Prediction Analysis

Prediction Analysis: Göztepe vs Beşiktaş

Göztepe vs Beşiktaş prediction based on recent form, head-to-head data, team performance and key match statistics.

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Süper Lig 2025-09-19 17:00
Göztepe
Home
Selected Prediction
Featured Pick
Over 2.5 Goals
Pick
Yes
Probability
47%
Confidence
Low
Score
1-1
Beşiktaş
Away

Prediction Summary

1
37%
X
27%
2
36%
Under 2.5
53%
BTTS Yes
52%
Confidence
Low

Market Evidence

Göztepe (Home)

Goals scored / match1.41
Goals conceded / match0.82
Over 2.5 rate18%
BTTS rate47%

Beşiktaş (Away)

Goals scored / match1.71
Goals conceded / match1.18
Over 2.5 rate24%
BTTS rate47%

Team Form last 5 matches

Göztepe
LWDWD
Beşiktaş
DLWDL

Goals Comparison rate per team

76% +0.5 82%
47% +1.5 59%
18% +2.5 24%
0% +3.5 6%
0% +4.5 0%
47% BTTS 47%

Model Insight

The selected market is Over 2.5 Goals with a probability of 47%. Model confidence is Low.

Göztepe averages 1.41 goals scored at home, while Beşiktaş averages 1.71 goals scored away.

Model Strength
53%

Other Top Markets for This Match

Home Win
37%
Draw
27%
Away Win
36%
Over 2.5
47%
BTTS Yes
52%

Head-to-Head last 5

Feb 2026 Göztepe(A) 0 - 4 Beşiktaş Away
Sep 2025 Göztepe 3 - 0 Beşiktaş Home
Apr 2025 Göztepe 1 - 1 Beşiktaş Draw
Apr 2025 Göztepe(A) 3 - 1 Beşiktaş Home
Nov 2024 Göztepe(A) 4 - 2 Beşiktaş Home

In the last 5 meetings, Göztepe won 3, drew 1 and lost 1.

Current Streaks

Göztepe — unbeaten run (home)3
Göztepe — scoring streak (home)5
Beşiktaş — winless run (away)1
Beşiktaş — clean sheets (away, last 5)2 of 5

1X2 Probability model

Göztepe Win (1)37%
Draw (X)27%
Beşiktaş Win (2)36%

Goals Over rate per team, own matches

76% +0.5 82%
47% +1.5 59%
18% +2.5 24%
0% +3.5 6%
0% +4.5 0%

Goals Under rate per team, own matches

24% -0.5 18%
53% -1.5 41%
82% -2.5 76%
100% -3.5 94%
100% -4.5 100%

Göztepe vs Beşiktaş — share of each team's own matches finishing above/below each goal line.

Goal Averages per Team

Göztepe — scored (home)1.41
Göztepe — conceded (home)0.82
Beşiktaş — scored (away)1.71
Beşiktaş — conceded (away)1.18
Model expected combined goals2.56

Both Teams To Score

Yes52%
No48%

Rate per Team

Göztepe — BTTS matches (home)47%
Beşiktaş — BTTS matches (away)47%
Combined (simple average)47%

Corners Line match total, blended estimate

Over 4.5100%
Under 4.50%
Over 5.597%
Under 5.53%
Over 6.588%
Under 6.512%
Over 7.580%
Under 7.520%
Over 8.565%
Under 8.535%
Over 9.547%
Under 9.553%
Over 10.541%
Under 10.559%
Expected total corners (blended average)10.00

Per-Team Corners own matches

Göztepe (home)

Corners for5.1
Corners against4.5

Beşiktaş (away)

Corners for4.6
Corners against5.6

Recent Trend last 5 matches — total corners

Göztepe
9 7 7 15 4
Beşiktaş
8 7 10 9 11

Yellow Cards Line match total, blended estimate

Over 0.5100%
Under 0.50%
Over 1.591%
Under 1.59%
Over 2.588%
Under 2.512%
Expected total yellow cards (blended average)4.6

Yellow Cards per Team

Göztepe (home)

For2.5

Beşiktaş (away)

For2.2

Shots per Game

Göztepe — total shots (home)14.7
Beşiktaş — total shots (away)15.2

Shots on Target

Göztepe — on target (home)4.8
Beşiktaş — on target (away)5.5

Shot Location Split avg per match, season

Göztepe

Inside the box9.59
Outside the box4.56

Beşiktaş

Inside the box10.85
Outside the box6.03

Player Shots Göztepe

Juan
Shots on Target/Game0.9
+0.5 On Target47%
+1.5 On Target28%
J. Olaitan
Shots on Target/Game0.9
+0.5 On Target59%
+1.5 On Target24%
Janderson
Shots on Target/Game0.8
+0.5 On Target56%
+1.5 On Target19%
Emersonn
Shots on Target/Game0.7
+0.5 On Target67%
+1.5 On Target0%
Jeh
Shots on Target/Game0.6
+0.5 On Target44%
+1.5 On Target13%

Player Shots Beşiktaş

Rafa
Shots on Target/Game1.3
+0.5 On Target70%
+1.5 On Target30%
E. Touré
Shots on Target/Game1.1
+0.5 On Target73%
+1.5 On Target18%
O. Kökçü
Shots on Target/Game1.1
+0.5 On Target67%
+1.5 On Target23%
Oh Hyeon-Gyu
Shots on Target/Game1
+0.5 On Target62%
+1.5 On Target15%
T. Abraham
Shots on Target/Game0.9
+0.5 On Target61%
+1.5 On Target22%

Probabilities are each player's own historical rate this season (minimum 3 matches played), not a joint match forecast.

Expected Goals (xG)

Göztepe xG (home)1.4
Beşiktaş xG (away)1.9

Average Possession

38.29% Possession 55.53%

Team Comparison Göztepe vs Beşiktaş

68.03% Pass accuracy 82.29%
252.03 Passes per match 446.71
0.1 Goals prevented 0.16
17.68 Fouls committed 13.29
2.85 Goalkeeper saves 2.62
1.82 Offsides 2.16
15.03 Tackles per match 15.56

League average xG this season is 1.3 per team per match, for context.

Disclaimer: these predictions are generated by a statistical model and do not constitute financial advice or a guarantee of outcome. Bet responsibly and only what you can afford to lose.
PRE-MATCH ANALYSIS

Göztepe vs Beşiktaş prediction analysis

Review Göztepe vs Beşiktaş with prediction probabilities, 1X2, Over 2.5, BTTS, team form, market signals and key performance data from Süper Lig.

1X2 Over 2.5 BTTS Recent form Team performance Süper Lig
DataHistorical results, fixtures and performance metrics
Markets1X2, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and trend indicators
AnalysisLeague, team, player and match-level insights
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