Prediction Analysis

Prediction Analysis: Grasshoppers vs FC Lugano

Grasshoppers vs FC Lugano prediction based on recent form, head-to-head data, team performance and key match statistics.

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Super League 2026-08-02 14:30
Grasshoppers
Home
Selected Prediction
Featured Pick
BTTS Yes
Pick
Yes
Probability
56%
Confidence
Medium
Score
1-1
FC Lugano
Away

Prediction Summary

1
33%
X
25%
2
42%
Over 2.5
52%
BTTS Yes
56%
Confidence
Medium

Market Evidence

Grasshoppers (Home)

Goals scored / match1.4
Goals conceded / match1.75
Over 2.5 rate20%
BTTS rate70%

FC Lugano (Away)

Goals scored / match1.21
Goals conceded / match1.16
Over 2.5 rate11%
BTTS rate53%

Team Form last 5 matches

Grasshoppers
DWDWW
FC Lugano
WDLWW

Goals Comparison rate per team

80% +0.5 79%
40% +1.5 16%
20% +2.5 11%
0% +3.5 11%
0% +4.5 5%
70% BTTS 53%

Model Insight

The selected market is BTTS Yes with a probability of 56%. Model confidence is Medium.

Grasshoppers averages 1.4 goals scored at home, while FC Lugano averages 1.21 goals scored away.

Model Strength
56%

Other Top Markets for This Match

Home Win
33%
Draw
25%
Away Win
42%
Over 2.5
52%
BTTS Yes
56%

Head-to-Head last 5

Mar 2026 Grasshoppers 1 - 0 FC Lugano Home
Jan 2026 Grasshoppers 1 - 1 FC Lugano Draw
Sep 2025 Grasshoppers(A) 1 - 2 FC Lugano Away
Feb 2025 Grasshoppers(A) 1 - 1 FC Lugano Draw
Oct 2024 Grasshoppers 1 - 1 FC Lugano Draw

In the last 5 meetings, Grasshoppers won 1, drew 3 and lost 1.

Current Streaks

Grasshoppers — unbeaten run (home)2
Grasshoppers — scoring streak (home)2
FC Lugano — winless run (away)1
FC Lugano — clean sheets (away, last 5)2 of 5

1X2 Probability model

Grasshoppers Win (1)33%
Draw (X)25%
FC Lugano Win (2)42%

Goals Over rate per team, own matches

80% +0.5 79%
40% +1.5 16%
20% +2.5 11%
0% +3.5 11%
0% +4.5 5%

Goals Under rate per team, own matches

20% -0.5 21%
60% -1.5 84%
80% -2.5 89%
100% -3.5 89%
100% -4.5 95%

Grasshoppers vs FC Lugano — share of each team's own matches finishing above/below each goal line.

Goal Averages per Team

Grasshoppers — scored (home)1.4
Grasshoppers — conceded (home)1.75
FC Lugano — scored (away)1.21
FC Lugano — conceded (away)1.16
Model expected combined goals2.76

Both Teams To Score

Yes56%
No44%

Rate per Team

Grasshoppers — BTTS matches (home)70%
FC Lugano — BTTS matches (away)53%
Combined (simple average)61.5%

Corners Line model prediction

Over 8.567%
Under 8.533%
Over 9.555%
Under 9.545%
Over 10.544%
Under 10.556%
Expected total corners (model prediction)10.20

Per-Team Corners own matches

Grasshoppers (home)

Corners for5.4
Corners against5.1

FC Lugano (away)

Corners for4.6
Corners against4.5

Recent Trend last 5 matches — total corners

Grasshoppers
16 9 11 18 7
FC Lugano
12 9 8 8 10

Yellow Cards Line match total, blended estimate

Over 0.5100%
Under 0.50%
Over 1.595%
Under 1.55%
Over 2.585%
Under 2.515%
Expected total yellow cards (blended average)4.5

Yellow Cards per Team

Grasshoppers (home)

For2.2

FC Lugano (away)

For2.5

Shots Forecast model prediction

Match Total

Over 19.585%
Under 19.515%
Over 22.573%
Under 22.527%
Over 25.558%
Under 25.542%
Expected total shots27.78

Grasshoppers

Shots Over 9.580%
Shots Over 11.565%
Shots Over 13.548%
Expected shots13.62
On Target Over 3.568%
On Target Over 4.551%
On Target Over 5.536%
Expected on target4.83

FC Lugano

Shots Over 9.583%
Shots Over 11.569%
Shots Over 13.552%
Expected shots14.17
On Target Over 3.566%
On Target Over 4.549%
On Target Over 5.533%
Expected on target4.69

Shots per Game

Grasshoppers — total shots (home)13.2
FC Lugano — total shots (away)14.6

Shots on Target

Grasshoppers — on target (home)4.4
FC Lugano — on target (away)4.7

Shot Location Split avg per match, season

Grasshoppers

Inside the box7.79
Outside the box4.63

FC Lugano

Inside the box8.74
Outside the box4.47

Player Shots Grasshoppers

Jonathan Asp Jensen
Shots on Target/Game1.1
+0.5 On Target61%
+1.5 On Target36%
L. Plange
Shots on Target/Game0.8
+0.5 On Target62%
+1.5 On Target12%
N. Muci
Shots on Target/Game0.8
+0.5 On Target63%
+1.5 On Target16%
M. Frey
Shots on Target/Game0.8
+0.5 On Target58%
+1.5 On Target17%
L. Zvonarek
Shots on Target/Game0.4
+0.5 On Target40%
+1.5 On Target4%

Player Shots FC Lugano

K. Behrens
Shots on Target/Game0.9
+0.5 On Target62%
+1.5 On Target21%
Y. Cimignani
Shots on Target/Game0.6
+0.5 On Target46%
+1.5 On Target11%
H. Delcroix
Shots on Target/Game0.6
+0.5 On Target43%
+1.5 On Target7%
R. Steffen
Shots on Target/Game0.6
+0.5 On Target48%
+1.5 On Target7%
Daniel Dos Santos
Shots on Target/Game0.5
+0.5 On Target42%
+1.5 On Target6%

Probabilities are each player's own historical rate this season (minimum 3 matches played), not a joint match forecast.

Expected Goals (xG)

Grasshoppers xG (home)1.14
FC Lugano xG (away)1.53

Average Possession

45.48% Possession 56.39%

Team Comparison Grasshoppers vs FC Lugano

68.58% Pass accuracy 84.71%
333.11 Passes per match 476.45
-0.07 Goals prevented 0.14
15 Fouls committed 12.13
3.13 Goalkeeper saves 3.61
1.33 Offsides 2.17
21.18 Tackles per match 14.39

League average xG this season is 1.65 per team per match, for context.

Disclaimer: these predictions are generated by a statistical model and do not constitute financial advice or a guarantee of outcome. Bet responsibly and only what you can afford to lose.
PRE-MATCH ANALYSIS

Grasshoppers vs FC Lugano prediction analysis

Review Grasshoppers vs FC Lugano with prediction probabilities, 1X2, Over 2.5, BTTS, team form, market signals and key performance data from Super League.

1X2 Over 2.5 BTTS Recent form Team performance Super League
DataHistorical results, fixtures and performance metrics
Markets1X2, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and trend indicators
AnalysisLeague, team, player and match-level insights
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