Prediction Analysis

Prediction Analysis: Girona vs Osasuna

Girona vs Osasuna prediction based on recent form, head-to-head data, team performance and key match statistics.

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La Liga 2026-01-10 17:30
Girona
Home
Selected Prediction
Featured Pick
Over 2.5 Goals
Pick
Yes
Probability
38%
Confidence
Medium
Score
1-1
Osasuna
Away

Prediction Summary

1
36%
X
29%
2
36%
Under 2.5
62%
BTTS No
55%
Confidence
Medium

Market Evidence

Girona (Home)

Goals scored / match1.11
Goals conceded / match1.42
Over 2.5 rate11%
BTTS rate53%

Osasuna (Away)

Goals scored / match0.68
Goals conceded / match1.37
Over 2.5 rate5%
BTTS rate37%

Team Form last 5 matches

Girona
DLDDL
Osasuna
LLLLL

Goals Comparison rate per team

74% +0.5 37%
26% +1.5 26%
11% +2.5 5%
0% +3.5 0%
0% +4.5 0%
53% BTTS 37%

Model Insight

The selected market is Over 2.5 Goals with a probability of 38%. Model confidence is Medium.

Girona averages 1.11 goals scored at home, while Osasuna averages 0.68 goals scored away.

Model Strength
62%

Other Top Markets for This Match

Home Win
36%
Draw
29%
Away Win
36%
Over 2.5
38%
BTTS Yes
45%

Head-to-Head last 5

Mar 2026 Girona(A) 0 - 1 Osasuna Away
Jan 2026 Girona 1 - 0 Osasuna Home
Apr 2025 Girona(A) 1 - 2 Osasuna Away
Aug 2024 Girona 4 - 0 Osasuna Home
Mar 2024 Girona 2 - 0 Osasuna Home

In the last 5 meetings, Girona won 3, drew 0 and lost 2.

Current Streaks

Girona — unbeaten run (home)2
Girona — scoring streak (home)2
Osasuna — winless run (away)7
Osasuna — clean sheets (away, last 5)0 of 5

1X2 Probability model

Girona Win (1)36%
Draw (X)29%
Osasuna Win (2)36%

Goals Over rate per team, own matches

74% +0.5 37%
26% +1.5 26%
11% +2.5 5%
0% +3.5 0%
0% +4.5 0%

Goals Under rate per team, own matches

26% -0.5 63%
74% -1.5 74%
89% -2.5 95%
100% -3.5 100%
100% -4.5 100%

Girona vs Osasuna — share of each team's own matches finishing above/below each goal line.

Goal Averages per Team

Girona — scored (home)1.11
Girona — conceded (home)1.42
Osasuna — scored (away)0.68
Osasuna — conceded (away)1.37
Model expected combined goals2.22

Both Teams To Score

Yes45%
No55%

Rate per Team

Girona — BTTS matches (home)53%
Osasuna — BTTS matches (away)37%
Combined (simple average)45%

Corners Line match total, blended estimate

Over 4.590%
Under 4.510%
Over 5.587%
Under 5.513%
Over 6.577%
Under 6.523%
Over 7.553%
Under 7.547%
Over 8.547%
Under 8.553%
Over 9.537%
Under 9.563%
Over 10.527%
Under 10.573%
Expected total corners (blended average)8.70

Per-Team Corners own matches

Girona (home)

Corners for4.8
Corners against3.9

Osasuna (away)

Corners for2.9
Corners against5.8

Recent Trend last 5 matches — total corners

Girona
7 14 9 17 3
Osasuna
10 16 12 11 6

Yellow Cards Line match total, blended estimate

Over 0.5100%
Under 0.50%
Over 1.587%
Under 1.513%
Over 2.579%
Under 2.521%
Expected total yellow cards (blended average)4.6

Yellow Cards per Team

Girona (home)

For2.2

Osasuna (away)

For2.5

Shots per Game

Girona — total shots (home)11.6
Osasuna — total shots (away)8.9

Shots on Target

Girona — on target (home)4.1
Osasuna — on target (away)2.7

Shot Location Split avg per match, season

Girona

Inside the box7.24
Outside the box3.95

Osasuna

Inside the box8.29
Outside the box3.55

Player Shots Girona

A. Ounahi
Shots on Target/Game0.8
+0.5 On Target54%
+1.5 On Target21%
V. Vanat
Shots on Target/Game0.7
+0.5 On Target52%
+1.5 On Target15%
V. Tsygankov
Shots on Target/Game0.7
+0.5 On Target53%
+1.5 On Target6%
C. Stuani
Shots on Target/Game0.6
+0.5 On Target43%
+1.5 On Target10%
Joel Roca
Shots on Target/Game0.5
+0.5 On Target44%
+1.5 On Target6%

Player Shots Osasuna

A. Budimir
Shots on Target/Game1.1
+0.5 On Target65%
+1.5 On Target38%
Víctor Muñoz
Shots on Target/Game0.9
+0.5 On Target44%
+1.5 On Target29%
Raúl García
Shots on Target/Game0.6
+0.5 On Target50%
+1.5 On Target11%
Rubén García
Shots on Target/Game0.3
+0.5 On Target26%
+1.5 On Target3%
Lucas Torró
Shots on Target/Game0.2
+0.5 On Target18%
+1.5 On Target6%

Probabilities are each player's own historical rate this season (minimum 3 matches played), not a joint match forecast.

Expected Goals (xG)

Girona xG (home)1.27
Osasuna xG (away)1.21

Average Possession

50.63% Possession 46.84%

Team Comparison Girona vs Osasuna

85.03% Pass accuracy 78.97%
467.16 Passes per match 386.37
0.22 Goals prevented 0.07
10.74 Fouls committed 13.47
3.35 Goalkeeper saves 3.3
1.95 Offsides 1.5
15.42 Tackles per match 14.5

League average xG this season is 1.35 per team per match, for context.

Disclaimer: these predictions are generated by a statistical model and do not constitute financial advice or a guarantee of outcome. Bet responsibly and only what you can afford to lose.
PRE-MATCH ANALYSIS

Girona vs Osasuna prediction analysis

Review Girona vs Osasuna with prediction probabilities, 1X2, Over 2.5, BTTS, team form, market signals and key performance data from La Liga.

1X2 Over 2.5 BTTS Recent form Team performance La Liga
DataHistorical results, fixtures and performance metrics
Markets1X2, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and trend indicators
AnalysisLeague, team, player and match-level insights
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