What markets are included in the Gremio vs Botafogo prediction?

GoalStatsLab may analyze 1X2 outcome probabilities, Over/Under 2.5 goals, Both Teams To Score, corners and cards where enough match data is available.

How is the Gremio vs Botafogo prediction calculated?

The prediction is based on available football data such as recent form, goals scored and conceded, home and away performance, league trends and selected market probabilities.

Are football predictions guaranteed?

No. Football predictions are statistical estimates and should be used for analysis, not as guaranteed betting outcomes or financial advice.

Prediction Analysis: Gremio vs Botafogo

Gremio vs Botafogo prediction based on recent form, head-to-head data, team performance and key match statistics.

Back to Predictions

Serie A 2025-09-24 22:30

Gremio

Home

Selected Prediction

Featured Pick

Over 2.5 Goals

Pick

Yes

Probability

21%

Confidence

High

Score

0-0

Botafogo

Away

Prediction Summary

24%

35%

42%

Under 2.5

79%

BTTS No

71%

Confidence

High

Market Evidence

Gremio (Home)

Goals scored / match1.26

Goals conceded / match0.89

Over 2.5 rate16%

BTTS rate53%

Botafogo (Away)

Goals scored / match1

Goals conceded / match0.74

Over 2.5 rate11%

BTTS rate21%

Team Form last 5 matches

Gremio

WLWLW

Botafogo

WDDWW

Goals Comparison rate per team

74% +0.5 47%

37% +1.5 32%

16% +2.5 11%

0% +3.5 5%

0% +4.5 5%

53% BTTS 21%

Model Insight

The selected market is Over 2.5 Goals with a probability of 21%. Model confidence is High.

Gremio averages 1.26 goals scored at home, while Botafogo averages 1 goals scored away.

Model Strength

79%

Other Top Markets for This Match

Home Win

24%

Draw

35%

Away Win

42%

Over 2.5

21%

BTTS Yes

29%

Head-to-Head last 5

Nov 2025 Gremio(A) 2 - 3 Botafogo Away

Sep 2025 Gremio 1 - 1 Botafogo Draw

Sep 2024 Gremio(A) 0 - 0 Botafogo Draw

Jun 2024 Gremio 1 - 2 Botafogo Away

Nov 2023 Gremio(A) 4 - 3 Botafogo Home

In the last 5 meetings, Gremio won 1, drew 2 and lost 2.

Current Streaks

Gremio — unbeaten run (home)0

Gremio — scoring streak (home)3

Botafogo — winless run (away)4

Botafogo — clean sheets (away, last 5)3 of 5

1X2 Probability model

Gremio Win (1)24%

Draw (X)35%

Botafogo Win (2)42%

Goals Over rate per team, own matches

74% +0.5 47%

37% +1.5 32%

16% +2.5 11%

0% +3.5 5%

0% +4.5 5%

Goals Under rate per team, own matches

26% -0.5 53%

63% -1.5 68%

84% -2.5 89%

100% -3.5 95%

100% -4.5 95%

Gremio vs Botafogo — share of each team's own matches finishing above/below each goal line.

Goal Averages per Team

Gremio — scored (home)1.26

Gremio — conceded (home)0.89

Botafogo — scored (away)1

Botafogo — conceded (away)0.74

Model expected combined goals1.59

Both Teams To Score

Yes29%

No71%

Rate per Team

Gremio — BTTS matches (home)53%

Botafogo — BTTS matches (away)21%

Combined (simple average)37%

Corners Line match total, blended estimate

Over 4.598%

Under 4.52%

Over 5.592%

Under 5.58%

Over 6.584%

Under 6.516%

Over 7.576%

Under 7.524%

Over 8.553%

Under 8.547%

Over 9.542%

Under 9.558%

Over 10.521%

Under 10.579%

Expected total corners (blended average)9.10

Per-Team Corners own matches

Gremio (home)

Corners for4.3

Corners against4.7

Botafogo (away)

Corners for4.1

Corners against5.1

Recent Trend last 5 matches — total corners

Gremio

8 8 8 10 6

Botafogo

12 8 12 8 4

Yellow Cards Line match total, blended estimate

Over 0.5100%

Under 0.50%

Over 1.5100%

Under 1.50%

Over 2.590%

Under 2.510%

Expected total yellow cards (blended average)5

Yellow Cards per Team

Gremio (home)

For2.7

Botafogo (away)

For2.3

Shots per Game

Gremio — total shots (home)14.4

Botafogo — total shots (away)12.3

Shots on Target

Gremio — on target (home)5.2

Botafogo — on target (away)3.8

Shot Location Split avg per match, season

Gremio

Inside the box7.21

Outside the box5.03

Botafogo

Inside the box9.21

Outside the box5.11

Player Shots Gremio

Carlos Vinícius

Shots on Target/Game1.1

+0.5 On Target64%

+1.5 On Target36%

M. Braithwaite

Shots on Target/Game0.9

+0.5 On Target67%

+1.5 On Target17%

F. Amuzu

Shots on Target/Game0.8

+0.5 On Target45%

+1.5 On Target18%

André Henrique

Shots on Target/Game0.6

+0.5 On Target44%

+1.5 On Target16%

M. Arezo

Shots on Target/Game0.5

+0.5 On Target25%

+1.5 On Target25%

Player Shots Botafogo

Igor Jesus

Shots on Target/Game1.4

+0.5 On Target80%

+1.5 On Target40%

Chris Ramos

Shots on Target/Game0.8

+0.5 On Target62%

+1.5 On Target15%

Arthur Cabral

Shots on Target/Game0.7

+0.5 On Target57%

+1.5 On Target10%

J. Savarino

Shots on Target/Game0.7

+0.5 On Target48%

+1.5 On Target15%

Artur

Shots on Target/Game0.6

+0.5 On Target46%

+1.5 On Target11%

Probabilities are each player's own historical rate this season (minimum 3 matches played), not a joint match forecast.

Expected Goals (xG)

Gremio xG (home)1.29

Botafogo xG (away)1.32

Average Possession

45.16% Possession 51.76%

Team Comparison Gremio vs Botafogo

82.32% Pass accuracy 85.26%

379.66 Passes per match 454.05

0.22 Goals prevented 0.12

13.37 Fouls committed 14.61

3.41 Goalkeeper saves 2.47

1.08 Offsides 1.36

17.37 Tackles per match 15.24

League average xG this season is 1.23 per team per match, for context.

Disclaimer: these predictions are generated by a statistical model and do not constitute financial advice or a guarantee of outcome. Bet responsibly and only what you can afford to lose.

PRE-MATCH ANALYSIS

Gremio vs Botafogo prediction analysis

Review Gremio vs Botafogo with prediction probabilities, 1X2, Over 2.5, BTTS, team form, market signals and key performance data from Serie A.

1X2 Over 2.5 BTTS Recent form Team performance Serie A

DataHistorical results, fixtures and performance metrics

Markets1X2, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and trend indicators

AnalysisLeague, team, player and match-level insights