Prediction Analysis

Prediction Analysis: Grenoble vs Metz

Grenoble vs Metz prediction based on recent form, head-to-head data, team performance and key match statistics.

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Ligue 2 2026-08-14 18:45
Grenoble
Home
Selected Prediction
Featured Pick
Over 2.5 Goals
Pick
Yes
Probability
37%
Confidence
Medium
Score
0-1
Metz
Away

Prediction Summary

1
28%
X
29%
2
44%
Under 2.5
63%
BTTS No
57%
Confidence
Medium

Market Evidence

Grenoble (Home)

Goals scored / match0.82
Goals conceded / match0.82
Over 2.5 rate0%
BTTS rate47%

Metz (Away)

Goals scored / match0
Goals conceded / match0
Over 2.5 rate0%
BTTS rate0%

Team Form last 5 matches

Grenoble
WWDLD

Goals Comparison rate per team

65% +0.5 0%
18% +1.5 0%
0% +2.5 0%
0% +3.5 0%
0% +4.5 0%
47% BTTS 0%

Model Insight

The selected market is Over 2.5 Goals with a probability of 37%. Model confidence is Medium.

Grenoble averages 0.82 goals scored at home, while Metz averages 0 goals scored away.

Model Strength
63%

Other Top Markets for This Match

Home Win
28%
Draw
29%
Away Win
44%
Over 2.5
37%
BTTS Yes
43%

Head-to-Head last 4

Jan 2025 Grenoble(A) 0 - 3 Metz Away
Oct 2024 Grenoble 2 - 0 Metz Home
May 2023 Grenoble(A) 0 - 1 Metz Away
Dec 2022 Grenoble 0 - 1 Metz Away

In the last 4 meetings, Grenoble won 1, drew 0 and lost 3.

Current Streaks

Grenoble — unbeaten run (home)7
Grenoble — scoring streak (home)3

1X2 Probability model

Grenoble Win (1)28%
Draw (X)29%
Metz Win (2)44%

Goals Over rate per team, own matches

65% +0.5 0%
18% +1.5 0%
0% +2.5 0%
0% +3.5 0%
0% +4.5 0%

Goals Under rate per team, own matches

35% -0.5 100%
82% -1.5 100%
100% -2.5 100%
100% -3.5 100%
100% -4.5 100%

Grenoble vs Metz — share of each team's own matches finishing above/below each goal line.

Goal Averages per Team

Grenoble — scored (home)0.82
Grenoble — conceded (home)0.82
Metz — scored (away)0
Metz — conceded (away)0
Model expected combined goals2.17

Both Teams To Score

Yes43%
No57%

Rate per Team

Grenoble — BTTS matches (home)47%
Metz — BTTS matches (away)0%
Combined (simple average)23.5%

Corners Line model prediction

Over 8.554%
Under 8.546%
Over 9.543%
Under 9.557%
Over 10.534%
Under 10.566%
Expected total corners (model prediction)9.20

Per-Team Corners own matches

Grenoble (home)

Corners for4.3
Corners against5.4

Metz (away)

Corners for—
Corners against—

Recent Trend last 5 matches — total corners

Grenoble
6 5 5 8 12

Yellow Cards Line match total, blended estimate

Over 0.547%
Under 0.553%
Over 1.538%
Under 1.562%
Over 2.538%
Under 2.562%
Expected total yellow cards (blended average)3.1

Yellow Cards per Team

Grenoble (home)

For1.9

Metz (away)

For—

Shots Forecast model prediction

Match Total

Over 19.566%
Under 19.534%
Over 22.550%
Under 22.550%
Over 25.535%
Under 25.565%
Expected total shots23.10

Grenoble

Shots Over 9.567%
Shots Over 11.550%
Shots Over 13.533%
Expected shots11.88
On Target Over 3.557%
On Target Over 4.539%
On Target Over 5.525%
Expected on target4.11

Metz

Shots Over 9.562%
Shots Over 11.544%
Shots Over 13.528%
Expected shots11.22
On Target Over 3.555%
On Target Over 4.538%
On Target Over 5.523%
Expected on target4.03

Shots per Game

Grenoble — total shots (home)10.6
Metz — total shots (away)—

Shots on Target

Grenoble — on target (home)3.2
Metz — on target (away)—

Shot Location Split avg per match, season

Grenoble

Inside the box6.71
Outside the box3.5

Metz

Inside the box-
Outside the box-

Player Shots Grenoble

N. Elphege
Shots on Target/Game1.6
+0.5 On Target47%
+1.5 On Target24%
J. Benet
Shots on Target/Game1.6
+0.5 On Target34%
+1.5 On Target17%
M. Mion
Shots on Target/Game1.5
+0.5 On Target8%
+1.5 On Target4%
Y. Diaby
Shots on Target/Game1.4
+0.5 On Target61%
+1.5 On Target12%
G. Paquiez
Shots on Target/Game1.3
+0.5 On Target10%
+1.5 On Target3%

Player Shots Metz

Not enough dataNot enough player match statistics for this squad.

Probabilities are each player's own historical rate this season (minimum 3 matches played), not a joint match forecast.

Expected Goals (xG)

Grenoble xG (home)0
Metz xG (away)-

Average Possession

43.91% Possession -%

Team Comparison Grenoble vs Metz

80.54% Pass accuracy 0%
360.41 Passes per match -
0 Goals prevented -
14.24 Fouls committed -
3.42 Goalkeeper saves -
2.62 Offsides -
17.12 Tackles per match -
Disclaimer: these predictions are generated by a statistical model and do not constitute financial advice or a guarantee of outcome. Bet responsibly and only what you can afford to lose.
PRE-MATCH ANALYSIS

Grenoble vs Metz prediction analysis

Review Grenoble vs Metz with prediction probabilities, 1X2, Over 2.5, BTTS, team form, market signals and key performance data from Ligue 2.

1X2 Over 2.5 BTTS Recent form Team performance Ligue 2
DataHistorical results, fixtures and performance metrics
Markets1X2, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and trend indicators
AnalysisLeague, team, player and match-level insights
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