What markets are included in the Gremio vs Mirassol prediction?

GoalStatsLab may analyze 1X2 outcome probabilities, Over/Under 2.5 goals, Both Teams To Score, corners and cards where enough match data is available.

How is the Gremio vs Mirassol prediction calculated?

The prediction is based on available football data such as recent form, goals scored and conceded, home and away performance, league trends and selected market probabilities.

Are football predictions guaranteed?

No. Football predictions are statistical estimates and should be used for analysis, not as guaranteed betting outcomes or financial advice.

Prediction Analysis: Gremio vs Mirassol

Gremio vs Mirassol prediction based on recent form, head-to-head data, team performance and key match statistics.

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Serie A 2025-09-13 19:00

Gremio

Home

Selected Prediction

Featured Pick

Over 2.5 Goals

Pick

Yes

Probability

31%

Confidence

Medium

Score

0-0

Mirassol

Away

Prediction Summary

33%

31%

36%

Under 2.5

69%

BTTS No

61%

Confidence

Medium

Market Evidence

Gremio (Home)

Goals scored / match1.26

Goals conceded / match0.89

Over 2.5 rate16%

BTTS rate53%

Mirassol (Away)

Goals scored / match1.11

Goals conceded / match1.16

Over 2.5 rate5%

BTTS rate47%

Team Form last 5 matches

Gremio

WLWLW

Mirassol

DWLWD

Goals Comparison rate per team

74% +0.5 74%

37% +1.5 32%

16% +2.5 5%

0% +3.5 0%

0% +4.5 0%

53% BTTS 47%

Model Insight

The selected market is Over 2.5 Goals with a probability of 31%. Model confidence is Medium.

Gremio averages 1.26 goals scored at home, while Mirassol averages 1.11 goals scored away.

Model Strength

69%

Other Top Markets for This Match

Home Win

33%

Draw

31%

Away Win

36%

Over 2.5

31%

BTTS Yes

39%

Head-to-Head last 4

Jul 2026 Gremio(A) 1 - 2 Mirassol Away

Sep 2025 Gremio 0 - 1 Mirassol Away

Apr 2025 Gremio(A) 1 - 4 Mirassol Away

Mar 2022 Gremio(A) 2 - 3 Mirassol Away

In the last 4 meetings, Gremio won 0, drew 0 and lost 4.

Current Streaks

Gremio — unbeaten run (home)0

Gremio — scoring streak (home)3

Mirassol — winless run (away)0

Mirassol — clean sheets (away, last 5)1 of 5

1X2 Probability model

Gremio Win (1)33%

Draw (X)31%

Mirassol Win (2)36%

Goals Over rate per team, own matches

74% +0.5 74%

37% +1.5 32%

16% +2.5 5%

0% +3.5 0%

0% +4.5 0%

Goals Under rate per team, own matches

26% -0.5 26%

63% -1.5 68%

84% -2.5 95%

100% -3.5 100%

100% -4.5 100%

Gremio vs Mirassol — share of each team's own matches finishing above/below each goal line.

Goal Averages per Team

Gremio — scored (home)1.26

Gremio — conceded (home)0.89

Mirassol — scored (away)1.11

Mirassol — conceded (away)1.16

Model expected combined goals1.95

Both Teams To Score

Yes39%

No61%

Rate per Team

Gremio — BTTS matches (home)53%

Mirassol — BTTS matches (away)47%

Combined (simple average)50%

Corners Line match total, blended estimate

Over 4.5100%

Under 4.50%

Over 5.595%

Under 5.55%

Over 6.592%

Under 6.58%

Over 7.582%

Under 7.518%

Over 8.555%

Under 8.545%

Over 9.545%

Under 9.555%

Over 10.532%

Under 10.568%

Expected total corners (blended average)10.10

Per-Team Corners own matches

Gremio (home)

Corners for4.3

Corners against4.7

Mirassol (away)

Corners for4.7

Corners against6.4

Recent Trend last 5 matches — total corners

Gremio

Mirassol

12 18 12 11 5

Yellow Cards Line match total, blended estimate

Over 0.5100%

Under 0.50%

Over 1.5100%

Under 1.50%

Over 2.595%

Under 2.55%

Expected total yellow cards (blended average)5.3

Yellow Cards per Team

Gremio (home)

For2.7

Mirassol (away)

For2.5

Shots per Game

Gremio — total shots (home)14.4

Mirassol — total shots (away)13.0

Shots on Target

Gremio — on target (home)5.2

Mirassol — on target (away)4.0

Shot Location Split avg per match, season

Gremio

Inside the box7.21

Outside the box5.03

Mirassol

Inside the box8.61

Outside the box5.16

Player Shots Gremio

Carlos Vinícius

Shots on Target/Game1.1

+0.5 On Target64%

+1.5 On Target36%

M. Braithwaite

Shots on Target/Game0.9

+0.5 On Target67%

+1.5 On Target17%

F. Amuzu

Shots on Target/Game0.8

+0.5 On Target45%

+1.5 On Target18%

André Henrique

Shots on Target/Game0.6

+0.5 On Target44%

+1.5 On Target16%

M. Arezo

Shots on Target/Game0.5

+0.5 On Target25%

+1.5 On Target25%

Player Shots Mirassol

Reinaldo

Shots on Target/Game0.9

+0.5 On Target56%

+1.5 On Target21%

Renato Marques

Shots on Target/Game0.8

+0.5 On Target50%

+1.5 On Target17%

Gabriel

Shots on Target/Game0.6

+0.5 On Target40%

+1.5 On Target12%

Cristian

Shots on Target/Game0.6

+0.5 On Target44%

+1.5 On Target16%

Negueba

Shots on Target/Game0.6

+0.5 On Target52%

+1.5 On Target9%

Probabilities are each player's own historical rate this season (minimum 3 matches played), not a joint match forecast.

Expected Goals (xG)

Gremio xG (home)1.29

Mirassol xG (away)1.49

Average Possession

45.16% Possession 50.89%

Team Comparison Gremio vs Mirassol

82.32% Pass accuracy 83.97%

379.66 Passes per match 422.24

0.22 Goals prevented -0.08

13.37 Fouls committed 12.18

3.41 Goalkeeper saves 3.46

1.08 Offsides 1.84

17.37 Tackles per match 15.13

League average xG this season is 1.23 per team per match, for context.

Disclaimer: these predictions are generated by a statistical model and do not constitute financial advice or a guarantee of outcome. Bet responsibly and only what you can afford to lose.

PRE-MATCH ANALYSIS

Gremio vs Mirassol prediction analysis

Review Gremio vs Mirassol with prediction probabilities, 1X2, Over 2.5, BTTS, team form, market signals and key performance data from Serie A.

1X2 Over 2.5 BTTS Recent form Team performance Serie A

DataHistorical results, fixtures and performance metrics

Markets1X2, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and trend indicators

AnalysisLeague, team, player and match-level insights