What markets are included in the Girona vs Villarreal prediction?

GoalStatsLab may analyze 1X2 outcome probabilities, Over/Under 2.5 goals, Both Teams To Score, corners and cards where enough match data is available.

How is the Girona vs Villarreal prediction calculated?

The prediction is based on available football data such as recent form, goals scored and conceded, home and away performance, league trends and selected market probabilities.

Are football predictions guaranteed?

No. Football predictions are statistical estimates and should be used for analysis, not as guaranteed betting outcomes or financial advice.

Prediction Analysis: Girona vs Villarreal

Girona vs Villarreal prediction based on recent form, head-to-head data, team performance and key match statistics.

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La Liga 2025-05-10 16:30

Girona

Home

Selected Prediction

Featured Pick

Over 2.5 Goals

Pick

Yes

Probability

55%

Confidence

Medium

Score

1-1

Villarreal

Away

Prediction Summary

38%

25%

38%

Over 2.5

55%

BTTS Yes

58%

Confidence

Medium

Market Evidence

Girona (Home)

Goals scored / match1.42

Goals conceded / match1.58

Over 2.5 rate21%

BTTS rate53%

Villarreal (Away)

Goals scored / match1.47

Goals conceded / match1.26

Over 2.5 rate11%

BTTS rate63%

Team Form last 5 matches

Girona

LLWLW

Villarreal

WWWWW

Goals Comparison rate per team

68% +0.5 74%

37% +1.5 53%

21% +2.5 11%

16% +3.5 5%

0% +4.5 5%

53% BTTS 63%

Model Insight

The selected market is Over 2.5 Goals with a probability of 55%. Model confidence is Medium.

Girona averages 1.42 goals scored at home, while Villarreal averages 1.47 goals scored away.

Model Strength

58%

Other Top Markets for This Match

Home Win

38%

Draw

25%

Away Win

38%

Over 2.5

55%

BTTS Yes

58%

Head-to-Head last 5

Apr 2026 Girona 1 - 0 Villarreal Home

Aug 2025 Girona(A) 0 - 5 Villarreal Away

May 2025 Girona 0 - 1 Villarreal Away

Dec 2024 Girona(A) 2 - 2 Villarreal Draw

May 2024 Girona 0 - 1 Villarreal Away

In the last 5 meetings, Girona won 1, drew 1 and lost 3.

Current Streaks

Girona — unbeaten run (home)0

Girona — scoring streak (home)0

Villarreal — winless run (away)0

Villarreal — clean sheets (away, last 5)1 of 5

1X2 Probability model

Girona Win (1)38%

Draw (X)25%

Villarreal Win (2)38%

Goals Over rate per team, own matches

68% +0.5 74%

37% +1.5 53%

21% +2.5 11%

16% +3.5 5%

0% +4.5 5%

Goals Under rate per team, own matches

32% -0.5 26%

63% -1.5 47%

79% -2.5 89%

84% -3.5 95%

100% -4.5 95%

Girona vs Villarreal — share of each team's own matches finishing above/below each goal line.

Goal Averages per Team

Girona — scored (home)1.42

Girona — conceded (home)1.58

Villarreal — scored (away)1.47

Villarreal — conceded (away)1.26

Model expected combined goals2.88

Both Teams To Score

Yes58%

No42%

Rate per Team

Girona — BTTS matches (home)53%

Villarreal — BTTS matches (away)63%

Combined (simple average)58%

Corners Line match total, blended estimate

Over 4.598%

Under 4.52%

Over 5.592%

Under 5.58%

Over 6.582%

Under 6.518%

Over 7.563%

Under 7.537%

Over 8.550%

Under 8.550%

Over 9.537%

Under 9.563%

Over 10.526%

Under 10.574%

Expected total corners (blended average)9.10

Per-Team Corners own matches

Girona (home)

Corners for5.6

Corners against3.4

Villarreal (away)

Corners for4.4

Corners against4.7

Recent Trend last 5 matches — total corners

Girona

7 8 10 11 9

Villarreal

10 8 9 14 8

Yellow Cards Line match total, blended estimate

Over 0.592%

Under 0.58%

Over 1.590%

Under 1.510%

Over 2.584%

Under 2.516%

Expected total yellow cards (blended average)4.7

Yellow Cards per Team

Girona (home)

For2.0

Villarreal (away)

For2.7

Shots per Game

Girona — total shots (home)11.4

Villarreal — total shots (away)12.8

Shots on Target

Girona — on target (home)4.0

Villarreal — on target (away)3.9

Shot Location Split avg per match, season

Girona

Inside the box7.03

Outside the box3.55

Villarreal

Inside the box10.32

Outside the box3.84

Player Shots Girona

Abel Ruiz

Shots on Target/Game1.5

+0.5 On Target26%

+1.5 On Target13%

Iván Martín

Shots on Target/Game1.5

+0.5 On Target6%

+1.5 On Target3%

David López

Shots on Target/Game1.5

+0.5 On Target7%

+1.5 On Target3%

Y. Herrera

Shots on Target/Game1.4

+0.5 On Target34%

+1.5 On Target14%

B. Miovski

Shots on Target/Game1.3

+0.5 On Target18%

+1.5 On Target6%

Player Shots Villarreal

Pau Cabanes

Shots on Target/Game2

+0.5 On Target10%

+1.5 On Target10%

Gerard Moreno

Shots on Target/Game1.5

+0.5 On Target47%

+1.5 On Target18%

A. Danjuma

Shots on Target/Game1.5

+0.5 On Target67%

+1.5 On Target33%

Ayoze Pérez

Shots on Target/Game1.4

+0.5 On Target73%

+1.5 On Target27%

T. Barry

Shots on Target/Game1.4

+0.5 On Target51%

+1.5 On Target11%

Probabilities are each player's own historical rate this season (minimum 3 matches played), not a joint match forecast.

Expected Goals (xG)

Girona xG (home)1.13

Villarreal xG (away)1.74

Average Possession

56.47% Possession 47.55%

Team Comparison Girona vs Villarreal

87.37% Pass accuracy 82.89%

517.42 Passes per match 427.08

-0.2 Goals prevented -0.22

11.5 Fouls committed 11.63

2.86 Goalkeeper saves 3

2.14 Offsides 2.2

14.92 Tackles per match 17.05

League average xG this season is 1.29 per team per match, for context.

Disclaimer: these predictions are generated by a statistical model and do not constitute financial advice or a guarantee of outcome. Bet responsibly and only what you can afford to lose.

PRE-MATCH ANALYSIS

Girona vs Villarreal prediction analysis

Review Girona vs Villarreal with prediction probabilities, 1X2, Over 2.5, BTTS, team form, market signals and key performance data from La Liga.

1X2 Over 2.5 BTTS Recent form Team performance La Liga

DataHistorical results, fixtures and performance metrics

Markets1X2, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and trend indicators

AnalysisLeague, team, player and match-level insights