Prediction Analysis

Prediction Analysis: Grazer AK vs Austria Vienna

Grazer AK vs Austria Vienna prediction based on recent form, head-to-head data, team performance and key match statistics.

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Bundesliga 2025-08-03 15:00
Grazer AK
Home
Selected Prediction
Featured Pick
Over 2.5 Goals
Pick
Yes
Probability
57%
Confidence
Medium
Score
1-1
Austria Vienna
Away

Prediction Summary

1
40%
X
24%
2
36%
Over 2.5
57%
BTTS Yes
60%
Confidence
Medium

Market Evidence

Grazer AK (Home)

Goals scored / match1.63
Goals conceded / match1.25
Over 2.5 rate19%
BTTS rate75%

Austria Vienna (Away)

Goals scored / match1.63
Goals conceded / match1.44
Over 2.5 rate19%
BTTS rate69%

Team Form last 5 matches

Grazer AK
WDWLL
Austria Vienna
LWWDL

Goals Comparison rate per team

88% +0.5 100%
50% +1.5 44%
19% +2.5 19%
6% +3.5 0%
0% +4.5 0%
75% BTTS 69%

Model Insight

The selected market is Over 2.5 Goals with a probability of 57%. Model confidence is Medium.

Grazer AK averages 1.63 goals scored at home, while Austria Vienna averages 1.63 goals scored away.

Model Strength
60%

Other Top Markets for This Match

Home Win
40%
Draw
24%
Away Win
36%
Over 2.5
57%
BTTS Yes
60%

Head-to-Head last 4

Nov 2025 Grazer AK(A) 1 - 2 Austria Vienna Away
Aug 2025 Grazer AK 2 - 2 Austria Vienna Draw
Mar 2025 Grazer AK 1 - 2 Austria Vienna Away
Oct 2024 Grazer AK(A) 1 - 2 Austria Vienna Away

In the last 4 meetings, Grazer AK won 0, drew 1 and lost 3.

Current Streaks

Grazer AK — unbeaten run (home)7
Grazer AK — scoring streak (home)10
Austria Vienna — winless run (away)0
Austria Vienna — clean sheets (away, last 5)2 of 5

1X2 Probability model

Grazer AK Win (1)40%
Draw (X)24%
Austria Vienna Win (2)36%

Goals Over rate per team, own matches

88% +0.5 100%
50% +1.5 44%
19% +2.5 19%
6% +3.5 0%
0% +4.5 0%

Goals Under rate per team, own matches

12% -0.5 0%
50% -1.5 56%
81% -2.5 81%
94% -3.5 100%
100% -4.5 100%

Grazer AK vs Austria Vienna — share of each team's own matches finishing above/below each goal line.

Goal Averages per Team

Grazer AK — scored (home)1.63
Grazer AK — conceded (home)1.25
Austria Vienna — scored (away)1.63
Austria Vienna — conceded (away)1.44
Model expected combined goals2.97

Both Teams To Score

Yes60%
No40%

Rate per Team

Grazer AK — BTTS matches (home)75%
Austria Vienna — BTTS matches (away)69%
Combined (simple average)72%

Corners Line match total, blended estimate

Over 4.594%
Under 4.56%
Over 5.588%
Under 5.512%
Over 6.582%
Under 6.518%
Over 7.566%
Under 7.534%
Over 8.560%
Under 8.540%
Over 9.535%
Under 9.565%
Over 10.535%
Under 10.565%
Expected total corners (blended average)9.00

Per-Team Corners own matches

Grazer AK (home)

Corners for4.3
Corners against4.4

Austria Vienna (away)

Corners for4.8
Corners against4.6

Recent Trend last 5 matches — total corners

Grazer AK
9 13 9 8 7
Austria Vienna
5 7 8 9 13

Yellow Cards Line match total, blended estimate

Over 0.591%
Under 0.59%
Over 1.585%
Under 1.515%
Over 2.576%
Under 2.524%
Expected total yellow cards (blended average)4

Yellow Cards per Team

Grazer AK (home)

For2.2

Austria Vienna (away)

For2.8

Shots per Game

Grazer AK — total shots (home)11.3
Austria Vienna — total shots (away)10.1

Shots on Target

Grazer AK — on target (home)3.4
Austria Vienna — on target (away)3.6

Shot Location Split avg per match, season

Grazer AK

Inside the box6.47
Outside the box3.59

Austria Vienna

Inside the box7.75
Outside the box3.41

Player Shots Grazer AK

R. Harakaté
Shots on Target/Game0.8
+0.5 On Target57%
+1.5 On Target13%
D. Maderner
Shots on Target/Game0.6
+0.5 On Target48%
+1.5 On Target12%
A. Hofleitner
Shots on Target/Game0.5
+0.5 On Target43%
+1.5 On Target7%
T. Cipot
Shots on Target/Game0.5
+0.5 On Target47%
+1.5 On Target0%
M. Große
Shots on Target/Game0.5
+0.5 On Target36%
+1.5 On Target9%

Player Shots Austria Vienna

M. Malone
Shots on Target/Game1.2
+0.5 On Target80%
+1.5 On Target40%
D. Fitz
Shots on Target/Game0.7
+0.5 On Target67%
+1.5 On Target0%
J. Eggestein
Shots on Target/Game0.6
+0.5 On Target55%
+1.5 On Target7%
N. Botić
Shots on Target/Game0.5
+0.5 On Target23%
+1.5 On Target23%
M. Fischer
Shots on Target/Game0.5
+0.5 On Target44%
+1.5 On Target6%

Probabilities are each player's own historical rate this season (minimum 3 matches played), not a joint match forecast.

Expected Goals (xG)

Grazer AK xG (home)1.25
Austria Vienna xG (away)1.29

Average Possession

47.66% Possession 48.84%

Team Comparison Grazer AK vs Austria Vienna

72% Pass accuracy 74.19%
353.63 Passes per match 383.31
-0.3 Goals prevented 0.06
11.84 Fouls committed 11.78
2.31 Goalkeeper saves 2.31
1.93 Offsides 2.06
14.66 Tackles per match 18.41

League average xG this season is 1.34 per team per match, for context.

Disclaimer: these predictions are generated by a statistical model and do not constitute financial advice or a guarantee of outcome. Bet responsibly and only what you can afford to lose.
PRE-MATCH ANALYSIS

Grazer AK vs Austria Vienna prediction analysis

Review Grazer AK vs Austria Vienna with prediction probabilities, 1X2, Over 2.5, BTTS, team form, market signals and key performance data from Bundesliga.

1X2 Over 2.5 BTTS Recent form Team performance Bundesliga
DataHistorical results, fixtures and performance metrics
Markets1X2, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and trend indicators
AnalysisLeague, team, player and match-level insights
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