Prediction Analysis

Prediction Analysis: GIL Vicente vs Rio Ave

GIL Vicente vs Rio Ave prediction based on recent form, head-to-head data, team performance and key match statistics.

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Primeira Liga 2025-01-06 20:15
GIL Vicente
Home
Selected Prediction
Featured Pick
Over 2.5 Goals
Pick
Yes
Probability
45%
Confidence
Medium
Score
1-0
Rio Ave
Away

Prediction Summary

1
67%
X
21%
2
12%
Under 2.5
55%
BTTS No
61%
Confidence
Medium

Market Evidence

GIL Vicente (Home)

Goals scored / match1.06
Goals conceded / match1.12
Over 2.5 rate18%
BTTS rate47%

Rio Ave (Away)

Goals scored / match0.82
Goals conceded / match1.82
Over 2.5 rate6%
BTTS rate41%

Team Form last 5 matches

GIL Vicente
DDLWW
Rio Ave
DDWLD

Goals Comparison rate per team

59% +0.5 53%
24% +1.5 24%
18% +2.5 6%
6% +3.5 0%
0% +4.5 0%
47% BTTS 41%

Model Insight

The selected market is Over 2.5 Goals with a probability of 45%. Model confidence is Medium.

GIL Vicente averages 1.06 goals scored at home, while Rio Ave averages 0.82 goals scored away.

Model Strength
67%

Other Top Markets for This Match

Home Win
67%
Draw
21%
Away Win
12%
Over 2.5
45%
BTTS Yes
39%

Head-to-Head last 5

May 2026 GIL Vicente(A) 0 - 0 Rio Ave Draw
Dec 2025 GIL Vicente 2 - 2 Rio Ave Draw
May 2025 GIL Vicente(A) 1 - 1 Rio Ave Draw
Jan 2025 GIL Vicente 1 - 1 Rio Ave Draw
Apr 2024 GIL Vicente(A) 0 - 3 Rio Ave Away

In the last 5 meetings, GIL Vicente won 0, drew 4 and lost 1.

Current Streaks

GIL Vicente — unbeaten run (home)2
GIL Vicente — scoring streak (home)2
Rio Ave — winless run (away)2
Rio Ave — clean sheets (away, last 5)1 of 5

1X2 Probability model

GIL Vicente Win (1)67%
Draw (X)21%
Rio Ave Win (2)12%

Goals Over rate per team, own matches

59% +0.5 53%
24% +1.5 24%
18% +2.5 6%
6% +3.5 0%
0% +4.5 0%

Goals Under rate per team, own matches

41% -0.5 47%
76% -1.5 76%
82% -2.5 94%
94% -3.5 100%
100% -4.5 100%

GIL Vicente vs Rio Ave — share of each team's own matches finishing above/below each goal line.

Goal Averages per Team

GIL Vicente — scored (home)1.06
GIL Vicente — conceded (home)1.12
Rio Ave — scored (away)0.82
Rio Ave — conceded (away)1.82
Model expected combined goals2.46

Both Teams To Score

Yes39%
No61%

Rate per Team

GIL Vicente — BTTS matches (home)47%
Rio Ave — BTTS matches (away)41%
Combined (simple average)44%

Corners Line match total, blended estimate

Over 4.594%
Under 4.56%
Over 5.582%
Under 5.518%
Over 6.574%
Under 6.526%
Over 7.565%
Under 7.535%
Over 8.553%
Under 8.547%
Over 9.535%
Under 9.565%
Over 10.527%
Under 10.573%
Expected total corners (blended average)8.70

Per-Team Corners own matches

GIL Vicente (home)

Corners for4.3
Corners against4.0

Rio Ave (away)

Corners for3.4
Corners against5.6

Recent Trend last 5 matches — total corners

GIL Vicente
9 5 11 5 13
Rio Ave
10 10 8 9 13

Yellow Cards Line match total, blended estimate

Over 0.5100%
Under 0.50%
Over 1.591%
Under 1.59%
Over 2.585%
Under 2.515%
Expected total yellow cards (blended average)4.9

Yellow Cards per Team

GIL Vicente (home)

For2.2

Rio Ave (away)

For2.4

Shots per Game

GIL Vicente — total shots (home)11.4
Rio Ave — total shots (away)10.1

Shots on Target

GIL Vicente — on target (home)3.4
Rio Ave — on target (away)3.4

Shot Location Split avg per match, season

GIL Vicente

Inside the box6.09
Outside the box3.53

Rio Ave

Inside the box6.79
Outside the box4.26

Player Shots GIL Vicente

Pablo
Shots on Target/Game2
+0.5 On Target20%
+1.5 On Target5%
A. Bamba
Shots on Target/Game2
+0.5 On Target18%
+1.5 On Target9%
K. Fujimoto
Shots on Target/Game1.6
+0.5 On Target27%
+1.5 On Target13%
T. Touré
Shots on Target/Game1.5
+0.5 On Target24%
+1.5 On Target8%
Félix Correia
Shots on Target/Game1.4
+0.5 On Target36%
+1.5 On Target12%

Player Shots Rio Ave

F. Petrasso
Shots on Target/Game2
+0.5 On Target14%
+1.5 On Target14%
Clayton
Shots on Target/Game1.8
+0.5 On Target74%
+1.5 On Target35%
Koka
Shots on Target/Game1.5
+0.5 On Target22%
+1.5 On Target11%
E. Tıknaz
Shots on Target/Game1.5
+0.5 On Target14%
+1.5 On Target7%
João Novais
Shots on Target/Game1.4
+0.5 On Target17%
+1.5 On Target3%

Probabilities are each player's own historical rate this season (minimum 3 matches played), not a joint match forecast.

Expected Goals (xG)

GIL Vicente xG (home)0.94
Rio Ave xG (away)1.07

Average Possession

50.85% Possession 47.71%

Team Comparison GIL Vicente vs Rio Ave

81.62% Pass accuracy 79.59%
437.18 Passes per match 389.88
-0.1 Goals prevented -0.09
11.62 Fouls committed 13.5
2.71 Goalkeeper saves 3.53
1.53 Offsides 2.79
15.71 Tackles per match 17.68

League average xG this season is 1.21 per team per match, for context.

Disclaimer: these predictions are generated by a statistical model and do not constitute financial advice or a guarantee of outcome. Bet responsibly and only what you can afford to lose.
PRE-MATCH ANALYSIS

GIL Vicente vs Rio Ave prediction analysis

Review GIL Vicente vs Rio Ave with prediction probabilities, 1X2, Over 2.5, BTTS, team form, market signals and key performance data from Primeira Liga.

1X2 Over 2.5 BTTS Recent form Team performance Primeira Liga
DataHistorical results, fixtures and performance metrics
Markets1X2, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and trend indicators
AnalysisLeague, team, player and match-level insights
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