Prediction Analysis

Prediction Analysis: Girona vs Oviedo

Girona vs Oviedo prediction based on recent form, head-to-head data, team performance and key match statistics.

Back to Predictions
La Liga 2025-10-25 12:00
Girona
Home
Selected Prediction
Featured Pick
Over 2.5 Goals
Pick
Yes
Probability
40%
Confidence
Medium
Score
1-1
Oviedo
Away

Prediction Summary

1
31%
X
28%
2
41%
Under 2.5
60%
BTTS No
54%
Confidence
Medium

Market Evidence

Girona (Home)

Goals scored / match1.11
Goals conceded / match1.42
Over 2.5 rate11%
BTTS rate53%

Oviedo (Away)

Goals scored / match0.89
Goals conceded / match2.21
Over 2.5 rate16%
BTTS rate37%

Team Form last 5 matches

Girona
DLDDL
Oviedo
LLLDL

Goals Comparison rate per team

74% +0.5 42%
26% +1.5 32%
11% +2.5 16%
0% +3.5 0%
0% +4.5 0%
53% BTTS 37%

Model Insight

The selected market is Over 2.5 Goals with a probability of 40%. Model confidence is Medium.

Girona averages 1.11 goals scored at home, while Oviedo averages 0.89 goals scored away.

Model Strength
60%

Other Top Markets for This Match

Home Win
31%
Draw
28%
Away Win
41%
Over 2.5
40%
BTTS Yes
46%

Head-to-Head last 5

Jan 2026 Girona(A) 0 - 1 Oviedo Away
Oct 2025 Girona 3 - 3 Oviedo Draw
Mar 2022 Girona 2 - 1 Oviedo Home
Sep 2021 Girona(A) 0 - 0 Oviedo Draw
Apr 2021 Girona(A) 1 - 0 Oviedo Home

In the last 5 meetings, Girona won 2, drew 2 and lost 1.

Current Streaks

Girona — unbeaten run (home)2
Girona — scoring streak (home)2
Oviedo — winless run (away)3
Oviedo — clean sheets (away, last 5)1 of 5

1X2 Probability model

Girona Win (1)31%
Draw (X)28%
Oviedo Win (2)41%

Goals Over rate per team, own matches

74% +0.5 42%
26% +1.5 32%
11% +2.5 16%
0% +3.5 0%
0% +4.5 0%

Goals Under rate per team, own matches

26% -0.5 58%
74% -1.5 68%
89% -2.5 84%
100% -3.5 100%
100% -4.5 100%

Girona vs Oviedo — share of each team's own matches finishing above/below each goal line.

Goal Averages per Team

Girona — scored (home)1.11
Girona — conceded (home)1.42
Oviedo — scored (away)0.89
Oviedo — conceded (away)2.21
Model expected combined goals2.3

Both Teams To Score

Yes46%
No54%

Rate per Team

Girona — BTTS matches (home)53%
Oviedo — BTTS matches (away)37%
Combined (simple average)45%

Corners Line match total, blended estimate

Over 4.590%
Under 4.510%
Over 5.587%
Under 5.513%
Over 6.582%
Under 6.518%
Over 7.563%
Under 7.537%
Over 8.558%
Under 8.542%
Over 9.540%
Under 9.560%
Over 10.535%
Under 10.565%
Expected total corners (blended average)9.10

Per-Team Corners own matches

Girona (home)

Corners for4.8
Corners against3.9

Oviedo (away)

Corners for3.3
Corners against6.3

Recent Trend last 5 matches — total corners

Girona
7 14 9 17 3
Oviedo
9 10 9 7 10

Yellow Cards Line match total, blended estimate

Over 0.595%
Under 0.55%
Over 1.584%
Under 1.516%
Over 2.577%
Under 2.523%
Expected total yellow cards (blended average)4.1

Yellow Cards per Team

Girona (home)

For2.2

Oviedo (away)

For2.4

Shots per Game

Girona — total shots (home)11.6
Oviedo — total shots (away)9.7

Shots on Target

Girona — on target (home)4.1
Oviedo — on target (away)3.2

Shot Location Split avg per match, season

Girona

Inside the box7.24
Outside the box3.95

Oviedo

Inside the box6.37
Outside the box3.55

Player Shots Girona

A. Ounahi
Shots on Target/Game0.8
+0.5 On Target54%
+1.5 On Target21%
V. Vanat
Shots on Target/Game0.7
+0.5 On Target52%
+1.5 On Target15%
V. Tsygankov
Shots on Target/Game0.7
+0.5 On Target53%
+1.5 On Target6%
C. Stuani
Shots on Target/Game0.6
+0.5 On Target43%
+1.5 On Target10%
Joel Roca
Shots on Target/Game0.5
+0.5 On Target44%
+1.5 On Target6%

Player Shots Oviedo

I. Chaira
Shots on Target/Game1
+0.5 On Target61%
+1.5 On Target31%
F. Viñas
Shots on Target/Game0.6
+0.5 On Target39%
+1.5 On Target18%
S. Rondón
Shots on Target/Game0.3
+0.5 On Target31%
+1.5 On Target0%
T. Fernández
Shots on Target/Game0.3
+0.5 On Target31%
+1.5 On Target0%
Alberto Reina
Shots on Target/Game0.3
+0.5 On Target24%
+1.5 On Target5%

Probabilities are each player's own historical rate this season (minimum 3 matches played), not a joint match forecast.

Expected Goals (xG)

Girona xG (home)1.27
Oviedo xG (away)0.95

Average Possession

50.63% Possession 46.03%

Team Comparison Girona vs Oviedo

85.03% Pass accuracy 80.89%
467.16 Passes per match 390.76
0.22 Goals prevented 0.03
10.74 Fouls committed 12.47
3.35 Goalkeeper saves 4.11
1.95 Offsides 2.23
15.42 Tackles per match 17.79

League average xG this season is 1.35 per team per match, for context.

Disclaimer: these predictions are generated by a statistical model and do not constitute financial advice or a guarantee of outcome. Bet responsibly and only what you can afford to lose.
PRE-MATCH ANALYSIS

Girona vs Oviedo prediction analysis

Review Girona vs Oviedo with prediction probabilities, 1X2, Over 2.5, BTTS, team form, market signals and key performance data from La Liga.

1X2 Over 2.5 BTTS Recent form Team performance La Liga
DataHistorical results, fixtures and performance metrics
Markets1X2, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and trend indicators
AnalysisLeague, team, player and match-level insights
Scroll to Top