Prediction Analysis

Prediction Analysis: Göztepe vs Gençlerbirliği S.K.

Göztepe vs Gençlerbirliği S.K. prediction based on recent form, head-to-head data, team performance and key match statistics.

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Süper Lig 2026-08-23 17:00
Göztepe
Home
Selected Prediction
Featured Pick
Over 2.5 Goals
Pick
Yes
Probability
36%
Confidence
Medium
Score
1-0
Gençlerbirliği S.K.
Away

Prediction Summary

1
52%
X
28%
2
21%
Under 2.5
64%
BTTS No
60%
Confidence
Medium

Market Evidence

Göztepe (Home)

Goals scored / match1.41
Goals conceded / match0.82
Over 2.5 rate18%
BTTS rate47%

Gençlerbirliği S.K. (Away)

Goals scored / match0.71
Goals conceded / match1.35
Over 2.5 rate6%
BTTS rate41%

Team Form last 5 matches

Göztepe
LWDWD
Gençlerbirliği S.K.
WWLWL

Goals Comparison rate per team

76% +0.5 47%
47% +1.5 18%
18% +2.5 6%
0% +3.5 0%
0% +4.5 0%
47% BTTS 41%

Model Insight

The selected market is Over 2.5 Goals with a probability of 36%. Model confidence is Medium.

Göztepe averages 1.41 goals scored at home, while Gençlerbirliği S.K. averages 0.71 goals scored away.

Model Strength
64%

Other Top Markets for This Match

Home Win
52%
Draw
28%
Away Win
21%
Over 2.5
36%
BTTS Yes
40%

Head-to-Head last 5

Apr 2026 Göztepe(A) 2 - 0 Gençlerbirliği S.K. Home
Nov 2025 Göztepe 1 - 0 Gençlerbirliği S.K. Home
Apr 2024 Göztepe 2 - 0 Gençlerbirliği S.K. Home
Dec 2023 Göztepe(A) 3 - 0 Gençlerbirliği S.K. Home
Feb 2023 Göztepe(A) 0 - 1 Gençlerbirliği S.K. Away

In the last 5 meetings, Göztepe won 4, drew 0 and lost 1.

Current Streaks

Göztepe — unbeaten run (home)3
Göztepe — scoring streak (home)5
Gençlerbirliği S.K. — winless run (away)0
Gençlerbirliği S.K. — clean sheets (away, last 5)2 of 5

1X2 Probability model

Göztepe Win (1)52%
Draw (X)28%
Gençlerbirliği S.K. Win (2)21%

Goals Over rate per team, own matches

76% +0.5 47%
47% +1.5 18%
18% +2.5 6%
0% +3.5 0%
0% +4.5 0%

Goals Under rate per team, own matches

24% -0.5 53%
53% -1.5 82%
82% -2.5 94%
100% -3.5 100%
100% -4.5 100%

Göztepe vs Gençlerbirliği S.K. — share of each team's own matches finishing above/below each goal line.

Goal Averages per Team

Göztepe — scored (home)1.41
Göztepe — conceded (home)0.82
Gençlerbirliği S.K. — scored (away)0.71
Gençlerbirliği S.K. — conceded (away)1.35
Model expected combined goals2.15

Both Teams To Score

Yes40%
No60%

Rate per Team

Göztepe — BTTS matches (home)47%
Gençlerbirliği S.K. — BTTS matches (away)41%
Combined (simple average)44%

Corners Line model prediction

Over 8.556%
Under 8.544%
Over 9.545%
Under 9.555%
Over 10.536%
Under 10.564%
Expected total corners (model prediction)9.40

Per-Team Corners own matches

Göztepe (home)

Corners for5.1
Corners against4.5

Gençlerbirliği S.K. (away)

Corners for3.4
Corners against5.5

Recent Trend last 5 matches — total corners

Göztepe
9 7 7 15 4
Gençlerbirliği S.K.
6 3 7 9 8

Yellow Cards Line match total, blended estimate

Over 0.597%
Under 0.53%
Over 1.585%
Under 1.515%
Over 2.579%
Under 2.521%
Expected total yellow cards (blended average)4.4

Yellow Cards per Team

Göztepe (home)

For2.5

Gençlerbirliği S.K. (away)

For2.3

Shots Forecast model prediction

Match Total

Over 19.574%
Under 19.526%
Over 22.560%
Under 22.540%
Over 25.546%
Under 25.554%
Expected total shots25.53

Göztepe

Shots Over 9.582%
Shots Over 11.569%
Shots Over 13.554%
Expected shots14.66
On Target Over 3.568%
On Target Over 4.552%
On Target Over 5.538%
Expected on target4.97

Gençlerbirliği S.K.

Shots Over 9.558%
Shots Over 11.541%
Shots Over 13.526%
Expected shots10.87
On Target Over 3.538%
On Target Over 4.523%
On Target Over 5.513%
Expected on target3.16

Shots per Game

Göztepe — total shots (home)14.7
Gençlerbirliği S.K. — total shots (away)9.1

Shots on Target

Göztepe — on target (home)4.8
Gençlerbirliği S.K. — on target (away)2.5

Shot Location Split avg per match, season

Göztepe

Inside the box9.59
Outside the box4.56

Gençlerbirliği S.K.

Inside the box6.44
Outside the box4.29

Player Shots Göztepe

Juan
Shots on Target/Game0.9
+0.5 On Target47%
+1.5 On Target28%
J. Olaitan
Shots on Target/Game0.9
+0.5 On Target59%
+1.5 On Target24%
Janderson
Shots on Target/Game0.8
+0.5 On Target56%
+1.5 On Target19%
Emersonn
Shots on Target/Game0.7
+0.5 On Target67%
+1.5 On Target0%
Jeh
Shots on Target/Game0.6
+0.5 On Target44%
+1.5 On Target13%

Player Shots Gençlerbirliği S.K.

F. Tongya
Shots on Target/Game0.7
+0.5 On Target54%
+1.5 On Target14%
M. Mimaroğlu
Shots on Target/Game0.6
+0.5 On Target41%
+1.5 On Target13%
S. Koïta
Shots on Target/Game0.5
+0.5 On Target37%
+1.5 On Target15%
M. Niang
Shots on Target/Game0.5
+0.5 On Target38%
+1.5 On Target12%
A. Traoré
Shots on Target/Game0.4
+0.5 On Target25%
+1.5 On Target13%

Probabilities are each player's own historical rate this season (minimum 3 matches played), not a joint match forecast.

Expected Goals (xG)

Göztepe xG (home)1.4
Gençlerbirliği S.K. xG (away)1.04

Average Possession

38.29% Possession 43.24%

Team Comparison Göztepe vs Gençlerbirliği S.K.

68.03% Pass accuracy 77.03%
252.03 Passes per match 324.79
0.1 Goals prevented 0.15
17.68 Fouls committed 12.82
2.85 Goalkeeper saves 3.15
1.82 Offsides 1.76
15.03 Tackles per match 14.26

League average xG this season is 1.3 per team per match, for context.

Disclaimer: these predictions are generated by a statistical model and do not constitute financial advice or a guarantee of outcome. Bet responsibly and only what you can afford to lose.
PRE-MATCH ANALYSIS

Göztepe vs Gençlerbirliği S.K. prediction analysis

Review Göztepe vs Gençlerbirliği S.K. with prediction probabilities, 1X2, Over 2.5, BTTS, team form, market signals and key performance data from Süper Lig.

1X2 Over 2.5 BTTS Recent form Team performance Süper Lig
DataHistorical results, fixtures and performance metrics
Markets1X2, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and trend indicators
AnalysisLeague, team, player and match-level insights
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