What markets are included in the Gremio vs Palmeiras prediction?

GoalStatsLab may analyze 1X2 outcome probabilities, Over/Under 2.5 goals, Both Teams To Score, corners and cards where enough match data is available.

How is the Gremio vs Palmeiras prediction calculated?

The prediction is based on available football data such as recent form, goals scored and conceded, home and away performance, league trends and selected market probabilities.

Are football predictions guaranteed?

No. Football predictions are statistical estimates and should be used for analysis, not as guaranteed betting outcomes or financial advice.

Prediction Analysis: Gremio vs Palmeiras

Gremio vs Palmeiras prediction based on recent form, head-to-head data, team performance and key match statistics.

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Serie A 2025-11-26 00:30

Gremio

Home

Selected Prediction

Featured Pick

Over 2.5 Goals

Pick

Yes

Probability

39%

Confidence

Medium

Score

1-1

Palmeiras

Away

Prediction Summary

37%

29%

34%

Under 2.5

61%

BTTS No

54%

Confidence

Medium

Market Evidence

Gremio (Home)

Goals scored / match1.26

Goals conceded / match0.89

Over 2.5 rate16%

BTTS rate53%

Palmeiras (Away)

Goals scored / match1.63

Goals conceded / match1.16

Over 2.5 rate16%

BTTS rate63%

Team Form last 5 matches

Gremio

WLWLW

Palmeiras

WWLDD

Goals Comparison rate per team

74% +0.5 89%

37% +1.5 58%

16% +2.5 16%

0% +3.5 0%

0% +4.5 0%

53% BTTS 63%

Model Insight

The selected market is Over 2.5 Goals with a probability of 39%. Model confidence is Medium.

Gremio averages 1.26 goals scored at home, while Palmeiras averages 1.63 goals scored away.

Model Strength

61%

Other Top Markets for This Match

Home Win

37%

Draw

29%

Away Win

34%

Over 2.5

39%

BTTS Yes

46%

Head-to-Head last 5

Nov 2025 Gremio 3 - 2 Palmeiras Home

Jul 2025 Gremio(A) 0 - 1 Palmeiras Away

Nov 2024 Gremio(A) 0 - 1 Palmeiras Away

Jul 2024 Gremio 2 - 2 Palmeiras Draw

Sep 2023 Gremio 1 - 0 Palmeiras Home

In the last 5 meetings, Gremio won 2, drew 1 and lost 2.

Current Streaks

Gremio — unbeaten run (home)0

Gremio — scoring streak (home)3

Palmeiras — winless run (away)0

Palmeiras — clean sheets (away, last 5)1 of 5

1X2 Probability model

Gremio Win (1)37%

Draw (X)29%

Palmeiras Win (2)34%

Goals Over rate per team, own matches

74% +0.5 89%

37% +1.5 58%

16% +2.5 16%

0% +3.5 0%

0% +4.5 0%

Goals Under rate per team, own matches

26% -0.5 11%

63% -1.5 42%

84% -2.5 84%

100% -3.5 100%

100% -4.5 100%

Gremio vs Palmeiras — share of each team's own matches finishing above/below each goal line.

Goal Averages per Team

Gremio — scored (home)1.26

Gremio — conceded (home)0.89

Palmeiras — scored (away)1.63

Palmeiras — conceded (away)1.16

Model expected combined goals2.25

Both Teams To Score

Yes46%

No54%

Rate per Team

Gremio — BTTS matches (home)53%

Palmeiras — BTTS matches (away)63%

Combined (simple average)58%

Corners Line match total, blended estimate

Over 4.5100%

Under 4.50%

Over 5.589%

Under 5.511%

Over 6.587%

Under 6.513%

Over 7.574%

Under 7.526%

Over 8.555%

Under 8.545%

Over 9.545%

Under 9.555%

Over 10.532%

Under 10.568%

Expected total corners (blended average)10.20

Per-Team Corners own matches

Gremio (home)

Corners for4.3

Corners against4.7

Palmeiras (away)

Corners for6.0

Corners against5.3

Recent Trend last 5 matches — total corners

Gremio

Palmeiras

9 13 8 16 14

Yellow Cards Line match total, blended estimate

Over 0.5100%

Under 0.50%

Over 1.598%

Under 1.52%

Over 2.587%

Under 2.513%

Expected total yellow cards (blended average)5.2

Yellow Cards per Team

Gremio (home)

For2.7

Palmeiras (away)

For2.2

Shots per Game

Gremio — total shots (home)14.4

Palmeiras — total shots (away)13.5

Shots on Target

Gremio — on target (home)5.2

Palmeiras — on target (away)5.0

Shot Location Split avg per match, season

Gremio

Inside the box7.21

Outside the box5.03

Palmeiras

Inside the box8.79

Outside the box6.61

Player Shots Gremio

Carlos Vinícius

Shots on Target/Game1.1

+0.5 On Target64%

+1.5 On Target36%

M. Braithwaite

Shots on Target/Game0.9

+0.5 On Target67%

+1.5 On Target17%

F. Amuzu

Shots on Target/Game0.8

+0.5 On Target45%

+1.5 On Target18%

André Henrique

Shots on Target/Game0.6

+0.5 On Target44%

+1.5 On Target16%

M. Arezo

Shots on Target/Game0.5

+0.5 On Target25%

+1.5 On Target25%

Player Shots Palmeiras

Vitor Roque

Shots on Target/Game1.2

+0.5 On Target70%

+1.5 On Target30%

J. López

Shots on Target/Game1.1

+0.5 On Target73%

+1.5 On Target30%

F. Torres

Shots on Target/Game0.6

+0.5 On Target41%

+1.5 On Target14%

Luighi Hanri

Shots on Target/Game0.5

+0.5 On Target36%

+1.5 On Target18%

Andreas Pereira

Shots on Target/Game0.5

+0.5 On Target40%

+1.5 On Target7%

Probabilities are each player's own historical rate this season (minimum 3 matches played), not a joint match forecast.

Expected Goals (xG)

Gremio xG (home)1.29

Palmeiras xG (away)1.49

Average Possession

45.16% Possession 52.34%

Team Comparison Gremio vs Palmeiras

82.32% Pass accuracy 82.21%

379.66 Passes per match 406.61

0.22 Goals prevented 0.13

13.37 Fouls committed 14.61

3.41 Goalkeeper saves 2.95

1.08 Offsides 1.79

17.37 Tackles per match 16.89

League average xG this season is 1.23 per team per match, for context.

Disclaimer: these predictions are generated by a statistical model and do not constitute financial advice or a guarantee of outcome. Bet responsibly and only what you can afford to lose.

PRE-MATCH ANALYSIS

Gremio vs Palmeiras prediction analysis

Review Gremio vs Palmeiras with prediction probabilities, 1X2, Over 2.5, BTTS, team form, market signals and key performance data from Serie A.

1X2 Over 2.5 BTTS Recent form Team performance Serie A

DataHistorical results, fixtures and performance metrics

Markets1X2, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and trend indicators

AnalysisLeague, team, player and match-level insights