can afford to lose.
PRE-MATCH ANALYSIS

GIL Vicente vs Estoril prediction analysis

Review GIL Vicente vs Estoril with prediction probabilities, 1X2, Over 2.5, BTTS, team form, market signals and key performance data from Primeira Liga.

1X2 Over 2.5 BTTS Recent form Team performance Primeira Liga
DataHistorical results, fixtures and performance metrics
Markets1X2, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and trend indicators
AnalysisLeague, team, player and match-level insights
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