Prediction Analysis

Prediction Analysis: GIL Vicente vs Guimaraes

GIL Vicente vs Guimaraes prediction based on recent form, head-to-head data, team performance and key match statistics.

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Primeira Liga 2025-04-11 19:15
GIL Vicente
Home
Selected Prediction
Featured Pick
Over 2.5 Goals
Pick
Yes
Probability
39%
Confidence
Medium
Score
1-1
Guimaraes
Away

Prediction Summary

1
35%
X
29%
2
37%
Under 2.5
61%
BTTS No
54%
Confidence
Medium

Market Evidence

GIL Vicente (Home)

Goals scored / match1.06
Goals conceded / match1.12
Over 2.5 rate18%
BTTS rate47%

Guimaraes (Away)

Goals scored / match1.06
Goals conceded / match1.06
Over 2.5 rate0%
BTTS rate47%

Team Form last 5 matches

GIL Vicente
DDLWW
Guimaraes
LLWWL

Goals Comparison rate per team

59% +0.5 65%
24% +1.5 41%
18% +2.5 0%
6% +3.5 0%
0% +4.5 0%
47% BTTS 47%

Model Insight

The selected market is Over 2.5 Goals with a probability of 39%. Model confidence is Medium.

GIL Vicente averages 1.06 goals scored at home, while Guimaraes averages 1.06 goals scored away.

Model Strength
61%

Other Top Markets for This Match

Home Win
35%
Draw
29%
Away Win
37%
Over 2.5
39%
BTTS Yes
46%

Head-to-Head last 5

Apr 2026 GIL Vicente 0 - 1 Guimaraes Away
Dec 2025 GIL Vicente(A) 0 - 0 Guimaraes Draw
Apr 2025 GIL Vicente 0 - 1 Guimaraes Away
Dec 2024 GIL Vicente(A) 0 - 4 Guimaraes Away
Feb 2024 GIL Vicente(A) 1 - 3 Guimaraes Away

In the last 5 meetings, GIL Vicente won 0, drew 1 and lost 4.

Current Streaks

GIL Vicente — unbeaten run (home)2
GIL Vicente — scoring streak (home)2
Guimaraes — winless run (away)1
Guimaraes — clean sheets (away, last 5)1 of 5

1X2 Probability model

GIL Vicente Win (1)35%
Draw (X)29%
Guimaraes Win (2)37%

Goals Over rate per team, own matches

59% +0.5 65%
24% +1.5 41%
18% +2.5 0%
6% +3.5 0%
0% +4.5 0%

Goals Under rate per team, own matches

41% -0.5 35%
76% -1.5 59%
82% -2.5 100%
94% -3.5 100%
100% -4.5 100%

GIL Vicente vs Guimaraes — share of each team's own matches finishing above/below each goal line.

Goal Averages per Team

GIL Vicente — scored (home)1.06
GIL Vicente — conceded (home)1.12
Guimaraes — scored (away)1.06
Guimaraes — conceded (away)1.06
Model expected combined goals2.25

Both Teams To Score

Yes46%
No54%

Rate per Team

GIL Vicente — BTTS matches (home)47%
Guimaraes — BTTS matches (away)47%
Combined (simple average)47%

Corners Line match total, blended estimate

Over 4.597%
Under 4.53%
Over 5.582%
Under 5.518%
Over 6.574%
Under 6.526%
Over 7.562%
Under 7.538%
Over 8.553%
Under 8.547%
Over 9.538%
Under 9.562%
Over 10.533%
Under 10.567%
Expected total corners (blended average)9.20

Per-Team Corners own matches

GIL Vicente (home)

Corners for4.3
Corners against4.0

Guimaraes (away)

Corners for5.5
Corners against4.5

Recent Trend last 5 matches — total corners

GIL Vicente
9 5 11 5 13
Guimaraes
10 10 9 19 8

Yellow Cards Line match total, blended estimate

Over 0.5100%
Under 0.50%
Over 1.597%
Under 1.53%
Over 2.594%
Under 2.56%
Expected total yellow cards (blended average)5.2

Yellow Cards per Team

GIL Vicente (home)

For2.2

Guimaraes (away)

For2.5

Shots per Game

GIL Vicente — total shots (home)11.4
Guimaraes — total shots (away)11.6

Shots on Target

GIL Vicente — on target (home)3.4
Guimaraes — on target (away)4.0

Shot Location Split avg per match, season

GIL Vicente

Inside the box6.09
Outside the box3.53

Guimaraes

Inside the box8.26
Outside the box5

Player Shots GIL Vicente

Pablo
Shots on Target/Game2
+0.5 On Target20%
+1.5 On Target5%
A. Bamba
Shots on Target/Game2
+0.5 On Target18%
+1.5 On Target9%
K. Fujimoto
Shots on Target/Game1.6
+0.5 On Target27%
+1.5 On Target13%
T. Touré
Shots on Target/Game1.5
+0.5 On Target24%
+1.5 On Target8%
Félix Correia
Shots on Target/Game1.4
+0.5 On Target36%
+1.5 On Target12%

Player Shots Guimaraes

Ricardo Mangas
Shots on Target/Game1.5
+0.5 On Target50%
+1.5 On Target25%
Vando Félix
Shots on Target/Game1.5
+0.5 On Target13%
+1.5 On Target6%
T. Borevković
Shots on Target/Game1.5
+0.5 On Target7%
+1.5 On Target4%
Gustavo
Shots on Target/Game1.4
+0.5 On Target43%
+1.5 On Target14%
Nuno Santos
Shots on Target/Game1.4
+0.5 On Target39%
+1.5 On Target15%

Probabilities are each player's own historical rate this season (minimum 3 matches played), not a joint match forecast.

Expected Goals (xG)

GIL Vicente xG (home)0.94
Guimaraes xG (away)1.22

Average Possession

50.85% Possession 56.91%

Team Comparison GIL Vicente vs Guimaraes

81.62% Pass accuracy 83.32%
437.18 Passes per match 461.03
-0.1 Goals prevented -0.08
11.62 Fouls committed 14.59
2.71 Goalkeeper saves 1.94
1.53 Offsides 1.62
15.71 Tackles per match 15.53

League average xG this season is 1.21 per team per match, for context.

Disclaimer: these predictions are generated by a statistical model and do not constitute financial advice or a guarantee of outcome. Bet responsibly and only what you can afford to lose.
PRE-MATCH ANALYSIS

GIL Vicente vs Guimaraes prediction analysis

Review GIL Vicente vs Guimaraes with prediction probabilities, 1X2, Over 2.5, BTTS, team form, market signals and key performance data from Primeira Liga.

1X2 Over 2.5 BTTS Recent form Team performance Primeira Liga
DataHistorical results, fixtures and performance metrics
Markets1X2, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and trend indicators
AnalysisLeague, team, player and match-level insights
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