What markets are included in the Gremio vs Fortaleza EC prediction?

GoalStatsLab may analyze 1X2 outcome probabilities, Over/Under 2.5 goals, Both Teams To Score, corners and cards where enough match data is available.

How is the Gremio vs Fortaleza EC prediction calculated?

The prediction is based on available football data such as recent form, goals scored and conceded, home and away performance, league trends and selected market probabilities.

Are football predictions guaranteed?

No. Football predictions are statistical estimates and should be used for analysis, not as guaranteed betting outcomes or financial advice.

Prediction Analysis: Gremio vs Fortaleza EC

Gremio vs Fortaleza EC prediction based on recent form, head-to-head data, team performance and key match statistics.

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Serie A 2025-07-29 23:30

Gremio

Home

Selected Prediction

Featured Pick

Over 2.5 Goals

Pick

Yes

Probability

33%

Confidence

Medium

Score

1-0

Fortaleza EC

Away

Prediction Summary

57%

27%

16%

Under 2.5

67%

BTTS No

66%

Confidence

Medium

Market Evidence

Gremio (Home)

Goals scored / match1.26

Goals conceded / match0.89

Over 2.5 rate16%

BTTS rate53%

Fortaleza EC (Away)

Goals scored / match1.05

Goals conceded / match1.84

Over 2.5 rate11%

BTTS rate68%

Team Form last 5 matches

Gremio

WLWLW

Fortaleza EC

LWWWW

Goals Comparison rate per team

74% +0.5 74%

37% +1.5 21%

16% +2.5 11%

0% +3.5 0%

0% +4.5 0%

53% BTTS 68%

Model Insight

The selected market is Over 2.5 Goals with a probability of 33%. Model confidence is Medium.

Gremio averages 1.26 goals scored at home, while Fortaleza EC averages 1.05 goals scored away.

Model Strength

67%

Other Top Markets for This Match

Home Win

57%

Draw

27%

Away Win

16%

Over 2.5

33%

BTTS Yes

34%

Head-to-Head last 5

Nov 2025 Gremio(A) 2 - 2 Fortaleza EC Draw

Jul 2025 Gremio 2 - 1 Fortaleza EC Home

Oct 2024 Gremio 3 - 1 Fortaleza EC Home

Jun 2024 Gremio(A) 0 - 1 Fortaleza EC Away

Sep 2023 Gremio(A) 1 - 1 Fortaleza EC Draw

In the last 5 meetings, Gremio won 2, drew 2 and lost 1.

Current Streaks

Gremio — unbeaten run (home)0

Gremio — scoring streak (home)3

Fortaleza EC — winless run (away)1

Fortaleza EC — clean sheets (away, last 5)1 of 5

1X2 Probability model

Gremio Win (1)57%

Draw (X)27%

Fortaleza EC Win (2)16%

Goals Over rate per team, own matches

74% +0.5 74%

37% +1.5 21%

16% +2.5 11%

0% +3.5 0%

0% +4.5 0%

Goals Under rate per team, own matches

26% -0.5 26%

63% -1.5 79%

84% -2.5 89%

100% -3.5 100%

100% -4.5 100%

Gremio vs Fortaleza EC — share of each team's own matches finishing above/below each goal line.

Goal Averages per Team

Gremio — scored (home)1.26

Gremio — conceded (home)0.89

Fortaleza EC — scored (away)1.05

Fortaleza EC — conceded (away)1.84

Model expected combined goals2.01

Both Teams To Score

Yes34%

No66%

Rate per Team

Gremio — BTTS matches (home)53%

Fortaleza EC — BTTS matches (away)68%

Combined (simple average)60.5%

Corners Line match total, blended estimate

Over 4.598%

Under 4.52%

Over 5.592%

Under 5.58%

Over 6.587%

Under 6.513%

Over 7.576%

Under 7.524%

Over 8.561%

Under 8.539%

Over 9.542%

Under 9.558%

Over 10.529%

Under 10.571%

Expected total corners (blended average)9.60

Per-Team Corners own matches

Gremio (home)

Corners for4.3

Corners against4.7

Fortaleza EC (away)

Corners for4.5

Corners against5.6

Recent Trend last 5 matches — total corners

Gremio

8 8 8 10 6

Fortaleza EC

12 11 11 7 4

Yellow Cards Line match total, blended estimate

Over 0.5100%

Under 0.50%

Over 1.5100%

Under 1.50%

Over 2.582%

Under 2.518%

Expected total yellow cards (blended average)4.9

Yellow Cards per Team

Gremio (home)

For2.7

Fortaleza EC (away)

For2.6

Shots per Game

Gremio — total shots (home)14.4

Fortaleza EC — total shots (away)10.5

Shots on Target

Gremio — on target (home)5.2

Fortaleza EC — on target (away)3.7

Shot Location Split avg per match, season

Gremio

Inside the box7.21

Outside the box5.03

Fortaleza EC

Inside the box7.63

Outside the box5.26

Player Shots Gremio

Carlos Vinícius

Shots on Target/Game1.1

+0.5 On Target64%

+1.5 On Target36%

M. Braithwaite

Shots on Target/Game0.9

+0.5 On Target67%

+1.5 On Target17%

F. Amuzu

Shots on Target/Game0.8

+0.5 On Target45%

+1.5 On Target18%

André Henrique

Shots on Target/Game0.6

+0.5 On Target44%

+1.5 On Target16%

M. Arezo

Shots on Target/Game0.5

+0.5 On Target25%

+1.5 On Target25%

Player Shots Fortaleza EC

A. Bareiro

Shots on Target/Game0.9

+0.5 On Target71%

+1.5 On Target19%

Breno Lopes

Shots on Target/Game0.6

+0.5 On Target50%

+1.5 On Target9%

J. Herrera

Shots on Target/Game0.6

+0.5 On Target47%

+1.5 On Target11%

T. Pochettino

Shots on Target/Game0.6

+0.5 On Target35%

+1.5 On Target19%

Deyverson

Shots on Target/Game0.5

+0.5 On Target33%

+1.5 On Target11%

Probabilities are each player's own historical rate this season (minimum 3 matches played), not a joint match forecast.

Expected Goals (xG)

Gremio xG (home)1.29

Fortaleza EC xG (away)1.19

Average Possession

45.16% Possession 44.18%

Team Comparison Gremio vs Fortaleza EC

82.32% Pass accuracy 79.24%

379.66 Passes per match 354.39

0.22 Goals prevented 0.01

13.37 Fouls committed 14.18

3.41 Goalkeeper saves 3.63

1.08 Offsides 2.06

17.37 Tackles per match 17.79

League average xG this season is 1.23 per team per match, for context.

Disclaimer: these predictions are generated by a statistical model and do not constitute financial advice or a guarantee of outcome. Bet responsibly and only what you can afford to lose.

PRE-MATCH ANALYSIS

Gremio vs Fortaleza EC prediction analysis

Review Gremio vs Fortaleza EC with prediction probabilities, 1X2, Over 2.5, BTTS, team form, market signals and key performance data from Serie A.

1X2 Over 2.5 BTTS Recent form Team performance Serie A

DataHistorical results, fixtures and performance metrics

Markets1X2, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and trend indicators

AnalysisLeague, team, player and match-level insights