Prediction Analysis: GIL Vicente vs Rio Ave
GIL Vicente vs Rio Ave prediction based on recent form, head-to-head data, team performance and key match statistics.
Primeira Liga
2026-08-09
19:30
GIL Vicente
Home
Selected Prediction
Featured Pick
BTTS Yes
Pick
Yes
Probability
52%
Confidence
Low
Score
1-1
Rio Ave
Away
Prediction Summary
1
52%
X
25%
2
24%
O/U 2.5 · No edge
50%
BTTS Yes
52%
Confidence
Low
Market Evidence
GIL Vicente (Home)
Goals scored / match1.65
Goals conceded / match1
Over 2.5 rate12%
BTTS rate47%
Rio Ave (Away)
Goals scored / match1.06
Goals conceded / match1.65
Over 2.5 rate6%
BTTS rate53%
Team Form last 5 matches
GIL Vicente
LLDWL
Rio Ave
DLDLD
Goals Comparison rate per team
82%
+0.5
65%
59%
+1.5
35%
12%
+2.5
6%
6%
+3.5
0%
6%
+4.5
0%
47%
BTTS
53%
Model Insight
The selected market is BTTS Yes with a probability of 52%. Model confidence is Low.
GIL Vicente averages 1.65 goals scored at home, while Rio Ave averages 1.06 goals scored away.
Model Strength
52%
Other Top Markets for This Match
Home Win
52%
Draw
25%
Away Win
24%
Over 2.5
50%
BTTS Yes
52%
Head-to-Head last 5
May 2026
GIL Vicente(A)
0 - 0
Rio Ave
Draw
Dec 2025
GIL Vicente
2 - 2
Rio Ave
Draw
May 2025
GIL Vicente(A)
1 - 1
Rio Ave
Draw
Jan 2025
GIL Vicente
1 - 1
Rio Ave
Draw
Apr 2024
GIL Vicente(A)
0 - 3
Rio Ave
Away
In the last 5 meetings, GIL Vicente won 0, drew 4 and lost 1.
Current Streaks
GIL Vicente — unbeaten run (home)0
GIL Vicente — scoring streak (home)2
Rio Ave — winless run (away)2
Rio Ave — clean sheets (away, last 5)2 of 5
1X2 Probability model
GIL Vicente Win (1)52%
Draw (X)25%
Rio Ave Win (2)24%
Goals Over rate per team, own matches
82%
+0.5
65%
59%
+1.5
35%
12%
+2.5
6%
6%
+3.5
0%
6%
+4.5
0%
Goals Under rate per team, own matches
18%
-0.5
35%
41%
-1.5
65%
88%
-2.5
94%
94%
-3.5
100%
94%
-4.5
100%
GIL Vicente vs Rio Ave — share of each team's own matches finishing above/below each goal line.
Goal Averages per Team
GIL Vicente — scored (home)1.65
GIL Vicente — conceded (home)1
Rio Ave — scored (away)1.06
Rio Ave — conceded (away)1.65
Model expected combined goals2.68
Both Teams To Score
Yes52%
No48%
Rate per Team
GIL Vicente — BTTS matches (home)47%
Rio Ave — BTTS matches (away)53%
Combined (simple average)50%
Corners Line model prediction
Over 8.557%
Under 8.543%
Over 9.548%
Under 9.552%
Over 10.538%
Under 10.562%
Expected total corners (model prediction)9.70
Per-Team Corners own matches
GIL Vicente (home)
Corners for5.4
Corners against3.4
Rio Ave (away)
Corners for3.4
Corners against7.1
Recent Trend last 5 matches — total corners
GIL Vicente
13
7
16
8
7
Rio Ave
13
8
16
11
9
Yellow Cards Line match total, blended estimate
Over 0.5100%
Under 0.50%
Over 1.594%
Under 1.56%
Over 2.580%
Under 2.520%
Expected total yellow cards (blended average)4.9
Yellow Cards per Team
GIL Vicente (home)
For2.2
Rio Ave (away)
For2.8
Shots Forecast model prediction
Match Total
Over 19.570%
Under 19.530%
Over 22.556%
Under 22.544%
Over 25.543%
Under 25.557%
Expected total shots24.82
GIL Vicente
Shots Over 9.578%
Shots Over 11.564%
Shots Over 13.550%
Expected shots14.10
On Target Over 3.564%
On Target Over 4.548%
On Target Over 5.534%
Expected on target4.68
Rio Ave
Shots Over 9.556%
Shots Over 11.539%
Shots Over 13.525%
Expected shots10.72
On Target Over 3.548%
On Target Over 4.531%
On Target Over 5.518%
Expected on target3.64
Shots per Game
GIL Vicente — total shots (home)14.6
Rio Ave — total shots (away)8.5
Shots on Target
GIL Vicente — on target (home)5.0
Rio Ave — on target (away)3.6
Shot Location Split avg per match, season
GIL Vicente
Inside the box7.88
Outside the box5.91
Rio Ave
Inside the box6.5
Outside the box4
Player Shots GIL Vicente
Murilo
Shots on Target/Game1
+0.5 On Target72%
+1.5 On Target22%
Pablo
Shots on Target/Game1
+0.5 On Target77%
+1.5 On Target15%
Gustavo Varela
Shots on Target/Game0.7
+0.5 On Target50%
+1.5 On Target19%
Luís Esteves
Shots on Target/Game0.7
+0.5 On Target58%
+1.5 On Target9%
Santi García
Shots on Target/Game0.6
+0.5 On Target42%
+1.5 On Target15%
Player Shots Rio Ave
Clayton
Shots on Target/Game1.2
+0.5 On Target58%
+1.5 On Target47%
J. Blesa
Shots on Target/Game1.1
+0.5 On Target69%
+1.5 On Target31%
André Luiz
Shots on Target/Game1
+0.5 On Target63%
+1.5 On Target21%
M. Vrousai
Shots on Target/Game0.6
+0.5 On Target42%
+1.5 On Target13%
Tamble Monteiro
Shots on Target/Game0.5
+0.5 On Target38%
+1.5 On Target15%
Probabilities are each player's own historical rate this season (minimum 3 matches played), not a joint match forecast.
Expected Goals (xG)
GIL Vicente xG (home)1.32
Rio Ave xG (away)1.04
Average Possession
49.79%
Possession
47.03%
Team Comparison GIL Vicente vs Rio Ave
80.24%
Pass accuracy
81.68%
374.15
Passes per match
386.65
-0.13
Goals prevented
0.13
13.53
Fouls committed
12.88
2.5
Goalkeeper saves
3.38
1.44
Offsides
1.57
14.56
Tackles per match
15.59
League average xG this season is 1.3 per team per match, for context.
Disclaimer: these predictions are generated by a statistical model and do not constitute financial advice or a guarantee of outcome. Bet responsibly and only what you can afford to lose.
PRE-MATCH ANALYSIS
GIL Vicente vs Rio Ave prediction analysis
Review GIL Vicente vs Rio Ave with prediction probabilities, 1X2, Over 2.5, BTTS, team form, market signals and key performance data from Primeira Liga.
1X2
Over 2.5
BTTS
Recent form
Team performance
Primeira Liga
DataHistorical results, fixtures and performance metrics
Markets1X2, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and trend indicators
AnalysisLeague, team, player and match-level insights