Prediction Analysis

Prediction Analysis: GO Ahead Eagles vs Excelsior

GO Ahead Eagles vs Excelsior prediction based on recent form, head-to-head data, team performance and key match statistics.

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Eredivisie 2025-10-26 19:00
GO Ahead Eagles
Home
Selected Prediction
Featured Pick
Over 2.5 Goals
Pick
Yes
Probability
68%
Confidence
Medium
Score
2-1
Excelsior
Away

Prediction Summary

1
60%
X
20%
2
20%
Over 2.5
68%
BTTS Yes
64%
Confidence
Medium

Market Evidence

GO Ahead Eagles (Home)

Goals scored / match2
Goals conceded / match1.41
Over 2.5 rate24%
BTTS rate59%

Excelsior (Away)

Goals scored / match1.35
Goals conceded / match2
Over 2.5 rate12%
BTTS rate76%

Team Form last 5 matches

GO Ahead Eagles
LLDDD
Excelsior
WDWWD

Goals Comparison rate per team

88% +0.5 82%
53% +1.5 41%
24% +2.5 12%
18% +3.5 0%
12% +4.5 0%
59% BTTS 76%

Model Insight

The selected market is Over 2.5 Goals with a probability of 68%. Model confidence is Medium.

GO Ahead Eagles averages 2 goals scored at home, while Excelsior averages 1.35 goals scored away.

Model Strength
68%

Other Top Markets for This Match

Home Win
60%
Draw
20%
Away Win
20%
Over 2.5
68%
BTTS Yes
64%

Head-to-Head last 5

Mar 2026 GO Ahead Eagles(A) 1 - 0 Excelsior Home
Oct 2025 GO Ahead Eagles 2 - 0 Excelsior Home
Mar 2024 GO Ahead Eagles 3 - 0 Excelsior Home
Dec 2023 GO Ahead Eagles(A) 1 - 1 Excelsior Draw
Apr 2023 GO Ahead Eagles(A) 1 - 2 Excelsior Away

In the last 5 meetings, GO Ahead Eagles won 3, drew 1 and lost 1.

Current Streaks

GO Ahead Eagles — unbeaten run (home)0
GO Ahead Eagles — scoring streak (home)1
Excelsior — winless run (away)0
Excelsior — clean sheets (away, last 5)0 of 5

1X2 Probability model

GO Ahead Eagles Win (1)60%
Draw (X)20%
Excelsior Win (2)20%

Goals Over rate per team, own matches

88% +0.5 82%
53% +1.5 41%
24% +2.5 12%
18% +3.5 0%
12% +4.5 0%

Goals Under rate per team, own matches

12% -0.5 18%
47% -1.5 59%
76% -2.5 88%
82% -3.5 100%
88% -4.5 100%

GO Ahead Eagles vs Excelsior — share of each team's own matches finishing above/below each goal line.

Goal Averages per Team

GO Ahead Eagles — scored (home)2
GO Ahead Eagles — conceded (home)1.41
Excelsior — scored (away)1.35
Excelsior — conceded (away)2
Model expected combined goals3.5

Both Teams To Score

Yes64%
No36%

Rate per Team

GO Ahead Eagles — BTTS matches (home)59%
Excelsior — BTTS matches (away)76%
Combined (simple average)67.5%

Corners Line match total, blended estimate

Over 4.5100%
Under 4.50%
Over 5.5100%
Under 5.50%
Over 6.5100%
Under 6.50%
Over 7.588%
Under 7.512%
Over 8.580%
Under 8.520%
Over 9.568%
Under 9.532%
Over 10.559%
Under 10.541%
Expected total corners (blended average)11.20

Per-Team Corners own matches

GO Ahead Eagles (home)

Corners for6.5
Corners against5.7

Excelsior (away)

Corners for4.0
Corners against6.2

Recent Trend last 5 matches — total corners

GO Ahead Eagles
13 15 14 12 17
Excelsior
7 5 13 5 7

Yellow Cards Line match total, blended estimate

Over 0.588%
Under 0.512%
Over 1.571%
Under 1.529%
Over 2.550%
Under 2.550%
Expected total yellow cards (blended average)2.5

Yellow Cards per Team

GO Ahead Eagles (home)

For1.1

Excelsior (away)

For1.3

Shots per Game

GO Ahead Eagles — total shots (home)13.8
Excelsior — total shots (away)12.1

Shots on Target

GO Ahead Eagles — on target (home)6.4
Excelsior — on target (away)4.2

Shot Location Split avg per match, season

GO Ahead Eagles

Inside the box8.15
Outside the box3.41

Excelsior

Inside the box8.24
Outside the box4.24

Player Shots GO Ahead Eagles

M. Suray
Shots on Target/Game1
+0.5 On Target53%
+1.5 On Target25%
S. Sigurðarson
Shots on Target/Game0.9
+0.5 On Target64%
+1.5 On Target14%
J. Breum
Shots on Target/Game0.7
+0.5 On Target39%
+1.5 On Target18%
M. Smit
Shots on Target/Game0.7
+0.5 On Target53%
+1.5 On Target16%
M. Meulensteen
Shots on Target/Game0.6
+0.5 On Target35%
+1.5 On Target12%

Player Shots Excelsior

N. Naujoks
Shots on Target/Game0.8
+0.5 On Target48%
+1.5 On Target19%
D. Sanches Fernandes
Shots on Target/Game0.6
+0.5 On Target45%
+1.5 On Target12%
G. de Regt
Shots on Target/Game0.5
+0.5 On Target38%
+1.5 On Target6%
I. Yegoian
Shots on Target/Game0.5
+0.5 On Target39%
+1.5 On Target6%
M. Jonathans
Shots on Target/Game0.4
+0.5 On Target44%
+1.5 On Target0%

Probabilities are each player's own historical rate this season (minimum 3 matches played), not a joint match forecast.

Expected Goals (xG)

GO Ahead Eagles xG (home)1.28
Excelsior xG (away)1.34

Average Possession

49.47% Possession 47.56%

Team Comparison GO Ahead Eagles vs Excelsior

79.68% Pass accuracy 77.47%
409.38 Passes per match 404.35
0.23 Goals prevented 0.06
9.15 Fouls committed 12.29
4.35 Goalkeeper saves 3.82
1.81 Offsides 1.03
11.88 Tackles per match 14.41

League average xG this season is 1.54 per team per match, for context.

Disclaimer: these predictions are generated by a statistical model and do not constitute financial advice or a guarantee of outcome. Bet responsibly and only what you can afford to lose.
PRE-MATCH ANALYSIS

GO Ahead Eagles vs Excelsior prediction analysis

Review GO Ahead Eagles vs Excelsior with prediction probabilities, 1X2, Over 2.5, BTTS, team form, market signals and key performance data from Eredivisie.

1X2 Over 2.5 BTTS Recent form Team performance Eredivisie
DataHistorical results, fixtures and performance metrics
Markets1X2, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and trend indicators
AnalysisLeague, team, player and match-level insights
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