Prediction Analysis

Prediction Analysis: GIL Vicente vs Farense

GIL Vicente vs Farense prediction based on recent form, head-to-head data, team performance and key match statistics.

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Primeira Liga 2025-04-26 17:00
GIL Vicente
Home
Selected Prediction
Featured Pick
Over 2.5 Goals
Pick
Yes
Probability
39%
Confidence
Medium
Score
1-1
Farense
Away

Prediction Summary

1
40%
X
29%
2
31%
Under 2.5
61%
BTTS No
55%
Confidence
Medium

Market Evidence

GIL Vicente (Home)

Goals scored / match1.06
Goals conceded / match1.12
Over 2.5 rate18%
BTTS rate47%

Farense (Away)

Goals scored / match0.88
Goals conceded / match1.29
Over 2.5 rate0%
BTTS rate53%

Team Form last 5 matches

GIL Vicente
DDLWW
Farense
LWWLL

Goals Comparison rate per team

59% +0.5 59%
24% +1.5 29%
18% +2.5 0%
6% +3.5 0%
0% +4.5 0%
47% BTTS 53%

Model Insight

The selected market is Over 2.5 Goals with a probability of 39%. Model confidence is Medium.

GIL Vicente averages 1.06 goals scored at home, while Farense averages 0.88 goals scored away.

Model Strength
61%

Other Top Markets for This Match

Home Win
40%
Draw
29%
Away Win
31%
Over 2.5
39%
BTTS Yes
45%

Head-to-Head last 5

Apr 2025 GIL Vicente 1 - 0 Farense Home
Dec 2024 GIL Vicente(A) 1 - 0 Farense Home
May 2024 GIL Vicente 2 - 0 Farense Home
Jan 2024 GIL Vicente(A) 0 - 1 Farense Away
May 2021 GIL Vicente 0 - 0 Farense Draw

In the last 5 meetings, GIL Vicente won 3, drew 1 and lost 1.

Current Streaks

GIL Vicente — unbeaten run (home)2
GIL Vicente — scoring streak (home)2
Farense — winless run (away)0
Farense — clean sheets (away, last 5)1 of 5

1X2 Probability model

GIL Vicente Win (1)40%
Draw (X)29%
Farense Win (2)31%

Goals Over rate per team, own matches

59% +0.5 59%
24% +1.5 29%
18% +2.5 0%
6% +3.5 0%
0% +4.5 0%

Goals Under rate per team, own matches

41% -0.5 41%
76% -1.5 71%
82% -2.5 100%
94% -3.5 100%
100% -4.5 100%

GIL Vicente vs Farense — share of each team's own matches finishing above/below each goal line.

Goal Averages per Team

GIL Vicente — scored (home)1.06
GIL Vicente — conceded (home)1.12
Farense — scored (away)0.88
Farense — conceded (away)1.29
Model expected combined goals2.23

Both Teams To Score

Yes45%
No55%

Rate per Team

GIL Vicente — BTTS matches (home)47%
Farense — BTTS matches (away)53%
Combined (simple average)50%

Corners Line match total, blended estimate

Over 4.5100%
Under 4.50%
Over 5.585%
Under 5.515%
Over 6.577%
Under 6.523%
Over 7.571%
Under 7.529%
Over 8.562%
Under 8.538%
Over 9.544%
Under 9.556%
Over 10.536%
Under 10.564%
Expected total corners (blended average)9.70

Per-Team Corners own matches

GIL Vicente (home)

Corners for4.3
Corners against4.0

Farense (away)

Corners for3.9
Corners against7.2

Recent Trend last 5 matches — total corners

GIL Vicente
9 5 11 5 13
Farense
8 5 14 19 9

Yellow Cards Line match total, blended estimate

Over 0.5100%
Under 0.50%
Over 1.588%
Under 1.512%
Over 2.585%
Under 2.515%
Expected total yellow cards (blended average)5

Yellow Cards per Team

GIL Vicente (home)

For2.2

Farense (away)

For2.6

Shots per Game

GIL Vicente — total shots (home)11.4
Farense — total shots (away)9.8

Shots on Target

GIL Vicente — on target (home)3.4
Farense — on target (away)3.5

Shot Location Split avg per match, season

GIL Vicente

Inside the box6.09
Outside the box3.53

Farense

Inside the box6.65
Outside the box4.68

Player Shots GIL Vicente

A. Bamba
Shots on Target/Game2
+0.5 On Target18%
+1.5 On Target9%
Pablo
Shots on Target/Game2
+0.5 On Target20%
+1.5 On Target5%
K. Fujimoto
Shots on Target/Game1.6
+0.5 On Target27%
+1.5 On Target13%
T. Touré
Shots on Target/Game1.5
+0.5 On Target24%
+1.5 On Target8%
Félix Correia
Shots on Target/Game1.4
+0.5 On Target36%
+1.5 On Target12%

Player Shots Farense

M. Belloumi
Shots on Target/Game1.7
+0.5 On Target100%
+1.5 On Target67%
Y. Njie
Shots on Target/Game1.7
+0.5 On Target21%
+1.5 On Target7%
Rony Lopes
Shots on Target/Game1.6
+0.5 On Target50%
+1.5 On Target21%
Darío Poveda
Shots on Target/Game1.5
+0.5 On Target18%
+1.5 On Target5%
Tómané
Shots on Target/Game1.4
+0.5 On Target29%
+1.5 On Target8%

Probabilities are each player's own historical rate this season (minimum 3 matches played), not a joint match forecast.

Expected Goals (xG)

GIL Vicente xG (home)0.94
Farense xG (away)0.9

Average Possession

50.85% Possession 40.79%

Team Comparison GIL Vicente vs Farense

81.62% Pass accuracy 71.71%
437.18 Passes per match 293.85
-0.1 Goals prevented 0.28
11.62 Fouls committed 15.21
2.71 Goalkeeper saves 3.09
1.53 Offsides 1.97
15.71 Tackles per match 17.56

League average xG this season is 1.21 per team per match, for context.

Disclaimer: these predictions are generated by a statistical model and do not constitute financial advice or a guarantee of outcome. Bet responsibly and only what you can afford to lose.
PRE-MATCH ANALYSIS

GIL Vicente vs Farense prediction analysis

Review GIL Vicente vs Farense with prediction probabilities, 1X2, Over 2.5, BTTS, team form, market signals and key performance data from Primeira Liga.

1X2 Over 2.5 BTTS Recent form Team performance Primeira Liga
DataHistorical results, fixtures and performance metrics
Markets1X2, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and trend indicators
AnalysisLeague, team, player and match-level insights
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