Prediction Analysis

Prediction Analysis: Göztepe vs Başakşehir

Göztepe vs Başakşehir prediction based on recent form, head-to-head data, team performance and key match statistics.

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Süper Lig 2025-10-05 17:00
Göztepe
Home
Selected Prediction
Featured Pick
Over 2.5 Goals
Pick
Yes
Probability
37%
Confidence
Medium
Score
1-0
Başakşehir
Away

Prediction Summary

1
48%
X
28%
2
23%
Under 2.5
63%
BTTS No
58%
Confidence
Medium

Market Evidence

Göztepe (Home)

Goals scored / match1.41
Goals conceded / match0.82
Over 2.5 rate18%
BTTS rate47%

Başakşehir (Away)

Goals scored / match1.47
Goals conceded / match1.06
Over 2.5 rate18%
BTTS rate53%

Team Form last 5 matches

Göztepe
LWDWD
Başakşehir
WWLWD

Goals Comparison rate per team

76% +0.5 76%
47% +1.5 47%
18% +2.5 18%
0% +3.5 6%
0% +4.5 0%
47% BTTS 53%

Model Insight

The selected market is Over 2.5 Goals with a probability of 37%. Model confidence is Medium.

Göztepe averages 1.41 goals scored at home, while Başakşehir averages 1.47 goals scored away.

Model Strength
63%

Other Top Markets for This Match

Home Win
48%
Draw
28%
Away Win
23%
Over 2.5
37%
BTTS Yes
42%

Head-to-Head last 5

Mar 2026 Göztepe(A) 1 - 2 Başakşehir Away
Oct 2025 Göztepe 1 - 0 Başakşehir Home
Apr 2025 Göztepe 4 - 1 Başakşehir Home
Nov 2024 Göztepe(A) 1 - 4 Başakşehir Away
Dec 2022 Göztepe(A) 1 - 3 Başakşehir Away

In the last 5 meetings, Göztepe won 2, drew 0 and lost 3.

Current Streaks

Göztepe — unbeaten run (home)3
Göztepe — scoring streak (home)5
Başakşehir — winless run (away)0
Başakşehir — clean sheets (away, last 5)1 of 5

1X2 Probability model

Göztepe Win (1)48%
Draw (X)28%
Başakşehir Win (2)23%

Goals Over rate per team, own matches

76% +0.5 76%
47% +1.5 47%
18% +2.5 18%
0% +3.5 6%
0% +4.5 0%

Goals Under rate per team, own matches

24% -0.5 24%
53% -1.5 53%
82% -2.5 82%
100% -3.5 94%
100% -4.5 100%

Göztepe vs Başakşehir — share of each team's own matches finishing above/below each goal line.

Goal Averages per Team

Göztepe — scored (home)1.41
Göztepe — conceded (home)0.82
Başakşehir — scored (away)1.47
Başakşehir — conceded (away)1.06
Model expected combined goals2.17

Both Teams To Score

Yes42%
No58%

Rate per Team

Göztepe — BTTS matches (home)47%
Başakşehir — BTTS matches (away)53%
Combined (simple average)50%

Corners Line match total, blended estimate

Over 4.5100%
Under 4.50%
Over 5.5100%
Under 5.50%
Over 6.594%
Under 6.56%
Over 7.580%
Under 7.520%
Over 8.577%
Under 8.523%
Over 9.556%
Under 9.544%
Over 10.550%
Under 10.550%
Expected total corners (blended average)10.40

Per-Team Corners own matches

Göztepe (home)

Corners for5.1
Corners against4.5

Başakşehir (away)

Corners for5.2
Corners against5.8

Recent Trend last 5 matches — total corners

Göztepe
9 7 7 15 4
Başakşehir
13 8 12 7 9

Yellow Cards Line match total, blended estimate

Over 0.597%
Under 0.53%
Over 1.585%
Under 1.515%
Over 2.574%
Under 2.526%
Expected total yellow cards (blended average)4.5

Yellow Cards per Team

Göztepe (home)

For2.5

Başakşehir (away)

For2.3

Shots per Game

Göztepe — total shots (home)14.7
Başakşehir — total shots (away)13.6

Shots on Target

Göztepe — on target (home)4.8
Başakşehir — on target (away)4.5

Shot Location Split avg per match, season

Göztepe

Inside the box9.59
Outside the box4.56

Başakşehir

Inside the box9.41
Outside the box4.09

Player Shots Göztepe

Juan
Shots on Target/Game0.9
+0.5 On Target47%
+1.5 On Target28%
J. Olaitan
Shots on Target/Game0.9
+0.5 On Target59%
+1.5 On Target24%
Janderson
Shots on Target/Game0.8
+0.5 On Target56%
+1.5 On Target19%
Emersonn
Shots on Target/Game0.7
+0.5 On Target67%
+1.5 On Target0%
Jeh
Shots on Target/Game0.6
+0.5 On Target44%
+1.5 On Target13%

Player Shots Başakşehir

E. Shomurodov
Shots on Target/Game1.4
+0.5 On Target82%
+1.5 On Target41%
Y. Sarı
Shots on Target/Game0.8
+0.5 On Target48%
+1.5 On Target24%
D. Selke
Shots on Target/Game0.8
+0.5 On Target54%
+1.5 On Target21%
A. Fayzullaev
Shots on Target/Game0.6
+0.5 On Target45%
+1.5 On Target10%
B. Yıldırım
Shots on Target/Game0.5
+0.5 On Target42%
+1.5 On Target11%

Probabilities are each player's own historical rate this season (minimum 3 matches played), not a joint match forecast.

Expected Goals (xG)

Göztepe xG (home)1.4
Başakşehir xG (away)1.58

Average Possession

38.29% Possession 54.44%

Team Comparison Göztepe vs Başakşehir

68.03% Pass accuracy 83.5%
252.03 Passes per match 435.29
0.1 Goals prevented 0.06
17.68 Fouls committed 13.35
2.85 Goalkeeper saves 3.12
1.82 Offsides 1.36
15.03 Tackles per match 12.82

League average xG this season is 1.3 per team per match, for context.

Disclaimer: these predictions are generated by a statistical model and do not constitute financial advice or a guarantee of outcome. Bet responsibly and only what you can afford to lose.
PRE-MATCH ANALYSIS

Göztepe vs Başakşehir prediction analysis

Review Göztepe vs Başakşehir with prediction probabilities, 1X2, Over 2.5, BTTS, team form, market signals and key performance data from Süper Lig.

1X2 Over 2.5 BTTS Recent form Team performance Süper Lig
DataHistorical results, fixtures and performance metrics
Markets1X2, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and trend indicators
AnalysisLeague, team, player and match-level insights
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