What markets are included in the Girona vs Alaves prediction?

GoalStatsLab may analyze 1X2 outcome probabilities, Over/Under 2.5 goals, Both Teams To Score, corners and cards where enough match data is available.

How is the Girona vs Alaves prediction calculated?

The prediction is based on available football data such as recent form, goals scored and conceded, home and away performance, league trends and selected market probabilities.

Are football predictions guaranteed?

No. Football predictions are statistical estimates and should be used for analysis, not as guaranteed betting outcomes or financial advice.

Prediction Analysis: Girona vs Alaves

Girona vs Alaves prediction based on recent form, head-to-head data, team performance and key match statistics.

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La Liga 2025-04-05 12:00

Girona

Home

Selected Prediction

Featured Pick

Over 2.5 Goals

Pick

Yes

Probability

64%

Confidence

Medium

Score

1-1

Alaves

Away

Prediction Summary

47%

23%

30%

Over 2.5

64%

BTTS Yes

65%

Confidence

Medium

Market Evidence

Girona (Home)

Goals scored / match1.42

Goals conceded / match1.58

Over 2.5 rate21%

BTTS rate53%

Alaves (Away)

Goals scored / match1.26

Goals conceded / match1.63

Over 2.5 rate11%

BTTS rate63%

Team Form last 5 matches

Girona

LLWLW

Alaves

DWWLD

Goals Comparison rate per team

68% +0.5 74%

37% +1.5 42%

21% +2.5 11%

16% +3.5 0%

0% +4.5 0%

53% BTTS 63%

Model Insight

The selected market is Over 2.5 Goals with a probability of 64%. Model confidence is Medium.

Girona averages 1.42 goals scored at home, while Alaves averages 1.26 goals scored away.

Model Strength

65%

Other Top Markets for This Match

Home Win

47%

Draw

23%

Away Win

30%

Over 2.5

64%

BTTS Yes

65%

Head-to-Head last 5

Jul 2026 Girona 0 - 1 Alaves Away

Feb 2026 Girona(A) 2 - 2 Alaves Draw

Nov 2025 Girona 1 - 0 Alaves Home

Apr 2025 Girona 0 - 1 Alaves Away

Jan 2025 Girona(A) 1 - 0 Alaves Home

In the last 5 meetings, Girona won 2, drew 1 and lost 2.

Current Streaks

Girona — unbeaten run (home)0

Girona — scoring streak (home)0

Alaves — winless run (away)0

Alaves — clean sheets (away, last 5)2 of 5

1X2 Probability model

Girona Win (1)47%

Draw (X)23%

Alaves Win (2)30%

Goals Over rate per team, own matches

68% +0.5 74%

37% +1.5 42%

21% +2.5 11%

16% +3.5 0%

0% +4.5 0%

Goals Under rate per team, own matches

32% -0.5 26%

63% -1.5 58%

79% -2.5 89%

84% -3.5 100%

100% -4.5 100%

Girona vs Alaves — share of each team's own matches finishing above/below each goal line.

Goal Averages per Team

Girona — scored (home)1.42

Girona — conceded (home)1.58

Alaves — scored (away)1.26

Alaves — conceded (away)1.63

Model expected combined goals3.31

Both Teams To Score

Yes65%

No35%

Rate per Team

Girona — BTTS matches (home)53%

Alaves — BTTS matches (away)63%

Combined (simple average)58%

Corners Line match total, blended estimate

Over 4.598%

Under 4.52%

Over 5.585%

Under 5.515%

Over 6.576%

Under 6.524%

Over 7.561%

Under 7.539%

Over 8.547%

Under 8.553%

Over 9.529%

Under 9.571%

Over 10.526%

Under 10.574%

Expected total corners (blended average)8.80

Per-Team Corners own matches

Girona (home)

Corners for5.6

Corners against3.4

Alaves (away)

Corners for3.8

Corners against4.6

Recent Trend last 5 matches — total corners

Girona

7 8 10 11 9

Alaves

8 11 13 14 14

Yellow Cards Line match total, blended estimate

Over 0.592%

Under 0.58%

Over 1.592%

Under 1.58%

Over 2.582%

Under 2.518%

Expected total yellow cards (blended average)4.8

Yellow Cards per Team

Girona (home)

For2.0

Alaves (away)

For3.0

Shots per Game

Girona — total shots (home)11.4

Alaves — total shots (away)10.6

Shots on Target

Girona — on target (home)4.0

Alaves — on target (away)3.6

Shot Location Split avg per match, season

Girona

Inside the box7.03

Outside the box3.55

Alaves

Inside the box7.03

Outside the box3.61

Player Shots Girona

Abel Ruiz

Shots on Target/Game1.5

+0.5 On Target26%

+1.5 On Target13%

Iván Martín

Shots on Target/Game1.5

+0.5 On Target6%

+1.5 On Target3%

David López

Shots on Target/Game1.5

+0.5 On Target7%

+1.5 On Target3%

Y. Herrera

Shots on Target/Game1.4

+0.5 On Target34%

+1.5 On Target14%

B. Miovski

Shots on Target/Game1.3

+0.5 On Target18%

+1.5 On Target6%

Player Shots Alaves

Manu Sánchez

Shots on Target/Game2

+0.5 On Target3%

+1.5 On Target3%

Kike García

Shots on Target/Game1.4

+0.5 On Target54%

+1.5 On Target17%

Carlos Vicente

Shots on Target/Game1.4

+0.5 On Target27%

+1.5 On Target8%

Toni Martínez

Shots on Target/Game1.4

+0.5 On Target39%

+1.5 On Target11%

Carlos Martín

Shots on Target/Game1.3

+0.5 On Target35%

+1.5 On Target4%

Probabilities are each player's own historical rate this season (minimum 3 matches played), not a joint match forecast.

Expected Goals (xG)

Girona xG (home)1.13

Alaves xG (away)1.16

Average Possession

56.47% Possession 45.26%

Team Comparison Girona vs Alaves

87.37% Pass accuracy 73.08%

517.42 Passes per match 341.03

-0.2 Goals prevented 0

11.5 Fouls committed 16.39

2.86 Goalkeeper saves 2.29

2.14 Offsides 2.14

14.92 Tackles per match 19.21

League average xG this season is 1.29 per team per match, for context.

Disclaimer: these predictions are generated by a statistical model and do not constitute financial advice or a guarantee of outcome. Bet responsibly and only what you can afford to lose.

PRE-MATCH ANALYSIS

Girona vs Alaves prediction analysis

Review Girona vs Alaves with prediction probabilities, 1X2, Over 2.5, BTTS, team form, market signals and key performance data from La Liga.

1X2 Over 2.5 BTTS Recent form Team performance La Liga

DataHistorical results, fixtures and performance metrics

Markets1X2, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and trend indicators

AnalysisLeague, team, player and match-level insights