What markets are included in the Gremio vs Flamengo prediction?

GoalStatsLab may analyze 1X2 outcome probabilities, Over/Under 2.5 goals, Both Teams To Score, corners and cards where enough match data is available.

How is the Gremio vs Flamengo prediction calculated?

The prediction is based on available football data such as recent form, goals scored and conceded, home and away performance, league trends and selected market probabilities.

Are football predictions guaranteed?

No. Football predictions are statistical estimates and should be used for analysis, not as guaranteed betting outcomes or financial advice.

Prediction Analysis: Gremio vs Flamengo

Gremio vs Flamengo prediction based on recent form, head-to-head data, team performance and key match statistics.

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Serie A 2025-04-13 20:30

Gremio

Home

Selected Prediction

Featured Pick

Over 2.5 Goals

Pick

Yes

Probability

44%

Confidence

Medium

Score

1-1

Flamengo

Away

Prediction Summary

32%

27%

40%

Under 2.5

56%

BTTS No

51%

Confidence

Medium

Market Evidence

Gremio (Home)

Goals scored / match1.26

Goals conceded / match0.89

Over 2.5 rate16%

BTTS rate53%

Flamengo (Away)

Goals scored / match1.68

Goals conceded / match1

Over 2.5 rate21%

BTTS rate58%

Team Form last 5 matches

Gremio

WLWLW

Flamengo

DWDWL

Goals Comparison rate per team

74% +0.5 79%

37% +1.5 58%

16% +2.5 21%

0% +3.5 5%

0% +4.5 5%

53% BTTS 58%

Model Insight

The selected market is Over 2.5 Goals with a probability of 44%. Model confidence is Medium.

Gremio averages 1.26 goals scored at home, while Flamengo averages 1.68 goals scored away.

Model Strength

56%

Other Top Markets for This Match

Home Win

32%

Draw

27%

Away Win

40%

Over 2.5

44%

BTTS Yes

49%

Head-to-Head last 5

Aug 2025 Gremio(A) 1 - 1 Flamengo Draw

Apr 2025 Gremio 0 - 2 Flamengo Away

Sep 2024 Gremio 3 - 2 Flamengo Home

Jun 2024 Gremio(A) 1 - 2 Flamengo Away

Oct 2023 Gremio 3 - 2 Flamengo Home

In the last 5 meetings, Gremio won 2, drew 1 and lost 2.

Current Streaks

Gremio — unbeaten run (home)0

Gremio — scoring streak (home)3

Flamengo — winless run (away)3

Flamengo — clean sheets (away, last 5)0 of 5

1X2 Probability model

Gremio Win (1)32%

Draw (X)27%

Flamengo Win (2)40%

Goals Over rate per team, own matches

74% +0.5 79%

37% +1.5 58%

16% +2.5 21%

0% +3.5 5%

0% +4.5 5%

Goals Under rate per team, own matches

26% -0.5 21%

63% -1.5 42%

84% -2.5 79%

100% -3.5 95%

100% -4.5 95%

Gremio vs Flamengo — share of each team's own matches finishing above/below each goal line.

Goal Averages per Team

Gremio — scored (home)1.26

Gremio — conceded (home)0.89

Flamengo — scored (away)1.68

Flamengo — conceded (away)1

Model expected combined goals2.42

Both Teams To Score

Yes49%

No51%

Rate per Team

Gremio — BTTS matches (home)53%

Flamengo — BTTS matches (away)58%

Combined (simple average)55.5%

Corners Line match total, blended estimate

Over 4.598%

Under 4.52%

Over 5.584%

Under 5.516%

Over 6.576%

Under 6.524%

Over 7.566%

Under 7.534%

Over 8.545%

Under 8.555%

Over 9.540%

Under 9.560%

Over 10.527%

Under 10.573%

Expected total corners (blended average)9.20

Per-Team Corners own matches

Gremio (home)

Corners for4.3

Corners against4.7

Flamengo (away)

Corners for5.7

Corners against3.7

Recent Trend last 5 matches — total corners

Gremio

8 8 8 10 6

Flamengo

8 10 6 7 5

Yellow Cards Line match total, blended estimate

Over 0.598%

Under 0.52%

Over 1.598%

Under 1.52%

Over 2.587%

Under 2.513%

Expected total yellow cards (blended average)5.3

Yellow Cards per Team

Gremio (home)

For2.7

Flamengo (away)

For2.6

Shots per Game

Gremio — total shots (home)14.4

Flamengo — total shots (away)13.8

Shots on Target

Gremio — on target (home)5.2

Flamengo — on target (away)4.7

Shot Location Split avg per match, season

Gremio

Inside the box7.21

Outside the box5.03

Flamengo

Inside the box9.92

Outside the box5.55

Player Shots Gremio

Carlos Vinícius

Shots on Target/Game1.1

+0.5 On Target64%

+1.5 On Target36%

M. Braithwaite

Shots on Target/Game0.9

+0.5 On Target67%

+1.5 On Target17%

F. Amuzu

Shots on Target/Game0.8

+0.5 On Target45%

+1.5 On Target18%

André Henrique

Shots on Target/Game0.6

+0.5 On Target44%

+1.5 On Target16%

M. Arezo

Shots on Target/Game0.5

+0.5 On Target25%

+1.5 On Target25%

Player Shots Flamengo

Pedro

Shots on Target/Game1.2

+0.5 On Target67%

+1.5 On Target38%

G. de Arrascaeta

Shots on Target/Game0.7

+0.5 On Target61%

+1.5 On Target12%

Bruno Henrique

Shots on Target/Game0.7

+0.5 On Target50%

+1.5 On Target19%

Samuel Lino

Shots on Target/Game0.7

+0.5 On Target48%

+1.5 On Target10%

Luiz Araújo

Shots on Target/Game0.5

+0.5 On Target34%

+1.5 On Target11%

Probabilities are each player's own historical rate this season (minimum 3 matches played), not a joint match forecast.

Expected Goals (xG)

Gremio xG (home)1.29

Flamengo xG (away)1.63

Average Possession

45.16% Possession 62.08%

Team Comparison Gremio vs Flamengo

82.32% Pass accuracy 88.34%

379.66 Passes per match 562.39

0.22 Goals prevented -0.02

13.37 Fouls committed 13.42

3.41 Goalkeeper saves 2.5

1.08 Offsides 1.24

17.37 Tackles per match 15.21

League average xG this season is 1.23 per team per match, for context.

Disclaimer: these predictions are generated by a statistical model and do not constitute financial advice or a guarantee of outcome. Bet responsibly and only what you can afford to lose.

PRE-MATCH ANALYSIS

Gremio vs Flamengo prediction analysis

Review Gremio vs Flamengo with prediction probabilities, 1X2, Over 2.5, BTTS, team form, market signals and key performance data from Serie A.

1X2 Over 2.5 BTTS Recent form Team performance Serie A

DataHistorical results, fixtures and performance metrics

Markets1X2, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and trend indicators

AnalysisLeague, team, player and match-level insights