What markets are included in the Gremio vs Cruzeiro prediction?

GoalStatsLab may analyze 1X2 outcome probabilities, Over/Under 2.5 goals, Both Teams To Score, corners and cards where enough match data is available.

How is the Gremio vs Cruzeiro prediction calculated?

The prediction is based on available football data such as recent form, goals scored and conceded, home and away performance, league trends and selected market probabilities.

Are football predictions guaranteed?

No. Football predictions are statistical estimates and should be used for analysis, not as guaranteed betting outcomes or financial advice.

Prediction Analysis: Gremio vs Cruzeiro

Gremio vs Cruzeiro prediction based on recent form, head-to-head data, team performance and key match statistics.

Back to Predictions

Serie A 2025-11-05 23:00

Gremio

Home

Selected Prediction

Featured Pick

Over 2.5 Goals

Pick

Yes

Probability

28%

Confidence

High

Score

0-0

Cruzeiro

Away

Prediction Summary

35%

33%

Under 2.5

72%

BTTS No

64%

Confidence

High

Market Evidence

Gremio (Home)

Goals scored / match1.26

Goals conceded / match0.89

Over 2.5 rate16%

BTTS rate53%

Cruzeiro (Away)

Goals scored / match1.05

Goals conceded / match0.89

Over 2.5 rate11%

BTTS rate32%

Team Form last 5 matches

Gremio

WLWLW

Cruzeiro

LDDWD

Goals Comparison rate per team

74% +0.5 58%

37% +1.5 32%

16% +2.5 11%

0% +3.5 5%

0% +4.5 0%

53% BTTS 32%

Model Insight

The selected market is Over 2.5 Goals with a probability of 28%. Model confidence is High.

Gremio averages 1.26 goals scored at home, while Cruzeiro averages 1.05 goals scored away.

Model Strength

72%

Other Top Markets for This Match

Home Win

35%

Draw

33%

Away Win

33%

Over 2.5

28%

BTTS Yes

36%

Head-to-Head last 5

Nov 2025 Gremio 0 - 1 Cruzeiro Away

Jul 2025 Gremio(A) 1 - 4 Cruzeiro Away

Nov 2024 Gremio(A) 1 - 1 Cruzeiro Draw

Jul 2024 Gremio 0 - 2 Cruzeiro Away

Aug 2023 Gremio 3 - 0 Cruzeiro Home

In the last 5 meetings, Gremio won 1, drew 1 and lost 3.

Current Streaks

Gremio — unbeaten run (home)0

Gremio — scoring streak (home)3

Cruzeiro — winless run (away)3

Cruzeiro — clean sheets (away, last 5)2 of 5

1X2 Probability model

Gremio Win (1)35%

Draw (X)33%

Cruzeiro Win (2)33%

Goals Over rate per team, own matches

74% +0.5 58%

37% +1.5 32%

16% +2.5 11%

0% +3.5 5%

0% +4.5 0%

Goals Under rate per team, own matches

26% -0.5 42%

63% -1.5 68%

84% -2.5 89%

100% -3.5 95%

100% -4.5 100%

Gremio vs Cruzeiro — share of each team's own matches finishing above/below each goal line.

Goal Averages per Team

Gremio — scored (home)1.26

Gremio — conceded (home)0.89

Cruzeiro — scored (away)1.05

Cruzeiro — conceded (away)0.89

Model expected combined goals1.83

Both Teams To Score

Yes36%

No64%

Rate per Team

Gremio — BTTS matches (home)53%

Cruzeiro — BTTS matches (away)32%

Combined (simple average)42.5%

Corners Line match total, blended estimate

Over 4.598%

Under 4.52%

Over 5.592%

Under 5.58%

Over 6.584%

Under 6.516%

Over 7.576%

Under 7.524%

Over 8.566%

Under 8.534%

Over 9.556%

Under 9.544%

Over 10.542%

Under 10.558%

Expected total corners (blended average)9.80

Per-Team Corners own matches

Gremio (home)

Corners for4.3

Corners against4.7

Cruzeiro (away)

Corners for5.0

Corners against5.5

Recent Trend last 5 matches — total corners

Gremio

8 8 8 10 6

Cruzeiro

12 12 13 8 12

Yellow Cards Line match total, blended estimate

Over 0.5100%

Under 0.50%

Over 1.598%

Under 1.52%

Over 2.592%

Under 2.58%

Expected total yellow cards (blended average)5.5

Yellow Cards per Team

Gremio (home)

For2.7

Cruzeiro (away)

For2.8

Shots per Game

Gremio — total shots (home)14.4

Cruzeiro — total shots (away)12.1

Shots on Target

Gremio — on target (home)5.2

Cruzeiro — on target (away)4.0

Shot Location Split avg per match, season

Gremio

Inside the box7.21

Outside the box5.03

Cruzeiro

Inside the box7.76

Outside the box5.82

Player Shots Gremio

Carlos Vinícius

Shots on Target/Game1.1

+0.5 On Target64%

+1.5 On Target36%

M. Braithwaite

Shots on Target/Game0.9

+0.5 On Target67%

+1.5 On Target17%

F. Amuzu

Shots on Target/Game0.8

+0.5 On Target45%

+1.5 On Target18%

André Henrique

Shots on Target/Game0.6

+0.5 On Target44%

+1.5 On Target16%

M. Arezo

Shots on Target/Game0.5

+0.5 On Target25%

+1.5 On Target25%

Player Shots Cruzeiro

Kaio Jorge

Shots on Target/Game1.4

+0.5 On Target79%

+1.5 On Target33%

K. Arroyo

Shots on Target/Game0.9

+0.5 On Target58%

+1.5 On Target25%

Matheus Pereira

Shots on Target/Game0.9

+0.5 On Target62%

+1.5 On Target21%

Gabriel Barbosa

Shots on Target/Game0.7

+0.5 On Target50%

+1.5 On Target17%

Christian

Shots on Target/Game0.5

+0.5 On Target37%

+1.5 On Target7%

Probabilities are each player's own historical rate this season (minimum 3 matches played), not a joint match forecast.

Expected Goals (xG)

Gremio xG (home)1.29

Cruzeiro xG (away)1.27

Average Possession

45.16% Possession 47.87%

Team Comparison Gremio vs Cruzeiro

82.32% Pass accuracy 81.05%

379.66 Passes per match 363.13

0.22 Goals prevented 0.12

13.37 Fouls committed 13.66

3.41 Goalkeeper saves 3.18

1.08 Offsides 1.5

17.37 Tackles per match 16.32

League average xG this season is 1.23 per team per match, for context.

Disclaimer: these predictions are generated by a statistical model and do not constitute financial advice or a guarantee of outcome. Bet responsibly and only what you can afford to lose.

PRE-MATCH ANALYSIS

Gremio vs Cruzeiro prediction analysis

Review Gremio vs Cruzeiro with prediction probabilities, 1X2, Over 2.5, BTTS, team form, market signals and key performance data from Serie A.

1X2 Over 2.5 BTTS Recent form Team performance Serie A

DataHistorical results, fixtures and performance metrics

Markets1X2, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and trend indicators

AnalysisLeague, team, player and match-level insights