What markets are included in the Girona vs Valencia prediction?

GoalStatsLab may analyze 1X2 outcome probabilities, Over/Under 2.5 goals, Both Teams To Score, corners and cards where enough match data is available.

How is the Girona vs Valencia prediction calculated?

The prediction is based on available football data such as recent form, goals scored and conceded, home and away performance, league trends and selected market probabilities.

Are football predictions guaranteed?

No. Football predictions are statistical estimates and should be used for analysis, not as guaranteed betting outcomes or financial advice.

Prediction Analysis: Girona vs Valencia

Girona vs Valencia prediction based on recent form, head-to-head data, team performance and key match statistics.

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La Liga 2025-10-04 14:15

Girona

Home

Selected Prediction

Featured Pick

Over 2.5 Goals

Pick

Yes

Probability

60%

Confidence

Medium

Score

1-1

Valencia

Away

Prediction Summary

42%

24%

34%

Over 2.5

60%

BTTS Yes

62%

Confidence

Medium

Market Evidence

Girona (Home)

Goals scored / match1.11

Goals conceded / match1.42

Over 2.5 rate11%

BTTS rate53%

Valencia (Away)

Goals scored / match1

Goals conceded / match1.68

Over 2.5 rate5%

BTTS rate47%

Team Form last 5 matches

Girona

DLDDL

Valencia

WWDWL

Goals Comparison rate per team

74% +0.5 68%

26% +1.5 21%

11% +2.5 5%

0% +3.5 5%

0% +4.5 0%

53% BTTS 47%

Model Insight

The selected market is Over 2.5 Goals with a probability of 60%. Model confidence is Medium.

Girona averages 1.11 goals scored at home, while Valencia averages 1 goals scored away.

Model Strength

62%

Other Top Markets for This Match

Home Win

42%

Draw

24%

Away Win

34%

Over 2.5

60%

BTTS Yes

62%

Head-to-Head last 5

Apr 2026 Girona(A) 1 - 2 Valencia Away

Oct 2025 Girona 2 - 1 Valencia Home

Mar 2025 Girona 1 - 1 Valencia Draw

Sep 2024 Girona(A) 0 - 2 Valencia Away

May 2024 Girona(A) 3 - 1 Valencia Home

In the last 5 meetings, Girona won 2, drew 1 and lost 2.

Current Streaks

Girona — unbeaten run (home)2

Girona — scoring streak (home)2

Valencia — winless run (away)0

Valencia — clean sheets (away, last 5)2 of 5

1X2 Probability model

Girona Win (1)42%

Draw (X)24%

Valencia Win (2)34%

Goals Over rate per team, own matches

74% +0.5 68%

26% +1.5 21%

11% +2.5 5%

0% +3.5 5%

0% +4.5 0%

Goals Under rate per team, own matches

26% -0.5 32%

74% -1.5 79%

89% -2.5 95%

100% -3.5 95%

100% -4.5 100%

Girona vs Valencia — share of each team's own matches finishing above/below each goal line.

Goal Averages per Team

Girona — scored (home)1.11

Girona — conceded (home)1.42

Valencia — scored (away)1

Valencia — conceded (away)1.68

Model expected combined goals3.08

Both Teams To Score

Yes62%

No38%

Rate per Team

Girona — BTTS matches (home)53%

Valencia — BTTS matches (away)47%

Combined (simple average)50%

Corners Line match total, blended estimate

Over 4.590%

Under 4.510%

Over 5.584%

Under 5.516%

Over 6.579%

Under 6.521%

Over 7.555%

Under 7.545%

Over 8.550%

Under 8.550%

Over 9.540%

Under 9.560%

Over 10.537%

Under 10.563%

Expected total corners (blended average)9.10

Per-Team Corners own matches

Girona (home)

Corners for4.8

Corners against3.9

Valencia (away)

Corners for4.2

Corners against5.3

Recent Trend last 5 matches — total corners

Girona

7 14 9 17 3

Valencia

8 18 6 5 15

Yellow Cards Line match total, blended estimate

Over 0.5100%

Under 0.50%

Over 1.590%

Under 1.510%

Over 2.574%

Under 2.526%

Expected total yellow cards (blended average)4.2

Yellow Cards per Team

Girona (home)

For2.2

Valencia (away)

For1.9

Shots per Game

Girona — total shots (home)11.6

Valencia — total shots (away)9.8

Shots on Target

Girona — on target (home)4.1

Valencia — on target (away)3.1

Shot Location Split avg per match, season

Girona

Inside the box7.24

Outside the box3.95

Valencia

Inside the box7.68

Outside the box4.13

Player Shots Girona

A. Ounahi

Shots on Target/Game0.8

+0.5 On Target54%

+1.5 On Target21%

V. Vanat

Shots on Target/Game0.7

+0.5 On Target52%

+1.5 On Target15%

V. Tsygankov

Shots on Target/Game0.7

+0.5 On Target53%

+1.5 On Target6%

C. Stuani

Shots on Target/Game0.6

+0.5 On Target43%

+1.5 On Target10%

Joel Roca

Shots on Target/Game0.5

+0.5 On Target44%

+1.5 On Target6%

Player Shots Valencia

L. Ramazani

Shots on Target/Game0.7

+0.5 On Target48%

+1.5 On Target11%

U. Sadiq

Shots on Target/Game0.5

+0.5 On Target40%

+1.5 On Target10%

A. Danjuma

Shots on Target/Game0.5

+0.5 On Target33%

+1.5 On Target10%

Hugo Duro

Shots on Target/Game0.4

+0.5 On Target33%

+1.5 On Target6%

M. Diakhaby

Shots on Target/Game0.4

+0.5 On Target38%

+1.5 On Target0%

Probabilities are each player's own historical rate this season (minimum 3 matches played), not a joint match forecast.

Expected Goals (xG)

Girona xG (home)1.27

Valencia xG (away)1.31

Average Possession

50.63% Possession 47.63%

Team Comparison Girona vs Valencia

85.03% Pass accuracy 80.71%

467.16 Passes per match 405.92

0.22 Goals prevented -0.08

10.74 Fouls committed 12.08

3.35 Goalkeeper saves 2.86

1.95 Offsides 1.76

15.42 Tackles per match 15.87

League average xG this season is 1.35 per team per match, for context.

Disclaimer: these predictions are generated by a statistical model and do not constitute financial advice or a guarantee of outcome. Bet responsibly and only what you can afford to lose.

PRE-MATCH ANALYSIS

Girona vs Valencia prediction analysis

Review Girona vs Valencia with prediction probabilities, 1X2, Over 2.5, BTTS, team form, market signals and key performance data from La Liga.

1X2 Over 2.5 BTTS Recent form Team performance La Liga

DataHistorical results, fixtures and performance metrics

Markets1X2, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and trend indicators

AnalysisLeague, team, player and match-level insights