What markets are included in the Grazer AK vs Sturm Graz prediction?

GoalStatsLab may analyze 1X2 outcome probabilities, Over/Under 2.5 goals, Both Teams To Score, corners and cards where enough match data is available.

How is the Grazer AK vs Sturm Graz prediction calculated?

The prediction is based on available football data such as recent form, goals scored and conceded, home and away performance, league trends and selected market probabilities.

Are football predictions guaranteed?

No. Football predictions are statistical estimates and should be used for analysis, not as guaranteed betting outcomes or financial advice.

Prediction Analysis: Grazer AK vs Sturm Graz

Grazer AK vs Sturm Graz prediction based on recent form, head-to-head data, team performance and key match statistics.

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Bundesliga 2025-08-30 17:30

Grazer AK

Home

Selected Prediction

Featured Pick

Over 2.5 Goals

Pick

Yes

Probability

59%

Confidence

Medium

Score

1-1

Sturm Graz

Away

Prediction Summary

31%

24%

45%

Over 2.5

59%

BTTS Yes

61%

Confidence

Medium

Market Evidence

Grazer AK (Home)

Goals scored / match1.63

Goals conceded / match1.25

Over 2.5 rate19%

BTTS rate75%

Sturm Graz (Away)

Goals scored / match2.13

Goals conceded / match1.13

Over 2.5 rate31%

BTTS rate56%

Team Form last 5 matches

Grazer AK

WDWLL

Sturm Graz

WWDDD

Goals Comparison rate per team

88% +0.5 94%

50% +1.5 63%

19% +2.5 31%

6% +3.5 19%

0% +4.5 6%

75% BTTS 56%

Model Insight

The selected market is Over 2.5 Goals with a probability of 59%. Model confidence is Medium.

Grazer AK averages 1.63 goals scored at home, while Sturm Graz averages 2.13 goals scored away.

Model Strength

61%

Other Top Markets for This Match

Home Win

31%

Draw

24%

Away Win

45%

Over 2.5

59%

BTTS Yes

61%

Head-to-Head last 5

Dec 2025 Grazer AK(A) 1 - 2 Sturm Graz Away

Aug 2025 Grazer AK 0 - 3 Sturm Graz Away

Mar 2025 Grazer AK 1 - 2 Sturm Graz Away

Oct 2024 Grazer AK(A) 2 - 5 Sturm Graz Away

Nov 2023 Grazer AK 2 - 3 Sturm Graz Away

In the last 5 meetings, Grazer AK won 0, drew 0 and lost 5.

Current Streaks

Grazer AK — unbeaten run (home)7

Grazer AK — scoring streak (home)10

Sturm Graz — winless run (away)0

Sturm Graz — clean sheets (away, last 5)1 of 5

1X2 Probability model

Grazer AK Win (1)31%

Draw (X)24%

Sturm Graz Win (2)45%

Goals Over rate per team, own matches

88% +0.5 94%

50% +1.5 63%

19% +2.5 31%

6% +3.5 19%

0% +4.5 6%

Goals Under rate per team, own matches

12% -0.5 6%

50% -1.5 37%

81% -2.5 69%

94% -3.5 81%

100% -4.5 94%

Grazer AK vs Sturm Graz — share of each team's own matches finishing above/below each goal line.

Goal Averages per Team

Grazer AK — scored (home)1.63

Grazer AK — conceded (home)1.25

Sturm Graz — scored (away)2.13

Sturm Graz — conceded (away)1.13

Model expected combined goals3.06

Both Teams To Score

Yes61%

No39%

Rate per Team

Grazer AK — BTTS matches (home)75%

Sturm Graz — BTTS matches (away)56%

Combined (simple average)65.5%

Corners Line match total, blended estimate

Over 4.597%

Under 4.53%

Over 5.594%

Under 5.56%

Over 6.588%

Under 6.512%

Over 7.576%

Under 7.524%

Over 8.569%

Under 8.531%

Over 9.538%

Under 9.562%

Over 10.528%

Under 10.572%

Expected total corners (blended average)9.40

Per-Team Corners own matches

Grazer AK (home)

Corners for4.3

Corners against4.4

Sturm Graz (away)

Corners for5.4

Corners against4.8

Recent Trend last 5 matches — total corners

Grazer AK

9 13 9 8 7

Sturm Graz

12 7 13 9 12

Yellow Cards Line match total, blended estimate

Over 0.597%

Under 0.53%

Over 1.591%

Under 1.59%

Over 2.588%

Under 2.512%

Expected total yellow cards (blended average)4.8

Yellow Cards per Team

Grazer AK (home)

For2.2

Sturm Graz (away)

For2.7

Shots per Game

Grazer AK — total shots (home)11.3

Sturm Graz — total shots (away)15.4

Shots on Target

Grazer AK — on target (home)3.4

Sturm Graz — on target (away)5.3

Shot Location Split avg per match, season

Grazer AK

Inside the box6.47

Outside the box3.59

Sturm Graz

Inside the box9.91

Outside the box5.78

Player Shots Grazer AK

R. Harakaté

Shots on Target/Game0.8

+0.5 On Target57%

+1.5 On Target13%

D. Maderner

Shots on Target/Game0.6

+0.5 On Target48%

+1.5 On Target12%

A. Hofleitner

Shots on Target/Game0.5

+0.5 On Target43%

+1.5 On Target7%

T. Cipot

Shots on Target/Game0.5

+0.5 On Target47%

+1.5 On Target0%

M. Große

Shots on Target/Game0.5

+0.5 On Target36%

+1.5 On Target9%

Player Shots Sturm Graz

O. Kiteishvili

Shots on Target/Game1

+0.5 On Target62%

+1.5 On Target28%

M. Malone

Shots on Target/Game0.8

+0.5 On Target54%

+1.5 On Target21%

M. Johnston

Shots on Target/Game0.7

+0.5 On Target67%

+1.5 On Target0%

L. Grgić

Shots on Target/Game0.6

+0.5 On Target44%

+1.5 On Target13%

T. Horvat

Shots on Target/Game0.6

+0.5 On Target41%

+1.5 On Target12%

Probabilities are each player's own historical rate this season (minimum 3 matches played), not a joint match forecast.

Expected Goals (xG)

Grazer AK xG (home)1.25

Sturm Graz xG (away)1.68

Average Possession

47.66% Possession 53.97%

Team Comparison Grazer AK vs Sturm Graz

72% Pass accuracy 75.13%

353.63 Passes per match 388.34

-0.3 Goals prevented 0.11

11.84 Fouls committed 11.59

2.31 Goalkeeper saves 2.59

1.93 Offsides 1.57

14.66 Tackles per match 17.69

League average xG this season is 1.34 per team per match, for context.

Disclaimer: these predictions are generated by a statistical model and do not constitute financial advice or a guarantee of outcome. Bet responsibly and only what you can afford to lose.

PRE-MATCH ANALYSIS

Grazer AK vs Sturm Graz prediction analysis

Review Grazer AK vs Sturm Graz with prediction probabilities, 1X2, Over 2.5, BTTS, team form, market signals and key performance data from Bundesliga.

1X2 Over 2.5 BTTS Recent form Team performance Bundesliga

DataHistorical results, fixtures and performance metrics

Markets1X2, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and trend indicators

AnalysisLeague, team, player and match-level insights