What markets are included in the Girona vs Real Madrid prediction?

GoalStatsLab may analyze 1X2 outcome probabilities, Over/Under 2.5 goals, Both Teams To Score, corners and cards where enough match data is available.

How is the Girona vs Real Madrid prediction calculated?

The prediction is based on available football data such as recent form, goals scored and conceded, home and away performance, league trends and selected market probabilities.

Are football predictions guaranteed?

No. Football predictions are statistical estimates and should be used for analysis, not as guaranteed betting outcomes or financial advice.

Prediction Analysis: Girona vs Real Madrid

Girona vs Real Madrid prediction based on recent form, head-to-head data, team performance and key match statistics.

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La Liga 2025-11-30 20:00

Girona

Home

Selected Prediction

Featured Pick

Over 2.5 Goals

Pick

Yes

Probability

59%

Confidence

Medium

Score

1-1

Real Madrid

Away

Prediction Summary

22%

56%

Over 2.5

59%

BTTS Yes

58%

Confidence

Medium

Market Evidence

Girona (Home)

Goals scored / match1.11

Goals conceded / match1.42

Over 2.5 rate11%

BTTS rate53%

Real Madrid (Away)

Goals scored / match1.68

Goals conceded / match1

Over 2.5 rate16%

BTTS rate53%

Team Form last 5 matches

Girona

DLDDL

Real Madrid

WWWLW

Goals Comparison rate per team

74% +0.5 89%

26% +1.5 58%

11% +2.5 16%

0% +3.5 5%

0% +4.5 0%

53% BTTS 53%

Model Insight

The selected market is Over 2.5 Goals with a probability of 59%. Model confidence is Medium.

Girona averages 1.11 goals scored at home, while Real Madrid averages 1.68 goals scored away.

Model Strength

59%

Other Top Markets for This Match

Home Win

22%

Draw

22%

Away Win

56%

Over 2.5

59%

BTTS Yes

58%

Head-to-Head last 5

Apr 2026 Girona(A) 1 - 1 Real Madrid Draw

Nov 2025 Girona 1 - 1 Real Madrid Draw

Feb 2025 Girona(A) 0 - 2 Real Madrid Away

Dec 2024 Girona 0 - 3 Real Madrid Away

Feb 2024 Girona(A) 0 - 4 Real Madrid Away

In the last 5 meetings, Girona won 0, drew 2 and lost 3.

Current Streaks

Girona — unbeaten run (home)2

Girona — scoring streak (home)2

Real Madrid — winless run (away)0

Real Madrid — clean sheets (away, last 5)2 of 5

1X2 Probability model

Girona Win (1)22%

Draw (X)22%

Real Madrid Win (2)56%

Goals Over rate per team, own matches

74% +0.5 89%

26% +1.5 58%

11% +2.5 16%

0% +3.5 5%

0% +4.5 0%

Goals Under rate per team, own matches

26% -0.5 11%

74% -1.5 42%

89% -2.5 84%

100% -3.5 95%

100% -4.5 100%

Girona vs Real Madrid — share of each team's own matches finishing above/below each goal line.

Goal Averages per Team

Girona — scored (home)1.11

Girona — conceded (home)1.42

Real Madrid — scored (away)1.68

Real Madrid — conceded (away)1

Model expected combined goals3.07

Both Teams To Score

Yes58%

No42%

Rate per Team

Girona — BTTS matches (home)53%

Real Madrid — BTTS matches (away)53%

Combined (simple average)53%

Corners Line match total, blended estimate

Over 4.592%

Under 4.58%

Over 5.590%

Under 5.510%

Over 6.587%

Under 6.513%

Over 7.566%

Under 7.534%

Over 8.561%

Under 8.539%

Over 9.553%

Under 9.547%

Over 10.540%

Under 10.560%

Expected total corners (blended average)9.60

Per-Team Corners own matches

Girona (home)

Corners for4.8

Corners against3.9

Real Madrid (away)

Corners for6.1

Corners against4.3

Recent Trend last 5 matches — total corners

Girona

7 14 9 17 3

Real Madrid

11 12 9 8 3

Yellow Cards Line match total, blended estimate

Over 0.5100%

Under 0.50%

Over 1.592%

Under 1.58%

Over 2.579%

Under 2.521%

Expected total yellow cards (blended average)4.5

Yellow Cards per Team

Girona (home)

For2.2

Real Madrid (away)

For1.7

Shots per Game

Girona — total shots (home)11.6

Real Madrid — total shots (away)15.9

Shots on Target

Girona — on target (home)4.1

Real Madrid — on target (away)5.6

Shot Location Split avg per match, season

Girona

Inside the box7.24

Outside the box3.95

Real Madrid

Inside the box11.13

Outside the box6.34

Player Shots Girona

A. Ounahi

Shots on Target/Game0.8

+0.5 On Target54%

+1.5 On Target21%

V. Vanat

Shots on Target/Game0.7

+0.5 On Target52%

+1.5 On Target15%

V. Tsygankov

Shots on Target/Game0.7

+0.5 On Target53%

+1.5 On Target6%

C. Stuani

Shots on Target/Game0.6

+0.5 On Target43%

+1.5 On Target10%

Joel Roca

Shots on Target/Game0.5

+0.5 On Target44%

+1.5 On Target6%

Player Shots Real Madrid

Kylian Mbappé

Shots on Target/Game2

+0.5 On Target84%

+1.5 On Target68%

Vinícius Júnior

Shots on Target/Game1.3

+0.5 On Target72%

+1.5 On Target36%

J. Bellingham

Shots on Target/Game0.9

+0.5 On Target54%

+1.5 On Target32%

F. Valverde

Shots on Target/Game0.7

+0.5 On Target48%

+1.5 On Target15%

Rodrygo

Shots on Target/Game0.6

+0.5 On Target47%

+1.5 On Target11%

Probabilities are each player's own historical rate this season (minimum 3 matches played), not a joint match forecast.

Expected Goals (xG)

Girona xG (home)1.27

Real Madrid xG (away)2.05

Average Possession

50.63% Possession 59.39%

Team Comparison Girona vs Real Madrid

85.03% Pass accuracy 89.18%

467.16 Passes per match 587.05

0.22 Goals prevented 0.02

10.74 Fouls committed 10

3.35 Goalkeeper saves 2.26

1.95 Offsides 2.23

15.42 Tackles per match 15.55

League average xG this season is 1.35 per team per match, for context.

Disclaimer: these predictions are generated by a statistical model and do not constitute financial advice or a guarantee of outcome. Bet responsibly and only what you can afford to lose.

PRE-MATCH ANALYSIS

Girona vs Real Madrid prediction analysis

Review Girona vs Real Madrid with prediction probabilities, 1X2, Over 2.5, BTTS, team form, market signals and key performance data from La Liga.

1X2 Over 2.5 BTTS Recent form Team performance La Liga

DataHistorical results, fixtures and performance metrics

Markets1X2, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and trend indicators

AnalysisLeague, team, player and match-level insights