What markets are included in the Gremio vs Vasco DA Gama prediction?

GoalStatsLab may analyze 1X2 outcome probabilities, Over/Under 2.5 goals, Both Teams To Score, corners and cards where enough match data is available.

How is the Gremio vs Vasco DA Gama prediction calculated?

The prediction is based on available football data such as recent form, goals scored and conceded, home and away performance, league trends and selected market probabilities.

Are football predictions guaranteed?

No. Football predictions are statistical estimates and should be used for analysis, not as guaranteed betting outcomes or financial advice.

Prediction Analysis: Gremio vs Vasco DA Gama

Gremio vs Vasco DA Gama prediction based on recent form, head-to-head data, team performance and key match statistics.

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Serie A 2025-11-20 00:30

Gremio

Home

Selected Prediction

Featured Pick

Over 2.5 Goals

Pick

Yes

Probability

46%

Confidence

Low

Score

1-1

Vasco DA Gama

Away

Prediction Summary

42%

27%

32%

Under 2.5

54%

BTTS Yes

51%

Confidence

Low

Market Evidence

Gremio (Home)

Goals scored / match1.26

Goals conceded / match0.89

Over 2.5 rate16%

BTTS rate53%

Vasco DA Gama (Away)

Goals scored / match1.26

Goals conceded / match1.79

Over 2.5 rate21%

BTTS rate42%

Team Form last 5 matches

Gremio

WLWLW

Vasco DA Gama

LLWLL

Goals Comparison rate per team

74% +0.5 58%

37% +1.5 32%

16% +2.5 21%

0% +3.5 5%

0% +4.5 5%

53% BTTS 42%

Model Insight

The selected market is Over 2.5 Goals with a probability of 46%. Model confidence is Low.

Gremio averages 1.26 goals scored at home, while Vasco DA Gama averages 1.26 goals scored away.

Model Strength

54%

Other Top Markets for This Match

Home Win

42%

Draw

27%

Away Win

32%

Over 2.5

46%

BTTS Yes

51%

Head-to-Head last 5

Nov 2025 Gremio 2 - 0 Vasco DA Gama Home

Jul 2025 Gremio(A) 1 - 1 Vasco DA Gama Draw

Jul 2024 Gremio 1 - 0 Vasco DA Gama Home

Apr 2024 Gremio(A) 1 - 2 Vasco DA Gama Away

Dec 2023 Gremio 1 - 0 Vasco DA Gama Home

In the last 5 meetings, Gremio won 3, drew 1 and lost 1.

Current Streaks

Gremio — unbeaten run (home)0

Gremio — scoring streak (home)3

Vasco DA Gama — winless run (away)4

Vasco DA Gama — clean sheets (away, last 5)1 of 5

1X2 Probability model

Gremio Win (1)42%

Draw (X)27%

Vasco DA Gama Win (2)32%

Goals Over rate per team, own matches

74% +0.5 58%

37% +1.5 32%

16% +2.5 21%

0% +3.5 5%

0% +4.5 5%

Goals Under rate per team, own matches

26% -0.5 42%

63% -1.5 68%

84% -2.5 79%

100% -3.5 95%

100% -4.5 95%

Gremio vs Vasco DA Gama — share of each team's own matches finishing above/below each goal line.

Goal Averages per Team

Gremio — scored (home)1.26

Gremio — conceded (home)0.89

Vasco DA Gama — scored (away)1.26

Vasco DA Gama — conceded (away)1.79

Model expected combined goals2.53

Both Teams To Score

Yes51%

No49%

Rate per Team

Gremio — BTTS matches (home)53%

Vasco DA Gama — BTTS matches (away)42%

Combined (simple average)47.5%

Corners Line match total, blended estimate

Over 4.595%

Under 4.55%

Over 5.587%

Under 5.513%

Over 6.579%

Under 6.521%

Over 7.566%

Under 7.534%

Over 8.545%

Under 8.555%

Over 9.537%

Under 9.563%

Over 10.524%

Under 10.576%

Expected total corners (blended average)8.90

Per-Team Corners own matches

Gremio (home)

Corners for4.3

Corners against4.7

Vasco DA Gama (away)

Corners for3.5

Corners against5.2

Recent Trend last 5 matches — total corners

Gremio

8 8 8 10 6

Vasco DA Gama

8 12 7 11 7

Yellow Cards Line match total, blended estimate

Over 0.595%

Under 0.55%

Over 1.592%

Under 1.58%

Over 2.585%

Under 2.515%

Expected total yellow cards (blended average)4.9

Yellow Cards per Team

Gremio (home)

For2.7

Vasco DA Gama (away)

For2.4

Shots per Game

Gremio — total shots (home)14.4

Vasco DA Gama — total shots (away)10.3

Shots on Target

Gremio — on target (home)5.2

Vasco DA Gama — on target (away)3.9

Shot Location Split avg per match, season

Gremio

Inside the box7.21

Outside the box5.03

Vasco DA Gama

Inside the box7.05

Outside the box5.55

Player Shots Gremio

Carlos Vinícius

Shots on Target/Game1.1

+0.5 On Target64%

+1.5 On Target36%

M. Braithwaite

Shots on Target/Game0.9

+0.5 On Target67%

+1.5 On Target17%

F. Amuzu

Shots on Target/Game0.8

+0.5 On Target45%

+1.5 On Target18%

André Henrique

Shots on Target/Game0.6

+0.5 On Target44%

+1.5 On Target16%

M. Arezo

Shots on Target/Game0.5

+0.5 On Target25%

+1.5 On Target25%

Player Shots Vasco DA Gama

Rayan

Shots on Target/Game1.1

+0.5 On Target74%

+1.5 On Target38%

Philippe Coutinho

Shots on Target/Game0.8

+0.5 On Target60%

+1.5 On Target17%

P. Vegetti

Shots on Target/Game0.7

+0.5 On Target46%

+1.5 On Target17%

A. Gómez

Shots on Target/Game0.6

+0.5 On Target38%

+1.5 On Target19%

Nuno Moreira

Shots on Target/Game0.5

+0.5 On Target42%

+1.5 On Target8%

Probabilities are each player's own historical rate this season (minimum 3 matches played), not a joint match forecast.

Expected Goals (xG)

Gremio xG (home)1.29

Vasco DA Gama xG (away)1.17

Average Possession

45.16% Possession 54.58%

Team Comparison Gremio vs Vasco DA Gama

82.32% Pass accuracy 86.47%

379.66 Passes per match 481

0.22 Goals prevented -0.15

13.37 Fouls committed 13.18

3.41 Goalkeeper saves 3

1.08 Offsides 0.81

17.37 Tackles per match 13.68

League average xG this season is 1.23 per team per match, for context.

Disclaimer: these predictions are generated by a statistical model and do not constitute financial advice or a guarantee of outcome. Bet responsibly and only what you can afford to lose.

PRE-MATCH ANALYSIS

Gremio vs Vasco DA Gama prediction analysis

Review Gremio vs Vasco DA Gama with prediction probabilities, 1X2, Over 2.5, BTTS, team form, market signals and key performance data from Serie A.

1X2 Over 2.5 BTTS Recent form Team performance Serie A

DataHistorical results, fixtures and performance metrics

Markets1X2, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and trend indicators

AnalysisLeague, team, player and match-level insights