Prediction Analysis

Prediction Analysis: Groningen vs FC Volendam

Groningen vs FC Volendam prediction based on recent form, head-to-head data, team performance and key match statistics.

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Eredivisie 2025-12-13 17:45
Groningen
Home
Selected Prediction
Featured Pick
Over 2.5 Goals
Pick
Yes
Probability
53%
Confidence
Medium
Score
1-0
FC Volendam
Away

Prediction Summary

1
63%
X
21%
2
16%
Over 2.5
53%
BTTS No
51%
Confidence
Medium

Market Evidence

Groningen (Home)

Goals scored / match1.59
Goals conceded / match1.06
Over 2.5 rate24%
BTTS rate53%

FC Volendam (Away)

Goals scored / match0.65
Goals conceded / match1.88
Over 2.5 rate0%
BTTS rate41%

Team Form last 5 matches

Groningen
LWWLL
FC Volendam
LDLWL

Goals Comparison rate per team

76% +0.5 47%
53% +1.5 18%
24% +2.5 0%
6% +3.5 0%
0% +4.5 0%
53% BTTS 41%

Model Insight

The selected market is Over 2.5 Goals with a probability of 53%. Model confidence is Medium.

Groningen averages 1.59 goals scored at home, while FC Volendam averages 0.65 goals scored away.

Model Strength
63%

Other Top Markets for This Match

Home Win
63%
Draw
21%
Away Win
16%
Over 2.5
53%
BTTS Yes
49%

Head-to-Head last 5

Jul 2026 Groningen 0 - 4 FC Volendam Away
Mar 2026 Groningen(A) 2 - 3 FC Volendam Away
Dec 2025 Groningen 3 - 0 FC Volendam Home
Jan 2023 Groningen(A) 2 - 3 FC Volendam Away
Aug 2022 Groningen 2 - 2 FC Volendam Draw

In the last 5 meetings, Groningen won 1, drew 1 and lost 3.

Current Streaks

Groningen — unbeaten run (home)1
Groningen — scoring streak (home)2
FC Volendam — winless run (away)1
FC Volendam — clean sheets (away, last 5)1 of 5

1X2 Probability model

Groningen Win (1)63%
Draw (X)21%
FC Volendam Win (2)16%

Goals Over rate per team, own matches

76% +0.5 47%
53% +1.5 18%
24% +2.5 0%
6% +3.5 0%
0% +4.5 0%

Goals Under rate per team, own matches

24% -0.5 53%
47% -1.5 82%
76% -2.5 100%
94% -3.5 100%
100% -4.5 100%

Groningen vs FC Volendam — share of each team's own matches finishing above/below each goal line.

Goal Averages per Team

Groningen — scored (home)1.59
Groningen — conceded (home)1.06
FC Volendam — scored (away)0.65
FC Volendam — conceded (away)1.88
Model expected combined goals2.79

Both Teams To Score

Yes49%
No51%

Rate per Team

Groningen — BTTS matches (home)53%
FC Volendam — BTTS matches (away)41%
Combined (simple average)47%

Corners Line match total, blended estimate

Over 4.5100%
Under 4.50%
Over 5.597%
Under 5.53%
Over 6.597%
Under 6.53%
Over 7.588%
Under 7.512%
Over 8.585%
Under 8.515%
Over 9.571%
Under 9.529%
Over 10.553%
Under 10.547%
Expected total corners (blended average)11.30

Per-Team Corners own matches

Groningen (home)

Corners for6.9
Corners against5.0

FC Volendam (away)

Corners for3.0
Corners against7.7

Recent Trend last 5 matches — total corners

Groningen
6 13 11 14 4
FC Volendam
8 14 12 5 7

Yellow Cards Line match total, blended estimate

Over 0.588%
Under 0.512%
Over 1.571%
Under 1.529%
Over 2.550%
Under 2.550%
Expected total yellow cards (blended average)2.6

Yellow Cards per Team

Groningen (home)

For1.6

FC Volendam (away)

For1.2

Shots per Game

Groningen — total shots (home)16.6
FC Volendam — total shots (away)9.0

Shots on Target

Groningen — on target (home)5.4
FC Volendam — on target (away)2.9

Shot Location Split avg per match, season

Groningen

Inside the box9.29
Outside the box6.29

FC Volendam

Inside the box6.74
Outside the box4.26

Player Shots Groningen

Y. Taha
Shots on Target/Game1.2
+0.5 On Target73%
+1.5 On Target33%
T. van Bergen
Shots on Target/Game1.1
+0.5 On Target71%
+1.5 On Target29%
B. Willumsson
Shots on Target/Game0.7
+0.5 On Target46%
+1.5 On Target21%
D. van der Werff
Shots on Target/Game0.7
+0.5 On Target49%
+1.5 On Target14%
J. Schreuders
Shots on Target/Game0.5
+0.5 On Target34%
+1.5 On Target14%

Player Shots FC Volendam

A. Descotte
Shots on Target/Game1.1
+0.5 On Target57%
+1.5 On Target29%
B. Pauwels
Shots on Target/Game0.8
+0.5 On Target63%
+1.5 On Target13%
H. Veerman
Shots on Target/Game0.6
+0.5 On Target50%
+1.5 On Target8%
B. Kuwas
Shots on Target/Game0.4
+0.5 On Target38%
+1.5 On Target6%
R. Mühren
Shots on Target/Game0.4
+0.5 On Target35%
+1.5 On Target3%

Probabilities are each player's own historical rate this season (minimum 3 matches played), not a joint match forecast.

Expected Goals (xG)

Groningen xG (home)1.71
FC Volendam xG (away)1.06

Average Possession

50.43% Possession 44.91%

Team Comparison Groningen vs FC Volendam

78.97% Pass accuracy 77.91%
419.23 Passes per match 361
-0.22 Goals prevented 0.17
10.74 Fouls committed 9.76
2.85 Goalkeeper saves 4.47
1.69 Offsides 1.32
16.34 Tackles per match 16.79

League average xG this season is 1.54 per team per match, for context.

Disclaimer: these predictions are generated by a statistical model and do not constitute financial advice or a guarantee of outcome. Bet responsibly and only what you can afford to lose.
PRE-MATCH ANALYSIS

Groningen vs FC Volendam prediction analysis

Review Groningen vs FC Volendam with prediction probabilities, 1X2, Over 2.5, BTTS, team form, market signals and key performance data from Eredivisie.

1X2 Over 2.5 BTTS Recent form Team performance Eredivisie
DataHistorical results, fixtures and performance metrics
Markets1X2, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and trend indicators
AnalysisLeague, team, player and match-level insights
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