Prediction Analysis

Prediction Analysis: GO Ahead Eagles vs NEC Nijmegen

GO Ahead Eagles vs NEC Nijmegen prediction based on recent form, head-to-head data, team performance and key match statistics.

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Eredivisie 2025-10-05 18:00
GO Ahead Eagles
Home
Selected Prediction
Featured Pick
Over 2.5 Goals
Pick
Yes
Probability
79%
Confidence
High
Score
1-2
NEC Nijmegen
Away

Prediction Summary

1
37%
X
20%
2
43%
Over 2.5
79%
BTTS Yes
77%
Confidence
High

Market Evidence

GO Ahead Eagles (Home)

Goals scored / match2
Goals conceded / match1.41
Over 2.5 rate24%
BTTS rate59%

NEC Nijmegen (Away)

Goals scored / match2.12
Goals conceded / match1.65
Over 2.5 rate35%
BTTS rate88%

Team Form last 5 matches

GO Ahead Eagles
LLDDD
NEC Nijmegen
WLDDD

Goals Comparison rate per team

88% +0.5 94%
53% +1.5 65%
24% +2.5 35%
18% +3.5 18%
12% +4.5 0%
59% BTTS 88%

Model Insight

The selected market is Over 2.5 Goals with a probability of 79%. Model confidence is High.

GO Ahead Eagles averages 2 goals scored at home, while NEC Nijmegen averages 2.12 goals scored away.

Model Strength
79%

Other Top Markets for This Match

Home Win
37%
Draw
20%
Away Win
43%
Over 2.5
79%
BTTS Yes
77%

Head-to-Head last 5

May 2026 GO Ahead Eagles(A) 1 - 2 NEC Nijmegen Away
Oct 2025 GO Ahead Eagles 1 - 1 NEC Nijmegen Draw
Mar 2025 GO Ahead Eagles(A) 3 - 2 NEC Nijmegen Home
Dec 2024 GO Ahead Eagles 5 - 0 NEC Nijmegen Home
May 2024 GO Ahead Eagles(A) 2 - 1 NEC Nijmegen Home

In the last 5 meetings, GO Ahead Eagles won 3, drew 1 and lost 1.

Current Streaks

GO Ahead Eagles — unbeaten run (home)0
GO Ahead Eagles — scoring streak (home)1
NEC Nijmegen — winless run (away)2
NEC Nijmegen — clean sheets (away, last 5)1 of 5

1X2 Probability model

GO Ahead Eagles Win (1)37%
Draw (X)20%
NEC Nijmegen Win (2)43%

Goals Over rate per team, own matches

88% +0.5 94%
53% +1.5 65%
24% +2.5 35%
18% +3.5 18%
12% +4.5 0%

Goals Under rate per team, own matches

12% -0.5 6%
47% -1.5 35%
76% -2.5 65%
82% -3.5 82%
88% -4.5 100%

GO Ahead Eagles vs NEC Nijmegen — share of each team's own matches finishing above/below each goal line.

Goal Averages per Team

GO Ahead Eagles — scored (home)2
GO Ahead Eagles — conceded (home)1.41
NEC Nijmegen — scored (away)2.12
NEC Nijmegen — conceded (away)1.65
Model expected combined goals4.17

Both Teams To Score

Yes77%
No23%

Rate per Team

GO Ahead Eagles — BTTS matches (home)59%
NEC Nijmegen — BTTS matches (away)88%
Combined (simple average)73.5%

Corners Line match total, blended estimate

Over 4.597%
Under 4.53%
Over 5.594%
Under 5.56%
Over 6.591%
Under 6.59%
Over 7.580%
Under 7.520%
Over 8.580%
Under 8.520%
Over 9.574%
Under 9.526%
Over 10.568%
Under 10.532%
Expected total corners (blended average)11.20

Per-Team Corners own matches

GO Ahead Eagles (home)

Corners for6.5
Corners against5.7

NEC Nijmegen (away)

Corners for5.5
Corners against4.7

Recent Trend last 5 matches — total corners

GO Ahead Eagles
13 15 14 12 17
NEC Nijmegen
5 12 9 11 17

Yellow Cards Line match total, blended estimate

Over 0.591%
Under 0.59%
Over 1.574%
Under 1.526%
Over 2.559%
Under 2.541%
Expected total yellow cards (blended average)2.8

Yellow Cards per Team

GO Ahead Eagles (home)

For1.1

NEC Nijmegen (away)

For2.1

Shots per Game

GO Ahead Eagles — total shots (home)13.8
NEC Nijmegen — total shots (away)15.8

Shots on Target

GO Ahead Eagles — on target (home)6.4
NEC Nijmegen — on target (away)6.7

Shot Location Split avg per match, season

GO Ahead Eagles

Inside the box8.15
Outside the box3.41

NEC Nijmegen

Inside the box10.65
Outside the box6.41

Player Shots GO Ahead Eagles

M. Suray
Shots on Target/Game1
+0.5 On Target53%
+1.5 On Target25%
S. Sigurðarson
Shots on Target/Game0.9
+0.5 On Target64%
+1.5 On Target14%
J. Breum
Shots on Target/Game0.7
+0.5 On Target39%
+1.5 On Target18%
M. Smit
Shots on Target/Game0.7
+0.5 On Target53%
+1.5 On Target16%
M. Meulensteen
Shots on Target/Game0.6
+0.5 On Target35%
+1.5 On Target12%

Player Shots NEC Nijmegen

T. Chery
Shots on Target/Game1.4
+0.5 On Target61%
+1.5 On Target42%
B. Linssen
Shots on Target/Game1
+0.5 On Target66%
+1.5 On Target28%
N. Lebreton
Shots on Target/Game0.8
+0.5 On Target55%
+1.5 On Target18%
Koki Ogawa
Shots on Target/Game0.7
+0.5 On Target46%
+1.5 On Target19%
B. Önal
Shots on Target/Game0.7
+0.5 On Target48%
+1.5 On Target14%

Probabilities are each player's own historical rate this season (minimum 3 matches played), not a joint match forecast.

Expected Goals (xG)

GO Ahead Eagles xG (home)1.28
NEC Nijmegen xG (away)1.88

Average Possession

49.47% Possession 56.62%

Team Comparison GO Ahead Eagles vs NEC Nijmegen

79.68% Pass accuracy 78.74%
409.38 Passes per match 429.21
0.23 Goals prevented -0.09
9.15 Fouls committed 11.91
4.35 Goalkeeper saves 3.41
1.81 Offsides 2.19
11.88 Tackles per match 15.44

League average xG this season is 1.54 per team per match, for context.

Disclaimer: these predictions are generated by a statistical model and do not constitute financial advice or a guarantee of outcome. Bet responsibly and only what you can afford to lose.
PRE-MATCH ANALYSIS

GO Ahead Eagles vs NEC Nijmegen prediction analysis

Review GO Ahead Eagles vs NEC Nijmegen with prediction probabilities, 1X2, Over 2.5, BTTS, team form, market signals and key performance data from Eredivisie.

1X2 Over 2.5 BTTS Recent form Team performance Eredivisie
DataHistorical results, fixtures and performance metrics
Markets1X2, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and trend indicators
AnalysisLeague, team, player and match-level insights
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