Prediction Analysis

Prediction Analysis: GIL Vicente vs Sporting CP

GIL Vicente vs Sporting CP prediction based on recent form, head-to-head data, team performance and key match statistics.

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Primeira Liga 2026-01-02 18:45
GIL Vicente
Home
Selected Prediction
Featured Pick
Over 2.5 Goals
Pick
Yes
Probability
46%
Confidence
Low
Score
0-1
Sporting CP
Away

Prediction Summary

1
23%
X
26%
2
51%
Under 2.5
54%
BTTS No
52%
Confidence
Low

Market Evidence

GIL Vicente (Home)

Goals scored / match1.65
Goals conceded / match1
Over 2.5 rate12%
BTTS rate47%

Sporting CP (Away)

Goals scored / match2.24
Goals conceded / match0.76
Over 2.5 rate35%
BTTS rate71%

Team Form last 5 matches

GIL Vicente
LLDWL
Sporting CP
WWWDD

Goals Comparison rate per team

82% +0.5 100%
59% +1.5 65%
12% +2.5 35%
6% +3.5 24%
6% +4.5 0%
47% BTTS 71%

Model Insight

The selected market is Over 2.5 Goals with a probability of 46%. Model confidence is Low.

GIL Vicente averages 1.65 goals scored at home, while Sporting CP averages 2.24 goals scored away.

Model Strength
54%

Other Top Markets for This Match

Home Win
23%
Draw
26%
Away Win
51%
Over 2.5
46%
BTTS Yes
48%

Head-to-Head last 5

May 2026 GIL Vicente(A) 0 - 3 Sporting CP Away
Jan 2026 GIL Vicente 1 - 1 Sporting CP Draw
May 2025 GIL Vicente(A) 1 - 2 Sporting CP Away
Feb 2025 GIL Vicente 0 - 1 Sporting CP Away
Dec 2024 GIL Vicente 0 - 0 Sporting CP Draw

In the last 5 meetings, GIL Vicente won 0, drew 2 and lost 3.

Current Streaks

GIL Vicente — unbeaten run (home)0
GIL Vicente — scoring streak (home)2
Sporting CP — winless run (away)0
Sporting CP — clean sheets (away, last 5)1 of 5

1X2 Probability model

GIL Vicente Win (1)23%
Draw (X)26%
Sporting CP Win (2)51%

Goals Over rate per team, own matches

82% +0.5 100%
59% +1.5 65%
12% +2.5 35%
6% +3.5 24%
6% +4.5 0%

Goals Under rate per team, own matches

18% -0.5 0%
41% -1.5 35%
88% -2.5 65%
94% -3.5 76%
94% -4.5 100%

GIL Vicente vs Sporting CP — share of each team's own matches finishing above/below each goal line.

Goal Averages per Team

GIL Vicente — scored (home)1.65
GIL Vicente — conceded (home)1
Sporting CP — scored (away)2.24
Sporting CP — conceded (away)0.76
Model expected combined goals2.5

Both Teams To Score

Yes48%
No52%

Rate per Team

GIL Vicente — BTTS matches (home)47%
Sporting CP — BTTS matches (away)71%
Combined (simple average)59%

Corners Line match total, blended estimate

Over 4.585%
Under 4.515%
Over 5.582%
Under 5.518%
Over 6.580%
Under 6.520%
Over 7.571%
Under 7.529%
Over 8.565%
Under 8.535%
Over 9.553%
Under 9.547%
Over 10.550%
Under 10.550%
Expected total corners (blended average)9.70

Per-Team Corners own matches

GIL Vicente (home)

Corners for5.4
Corners against3.4

Sporting CP (away)

Corners for7.5
Corners against3.2

Recent Trend last 5 matches — total corners

GIL Vicente
13 7 16 8 7
Sporting CP
9 10 8 11 7

Yellow Cards Line match total, blended estimate

Over 0.5100%
Under 0.50%
Over 1.5100%
Under 1.50%
Over 2.591%
Under 2.59%
Expected total yellow cards (blended average)5.3

Yellow Cards per Team

GIL Vicente (home)

For2.2

Sporting CP (away)

For2.7

Shots per Game

GIL Vicente — total shots (home)14.6
Sporting CP — total shots (away)16.1

Shots on Target

GIL Vicente — on target (home)5.0
Sporting CP — on target (away)6.1

Shot Location Split avg per match, season

GIL Vicente

Inside the box7.88
Outside the box5.91

Sporting CP

Inside the box11.82
Outside the box5.74

Player Shots GIL Vicente

Murilo
Shots on Target/Game1
+0.5 On Target72%
+1.5 On Target22%
Pablo
Shots on Target/Game1
+0.5 On Target77%
+1.5 On Target15%
Gustavo Varela
Shots on Target/Game0.7
+0.5 On Target50%
+1.5 On Target19%
Luís Esteves
Shots on Target/Game0.7
+0.5 On Target58%
+1.5 On Target9%
Santi García
Shots on Target/Game0.6
+0.5 On Target42%
+1.5 On Target15%

Player Shots Sporting CP

L. Suárez
Shots on Target/Game1.9
+0.5 On Target91%
+1.5 On Target50%
Pote
Shots on Target/Game1.3
+0.5 On Target67%
+1.5 On Target33%
C. Harder
Shots on Target/Game1
+0.5 On Target75%
+1.5 On Target25%
Geny Catamo
Shots on Target/Game0.8
+0.5 On Target38%
+1.5 On Target24%
Trincão
Shots on Target/Game0.7
+0.5 On Target53%
+1.5 On Target15%

Probabilities are each player's own historical rate this season (minimum 3 matches played), not a joint match forecast.

Expected Goals (xG)

GIL Vicente xG (home)1.32
Sporting CP xG (away)2.13

Average Possession

49.79% Possession 61.85%

Team Comparison GIL Vicente vs Sporting CP

80.24% Pass accuracy 87.56%
374.15 Passes per match 544.06
-0.13 Goals prevented -0.21
13.53 Fouls committed 12.24
2.5 Goalkeeper saves 2.29
1.44 Offsides 1.62
14.56 Tackles per match 15.76

League average xG this season is 1.3 per team per match, for context.

Disclaimer: these predictions are generated by a statistical model and do not constitute financial advice or a guarantee of outcome. Bet responsibly and only what you can afford to lose.
PRE-MATCH ANALYSIS

GIL Vicente vs Sporting CP prediction analysis

Review GIL Vicente vs Sporting CP with prediction probabilities, 1X2, Over 2.5, BTTS, team form, market signals and key performance data from Primeira Liga.

1X2 Over 2.5 BTTS Recent form Team performance Primeira Liga
DataHistorical results, fixtures and performance metrics
Markets1X2, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and trend indicators
AnalysisLeague, team, player and match-level insights
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