What markets are included in the Gremio vs Vitoria prediction?

GoalStatsLab may analyze 1X2 outcome probabilities, Over/Under 2.5 goals, Both Teams To Score, corners and cards where enough match data is available.

How is the Gremio vs Vitoria prediction calculated?

The prediction is based on available football data such as recent form, goals scored and conceded, home and away performance, league trends and selected market probabilities.

Are football predictions guaranteed?

No. Football predictions are statistical estimates and should be used for analysis, not as guaranteed betting outcomes or financial advice.

Prediction Analysis: Gremio vs Vitoria

Gremio vs Vitoria prediction based on recent form, head-to-head data, team performance and key match statistics.

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Serie A 2025-09-28 14:00

Gremio

Home

Selected Prediction

Featured Pick

Over 2.5 Goals

Pick

Yes

Probability

31%

Confidence

Medium

Score

1-0

Vitoria

Away

Prediction Summary

54%

29%

17%

Under 2.5

69%

BTTS No

66%

Confidence

Medium

Market Evidence

Gremio (Home)

Goals scored / match1.26

Goals conceded / match0.89

Over 2.5 rate16%

BTTS rate53%

Vitoria (Away)

Goals scored / match0.74

Goals conceded / match1.95

Over 2.5 rate11%

BTTS rate42%

Team Form last 5 matches

Gremio

WLWLW

Vitoria

WLWWD

Goals Comparison rate per team

74% +0.5 47%

37% +1.5 16%

16% +2.5 11%

0% +3.5 0%

0% +4.5 0%

53% BTTS 42%

Model Insight

The selected market is Over 2.5 Goals with a probability of 31%. Model confidence is Medium.

Gremio averages 1.26 goals scored at home, while Vitoria averages 0.74 goals scored away.

Model Strength

69%

Other Top Markets for This Match

Home Win

54%

Draw

29%

Away Win

17%

Over 2.5

31%

BTTS Yes

34%

Head-to-Head last 5

Sep 2025 Gremio 3 - 1 Vitoria Home

Apr 2025 Gremio(A) 1 - 1 Vitoria Draw

Dec 2024 Gremio(A) 1 - 1 Vitoria Draw

Jul 2024 Gremio 2 - 0 Vitoria Home

Aug 2021 Gremio 1 - 0 Vitoria Home

In the last 5 meetings, Gremio won 3, drew 2 and lost 0.

Current Streaks

Gremio — unbeaten run (home)0

Gremio — scoring streak (home)3

Vitoria — winless run (away)1

Vitoria — clean sheets (away, last 5)2 of 5

1X2 Probability model

Gremio Win (1)54%

Draw (X)29%

Vitoria Win (2)17%

Goals Over rate per team, own matches

74% +0.5 47%

37% +1.5 16%

16% +2.5 11%

0% +3.5 0%

0% +4.5 0%

Goals Under rate per team, own matches

26% -0.5 53%

63% -1.5 84%

84% -2.5 89%

100% -3.5 100%

100% -4.5 100%

Gremio vs Vitoria — share of each team's own matches finishing above/below each goal line.

Goal Averages per Team

Gremio — scored (home)1.26

Gremio — conceded (home)0.89

Vitoria — scored (away)0.74

Vitoria — conceded (away)1.95

Model expected combined goals1.96

Both Teams To Score

Yes34%

No66%

Rate per Team

Gremio — BTTS matches (home)53%

Vitoria — BTTS matches (away)42%

Combined (simple average)47.5%

Corners Line match total, blended estimate

Over 4.5100%

Under 4.50%

Over 5.589%

Under 5.511%

Over 6.576%

Under 6.524%

Over 7.563%

Under 7.537%

Over 8.547%

Under 8.553%

Over 9.537%

Under 9.563%

Over 10.521%

Under 10.579%

Expected total corners (blended average)8.90

Per-Team Corners own matches

Gremio (home)

Corners for4.3

Corners against4.7

Vitoria (away)

Corners for3.4

Corners against5.4

Recent Trend last 5 matches — total corners

Gremio

8 8 8 10 6

Vitoria

9 10 12 5 12

Yellow Cards Line match total, blended estimate

Over 0.598%

Under 0.52%

Over 1.595%

Under 1.55%

Over 2.592%

Under 2.58%

Expected total yellow cards (blended average)5.3

Yellow Cards per Team

Gremio (home)

For2.7

Vitoria (away)

For3.1

Shots per Game

Gremio — total shots (home)14.4

Vitoria — total shots (away)9.4

Shots on Target

Gremio — on target (home)5.2

Vitoria — on target (away)3.5

Shot Location Split avg per match, season

Gremio

Inside the box7.21

Outside the box5.03

Vitoria

Inside the box6.95

Outside the box4.61

Player Shots Gremio

Carlos Vinícius

Shots on Target/Game1.1

+0.5 On Target64%

+1.5 On Target36%

M. Braithwaite

Shots on Target/Game0.9

+0.5 On Target67%

+1.5 On Target17%

F. Amuzu

Shots on Target/Game0.8

+0.5 On Target45%

+1.5 On Target18%

André Henrique

Shots on Target/Game0.6

+0.5 On Target44%

+1.5 On Target16%

M. Arezo

Shots on Target/Game0.5

+0.5 On Target25%

+1.5 On Target25%

Player Shots Vitoria

Wellington Rato

Shots on Target/Game0.6

+0.5 On Target40%

+1.5 On Target20%

Matheuzinho

Shots on Target/Game0.6

+0.5 On Target38%

+1.5 On Target10%

Aitor Cantalapiedra

Shots on Target/Game0.6

+0.5 On Target42%

+1.5 On Target16%

Renato Kayzer

Shots on Target/Game0.6

+0.5 On Target40%

+1.5 On Target17%

Erick

Shots on Target/Game0.4

+0.5 On Target32%

+1.5 On Target6%

Probabilities are each player's own historical rate this season (minimum 3 matches played), not a joint match forecast.

Expected Goals (xG)

Gremio xG (home)1.29

Vitoria xG (away)1.12

Average Possession

45.16% Possession 41.26%

Team Comparison Gremio vs Vitoria

82.32% Pass accuracy 78.61%

379.66 Passes per match 324.47

0.22 Goals prevented -0.04

13.37 Fouls committed 14.61

3.41 Goalkeeper saves 3.92

1.08 Offsides 1.83

17.37 Tackles per match 14.87

League average xG this season is 1.23 per team per match, for context.

Disclaimer: these predictions are generated by a statistical model and do not constitute financial advice or a guarantee of outcome. Bet responsibly and only what you can afford to lose.

PRE-MATCH ANALYSIS

Gremio vs Vitoria prediction analysis

Review Gremio vs Vitoria with prediction probabilities, 1X2, Over 2.5, BTTS, team form, market signals and key performance data from Serie A.

1X2 Over 2.5 BTTS Recent form Team performance Serie A

DataHistorical results, fixtures and performance metrics

Markets1X2, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and trend indicators

AnalysisLeague, team, player and match-level insights