What markets are included in the GIL Vicente vs Moreirense prediction?

GoalStatsLab may analyze 1X2 outcome probabilities, Over/Under 2.5 goals, Both Teams To Score, corners and cards where enough match data is available.

How is the GIL Vicente vs Moreirense prediction calculated?

The prediction is based on available football data such as recent form, goals scored and conceded, home and away performance, league trends and selected market probabilities.

Are football predictions guaranteed?

No. Football predictions are statistical estimates and should be used for analysis, not as guaranteed betting outcomes or financial advice.

Prediction Analysis: GIL Vicente vs Moreirense

GIL Vicente vs Moreirense prediction based on recent form, head-to-head data, team performance and key match statistics.

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Primeira Liga 2025-04-06 14:30

GIL Vicente

Home

Selected Prediction

Featured Pick

Over 2.5 Goals

Pick

Yes

Probability

50%

Confidence

Low

Score

1-1

Moreirense

Away

Prediction Summary

45%

26%

29%

O/U 2.5 · No edge

50%

BTTS Yes

53%

Confidence

Low

Market Evidence

GIL Vicente (Home)

Goals scored / match1.06

Goals conceded / match1.12

Over 2.5 rate18%

BTTS rate47%

Moreirense (Away)

Goals scored / match1.18

Goals conceded / match1.71

Over 2.5 rate6%

BTTS rate59%

Team Form last 5 matches

GIL Vicente

DDLWW

Moreirense

WDLDL

Goals Comparison rate per team

59% +0.5 76%

24% +1.5 35%

18% +2.5 6%

6% +3.5 0%

0% +4.5 0%

47% BTTS 59%

Model Insight

The selected market is Over 2.5 Goals with a probability of 50%. Model confidence is Low.

GIL Vicente averages 1.06 goals scored at home, while Moreirense averages 1.18 goals scored away.

Model Strength

53%

Other Top Markets for This Match

Home Win

45%

Draw

26%

Away Win

29%

Over 2.5

50%

BTTS Yes

53%

Head-to-Head last 5

Feb 2026 GIL Vicente(A) 2 - 1 Moreirense Home

Aug 2025 GIL Vicente 2 - 0 Moreirense Home

Apr 2025 GIL Vicente 0 - 1 Moreirense Away

Jan 2025 GIL Vicente 1 - 0 Moreirense Home

Nov 2024 GIL Vicente(A) 2 - 3 Moreirense Away

In the last 5 meetings, GIL Vicente won 3, drew 0 and lost 2.

Current Streaks

GIL Vicente — unbeaten run (home)2

GIL Vicente — scoring streak (home)2

Moreirense — winless run (away)0

Moreirense — clean sheets (away, last 5)2 of 5

1X2 Probability model

GIL Vicente Win (1)45%

Draw (X)26%

Moreirense Win (2)29%

Goals Over rate per team, own matches

59% +0.5 76%

24% +1.5 35%

18% +2.5 6%

6% +3.5 0%

0% +4.5 0%

Goals Under rate per team, own matches

41% -0.5 24%

76% -1.5 65%

82% -2.5 94%

94% -3.5 100%

100% -4.5 100%

GIL Vicente vs Moreirense — share of each team's own matches finishing above/below each goal line.

Goal Averages per Team

GIL Vicente — scored (home)1.06

GIL Vicente — conceded (home)1.12

Moreirense — scored (away)1.18

Moreirense — conceded (away)1.71

Model expected combined goals2.65

Both Teams To Score

Yes53%

No47%

Rate per Team

GIL Vicente — BTTS matches (home)47%

Moreirense — BTTS matches (away)59%

Combined (simple average)53%

Corners Line match total, blended estimate

Over 4.597%

Under 4.53%

Over 5.585%

Under 5.515%

Over 6.571%

Under 6.529%

Over 7.553%

Under 7.547%

Over 8.544%

Under 8.556%

Over 9.529%

Under 9.571%

Over 10.527%

Under 10.573%

Expected total corners (blended average)8.40

Per-Team Corners own matches

GIL Vicente (home)

Corners for4.3

Corners against4.0

Moreirense (away)

Corners for3.1

Corners against5.5

Recent Trend last 5 matches — total corners

GIL Vicente

9 5 11 5 13

Moreirense

6 7 11 9 6

Yellow Cards Line match total, blended estimate

Over 0.5100%

Under 0.50%

Over 1.591%

Under 1.59%

Over 2.588%

Under 2.512%

Expected total yellow cards (blended average)4.8

Yellow Cards per Team

GIL Vicente (home)

For2.2

Moreirense (away)

For2.4

Shots per Game

GIL Vicente — total shots (home)11.4

Moreirense — total shots (away)10.0

Shots on Target

GIL Vicente — on target (home)3.4

Moreirense — on target (away)3.9

Shot Location Split avg per match, season

GIL Vicente

Inside the box6.09

Outside the box3.53

Moreirense

Inside the box5.76

Outside the box4.47

Player Shots GIL Vicente

A. Bamba

Shots on Target/Game2

+0.5 On Target18%

+1.5 On Target9%

Pablo

Shots on Target/Game2

+0.5 On Target20%

+1.5 On Target5%

K. Fujimoto

Shots on Target/Game1.6

+0.5 On Target27%

+1.5 On Target13%

T. Touré

Shots on Target/Game1.5

+0.5 On Target24%

+1.5 On Target8%

Félix Correia

Shots on Target/Game1.4

+0.5 On Target36%

+1.5 On Target12%

Player Shots Moreirense

Dinis Pinto

Shots on Target/Game1.8

+0.5 On Target15%

+1.5 On Target7%

Madson

Shots on Target/Game1.6

+0.5 On Target47%

+1.5 On Target21%

Guilherme Schettine

Shots on Target/Game1.5

+0.5 On Target43%

+1.5 On Target17%

Luís Asué

Shots on Target/Game1.4

+0.5 On Target45%

+1.5 On Target16%

Alan

Shots on Target/Game1.3

+0.5 On Target52%

+1.5 On Target10%

Probabilities are each player's own historical rate this season (minimum 3 matches played), not a joint match forecast.

Expected Goals (xG)

GIL Vicente xG (home)0.94

Moreirense xG (away)0.92

Average Possession

50.85% Possession 47.47%

Team Comparison GIL Vicente vs Moreirense

81.62% Pass accuracy 79.97%

437.18 Passes per match 384.35

-0.1 Goals prevented -0.27

11.62 Fouls committed 14.59

2.71 Goalkeeper saves 2.59

1.53 Offsides 1.75

15.71 Tackles per match 16.35

League average xG this season is 1.21 per team per match, for context.

Disclaimer: these predictions are generated by a statistical model and do not constitute financial advice or a guarantee of outcome. Bet responsibly and only what you can afford to lose.

PRE-MATCH ANALYSIS

GIL Vicente vs Moreirense prediction analysis

Review GIL Vicente vs Moreirense with prediction probabilities, 1X2, Over 2.5, BTTS, team form, market signals and key performance data from Primeira Liga.

1X2 Over 2.5 BTTS Recent form Team performance Primeira Liga

DataHistorical results, fixtures and performance metrics

Markets1X2, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and trend indicators

AnalysisLeague, team, player and match-level insights