Prediction Analysis

Prediction Analysis: Grazer AK vs Austria Lustenau

Grazer AK vs Austria Lustenau prediction based on recent form, head-to-head data, team performance and key match statistics.

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Bundesliga 2026-08-08 15:00
Grazer AK
Home
Selected Prediction
Featured Pick
Over 2.5 Goals
Pick
Yes
Probability
51%
Confidence
Low
Score
1-1
Austria Lustenau
Away

Prediction Summary

1
50%
X
25%
2
26%
Over 2.5
51%
BTTS Yes
53%
Confidence
Low

Market Evidence

Grazer AK (Home)

Goals scored / match1.63
Goals conceded / match1.25
Over 2.5 rate19%
BTTS rate75%

Austria Lustenau (Away)

Goals scored / match0
Goals conceded / match0
Over 2.5 rate0%
BTTS rate0%

Team Form last 5 matches

Grazer AK
WDWLL

Goals Comparison rate per team

88% +0.5 0%
50% +1.5 0%
19% +2.5 0%
6% +3.5 0%
0% +4.5 0%
75% BTTS 0%

Model Insight

The selected market is Over 2.5 Goals with a probability of 51%. Model confidence is Low.

Grazer AK averages 1.63 goals scored at home, while Austria Lustenau averages 0 goals scored away.

Model Strength
53%

Other Top Markets for This Match

Home Win
50%
Draw
25%
Away Win
26%
Over 2.5
51%
BTTS Yes
53%

Head-to-Head last 5

Nov 2021 Grazer AK 0 - 0 Austria Lustenau Draw
Jul 2021 Grazer AK(A) 1 - 2 Austria Lustenau Away
May 2021 Grazer AK 2 - 0 Austria Lustenau Home
Dec 2020 Grazer AK(A) 1 - 3 Austria Lustenau Away
Jun 2020 Grazer AK 1 - 1 Austria Lustenau Draw

In the last 5 meetings, Grazer AK won 1, drew 2 and lost 2.

Current Streaks

Grazer AK — unbeaten run (home)7
Grazer AK — scoring streak (home)10

1X2 Probability model

Grazer AK Win (1)50%
Draw (X)25%
Austria Lustenau Win (2)26%

Goals Over rate per team, own matches

88% +0.5 0%
50% +1.5 0%
19% +2.5 0%
6% +3.5 0%
0% +4.5 0%

Goals Under rate per team, own matches

12% -0.5 100%
50% -1.5 100%
81% -2.5 100%
94% -3.5 100%
100% -4.5 100%

Grazer AK vs Austria Lustenau — share of each team's own matches finishing above/below each goal line.

Goal Averages per Team

Grazer AK — scored (home)1.63
Grazer AK — conceded (home)1.25
Austria Lustenau — scored (away)0
Austria Lustenau — conceded (away)0
Model expected combined goals2.72

Both Teams To Score

Yes53%
No47%

Rate per Team

Grazer AK — BTTS matches (home)75%
Austria Lustenau — BTTS matches (away)0%
Combined (simple average)37.5%

Corners Line model prediction

Over 8.558%
Under 8.542%
Over 9.547%
Under 9.553%
Over 10.537%
Under 10.563%
Expected total corners (model prediction)9.50

Per-Team Corners own matches

Grazer AK (home)

Corners for4.3
Corners against4.4

Austria Lustenau (away)

Corners for—
Corners against—

Recent Trend last 5 matches — total corners

Grazer AK
9 13 9 8 7

Yellow Cards Line match total, blended estimate

Over 0.547%
Under 0.553%
Over 1.544%
Under 1.556%
Over 2.544%
Under 2.556%
Expected total yellow cards (blended average)4.4

Yellow Cards per Team

Grazer AK (home)

For2.2

Austria Lustenau (away)

For—

Shots Forecast model prediction

Match Total

Over 19.567%
Under 19.533%
Over 22.553%
Under 22.547%
Over 25.539%
Under 25.561%
Expected total shots23.86

Grazer AK

Shots Over 9.573%
Shots Over 11.558%
Shots Over 13.542%
Expected shots13.00
On Target Over 3.559%
On Target Over 4.542%
On Target Over 5.527%
Expected on target4.27

Austria Lustenau

Shots Over 9.558%
Shots Over 11.540%
Shots Over 13.526%
Expected shots10.86
On Target Over 3.550%
On Target Over 4.533%
On Target Over 5.520%
Expected on target3.77

Shots per Game

Grazer AK — total shots (home)11.3
Austria Lustenau — total shots (away)—

Shots on Target

Grazer AK — on target (home)3.4
Austria Lustenau — on target (away)—

Shot Location Split avg per match, season

Grazer AK

Inside the box6.47
Outside the box3.59

Austria Lustenau

Inside the box-
Outside the box-

Player Shots Grazer AK

R. Harakaté
Shots on Target/Game0.8
+0.5 On Target57%
+1.5 On Target13%
D. Maderner
Shots on Target/Game0.6
+0.5 On Target48%
+1.5 On Target12%
A. Hofleitner
Shots on Target/Game0.5
+0.5 On Target43%
+1.5 On Target7%
T. Cipot
Shots on Target/Game0.5
+0.5 On Target47%
+1.5 On Target0%
M. Große
Shots on Target/Game0.5
+0.5 On Target36%
+1.5 On Target9%

Player Shots Austria Lustenau

Not enough dataNot enough player match statistics for this squad.

Probabilities are each player's own historical rate this season (minimum 3 matches played), not a joint match forecast.

Expected Goals (xG)

Grazer AK xG (home)1.25
Austria Lustenau xG (away)-

Average Possession

47.66% Possession -%

Team Comparison Grazer AK vs Austria Lustenau

72% Pass accuracy 0%
353.63 Passes per match -
-0.3 Goals prevented -
11.84 Fouls committed -
2.31 Goalkeeper saves -
1.93 Offsides -
14.66 Tackles per match -

League average xG this season is 1.34 per team per match, for context.

Disclaimer: these predictions are generated by a statistical model and do not constitute financial advice or a guarantee of outcome. Bet responsibly and only what you can afford to lose.
PRE-MATCH ANALYSIS

Grazer AK vs Austria Lustenau prediction analysis

Review Grazer AK vs Austria Lustenau with prediction probabilities, 1X2, Over 2.5, BTTS, team form, market signals and key performance data from Bundesliga.

1X2 Over 2.5 BTTS Recent form Team performance Bundesliga
DataHistorical results, fixtures and performance metrics
Markets1X2, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and trend indicators
AnalysisLeague, team, player and match-level insights
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