Prediction Analysis

Prediction Analysis: Girona vs Levante

Girona vs Levante prediction based on recent form, head-to-head data, team performance and key match statistics.

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La Liga 2025-09-20 12:00
Girona
Home
Selected Prediction
Featured Pick
Over 2.5 Goals
Pick
Yes
Probability
50%
Confidence
Low
Score
1-1
Levante
Away

Prediction Summary

1
41%
X
26%
2
33%
O/U 2.5 · No edge
50%
BTTS Yes
54%
Confidence
Low

Market Evidence

Girona (Home)

Goals scored / match1.11
Goals conceded / match1.42
Over 2.5 rate11%
BTTS rate53%

Levante (Away)

Goals scored / match1.11
Goals conceded / match1.74
Over 2.5 rate16%
BTTS rate47%

Team Form last 5 matches

Girona
DLDDL
Levante
LWWWL

Goals Comparison rate per team

74% +0.5 63%
26% +1.5 26%
11% +2.5 16%
0% +3.5 5%
0% +4.5 0%
53% BTTS 47%

Model Insight

The selected market is Over 2.5 Goals with a probability of 50%. Model confidence is Low.

Girona averages 1.11 goals scored at home, while Levante averages 1.11 goals scored away.

Model Strength
54%

Other Top Markets for This Match

Home Win
41%
Draw
26%
Away Win
33%
Over 2.5
50%
BTTS Yes
54%

Head-to-Head last 2

Mar 2026 Girona(A) 1 - 1 Levante Draw
Sep 2025 Girona 0 - 4 Levante Away

In the last 2 meetings, Girona won 0, drew 1 and lost 1.

Current Streaks

Girona — unbeaten run (home)2
Girona — scoring streak (home)2
Levante — winless run (away)1
Levante — clean sheets (away, last 5)1 of 5

1X2 Probability model

Girona Win (1)41%
Draw (X)26%
Levante Win (2)33%

Goals Over rate per team, own matches

74% +0.5 63%
26% +1.5 26%
11% +2.5 16%
0% +3.5 5%
0% +4.5 0%

Goals Under rate per team, own matches

26% -0.5 37%
74% -1.5 74%
89% -2.5 84%
100% -3.5 95%
100% -4.5 100%

Girona vs Levante — share of each team's own matches finishing above/below each goal line.

Goal Averages per Team

Girona — scored (home)1.11
Girona — conceded (home)1.42
Levante — scored (away)1.11
Levante — conceded (away)1.74
Model expected combined goals2.68

Both Teams To Score

Yes54%
No46%

Rate per Team

Girona — BTTS matches (home)53%
Levante — BTTS matches (away)47%
Combined (simple average)50%

Corners Line match total, blended estimate

Over 4.592%
Under 4.58%
Over 5.592%
Under 5.58%
Over 6.582%
Under 6.518%
Over 7.561%
Under 7.539%
Over 8.550%
Under 8.550%
Over 9.540%
Under 9.560%
Over 10.535%
Under 10.565%
Expected total corners (blended average)9.60

Per-Team Corners own matches

Girona (home)

Corners for4.8
Corners against3.9

Levante (away)

Corners for3.3
Corners against7.1

Recent Trend last 5 matches — total corners

Girona
7 14 9 17 3
Levante
10 16 8 10 12

Yellow Cards Line match total, blended estimate

Over 0.5100%
Under 0.50%
Over 1.590%
Under 1.510%
Over 2.582%
Under 2.518%
Expected total yellow cards (blended average)4.6

Yellow Cards per Team

Girona (home)

For2.2

Levante (away)

For2.3

Shots per Game

Girona — total shots (home)11.6
Levante — total shots (away)10.4

Shots on Target

Girona — on target (home)4.1
Levante — on target (away)3.7

Shot Location Split avg per match, season

Girona

Inside the box7.24
Outside the box3.95

Levante

Inside the box7.92
Outside the box4.61

Player Shots Girona

A. Ounahi
Shots on Target/Game0.8
+0.5 On Target54%
+1.5 On Target21%
V. Vanat
Shots on Target/Game0.7
+0.5 On Target52%
+1.5 On Target15%
V. Tsygankov
Shots on Target/Game0.7
+0.5 On Target53%
+1.5 On Target6%
C. Stuani
Shots on Target/Game0.6
+0.5 On Target43%
+1.5 On Target10%
Joel Roca
Shots on Target/Game0.5
+0.5 On Target44%
+1.5 On Target6%

Player Shots Levante

Carlos Espí
Shots on Target/Game1
+0.5 On Target56%
+1.5 On Target32%
Etta Eyong
Shots on Target/Game0.7
+0.5 On Target50%
+1.5 On Target13%
Iván Romero
Shots on Target/Game0.6
+0.5 On Target50%
+1.5 On Target6%
Brugui
Shots on Target/Game0.5
+0.5 On Target32%
+1.5 On Target16%
Víctor García
Shots on Target/Game0.4
+0.5 On Target29%
+1.5 On Target5%

Probabilities are each player's own historical rate this season (minimum 3 matches played), not a joint match forecast.

Expected Goals (xG)

Girona xG (home)1.27
Levante xG (away)1.38

Average Possession

50.63% Possession 42.79%

Team Comparison Girona vs Levante

85.03% Pass accuracy 78.03%
467.16 Passes per match 355.34
0.22 Goals prevented 0.14
10.74 Fouls committed 12.26
3.35 Goalkeeper saves 3.58
1.95 Offsides 1.59
15.42 Tackles per match 15.68

League average xG this season is 1.35 per team per match, for context.

Disclaimer: these predictions are generated by a statistical model and do not constitute financial advice or a guarantee of outcome. Bet responsibly and only what you can afford to lose.
PRE-MATCH ANALYSIS

Girona vs Levante prediction analysis

Review Girona vs Levante with prediction probabilities, 1X2, Over 2.5, BTTS, team form, market signals and key performance data from La Liga.

1X2 Over 2.5 BTTS Recent form Team performance La Liga
DataHistorical results, fixtures and performance metrics
Markets1X2, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and trend indicators
AnalysisLeague, team, player and match-level insights
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