Prediction Analysis

Prediction Analysis: Groningen vs Heracles

Groningen vs Heracles prediction based on recent form, head-to-head data, team performance and key match statistics.

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Eredivisie 2025-08-29 18:00
Groningen
Home
Selected Prediction
Featured Pick
Over 2.5 Goals
Pick
Yes
Probability
60%
Confidence
Medium
Score
2-0
Heracles
Away

Prediction Summary

1
68%
X
19%
2
13%
Over 2.5
60%
BTTS Yes
52%
Confidence
Medium

Market Evidence

Groningen (Home)

Goals scored / match1.59
Goals conceded / match1.06
Over 2.5 rate24%
BTTS rate53%

Heracles (Away)

Goals scored / match0.71
Goals conceded / match2.88
Over 2.5 rate6%
BTTS rate47%

Team Form last 5 matches

Groningen
LWWLL
Heracles
LLLLL

Goals Comparison rate per team

76% +0.5 47%
53% +1.5 18%
24% +2.5 6%
6% +3.5 0%
0% +4.5 0%
53% BTTS 47%

Model Insight

The selected market is Over 2.5 Goals with a probability of 60%. Model confidence is Medium.

Groningen averages 1.59 goals scored at home, while Heracles averages 0.71 goals scored away.

Model Strength
68%

Other Top Markets for This Match

Home Win
68%
Draw
19%
Away Win
13%
Over 2.5
60%
BTTS Yes
52%

Head-to-Head last 5

Jul 2026 Groningen(A) 1 - 2 Heracles Away
May 2026 Groningen(A) 2 - 1 Heracles Home
Aug 2025 Groningen 4 - 0 Heracles Home
Apr 2025 Groningen 4 - 1 Heracles Home
Jan 2025 Groningen(A) 1 - 1 Heracles Draw

In the last 5 meetings, Groningen won 3, drew 1 and lost 1.

Current Streaks

Groningen — unbeaten run (home)1
Groningen — scoring streak (home)2
Heracles — winless run (away)10
Heracles — clean sheets (away, last 5)0 of 5

1X2 Probability model

Groningen Win (1)68%
Draw (X)19%
Heracles Win (2)13%

Goals Over rate per team, own matches

76% +0.5 47%
53% +1.5 18%
24% +2.5 6%
6% +3.5 0%
0% +4.5 0%

Goals Under rate per team, own matches

24% -0.5 53%
47% -1.5 82%
76% -2.5 94%
94% -3.5 100%
100% -4.5 100%

Groningen vs Heracles — share of each team's own matches finishing above/below each goal line.

Goal Averages per Team

Groningen — scored (home)1.59
Groningen — conceded (home)1.06
Heracles — scored (away)0.71
Heracles — conceded (away)2.88
Model expected combined goals3.12

Both Teams To Score

Yes52%
No48%

Rate per Team

Groningen — BTTS matches (home)53%
Heracles — BTTS matches (away)47%
Combined (simple average)50%

Corners Line match total, blended estimate

Over 4.5100%
Under 4.50%
Over 5.5100%
Under 5.50%
Over 6.597%
Under 6.53%
Over 7.588%
Under 7.512%
Over 8.585%
Under 8.515%
Over 9.562%
Under 9.538%
Over 10.550%
Under 10.550%
Expected total corners (blended average)11.40

Per-Team Corners own matches

Groningen (home)

Corners for6.9
Corners against5.0

Heracles (away)

Corners for4.2
Corners against6.7

Recent Trend last 5 matches — total corners

Groningen
6 13 11 14 4
Heracles
12 14 6 13 14

Yellow Cards Line match total, blended estimate

Over 0.594%
Under 0.56%
Over 1.588%
Under 1.512%
Over 2.568%
Under 2.532%
Expected total yellow cards (blended average)3.4

Yellow Cards per Team

Groningen (home)

For1.6

Heracles (away)

For2.7

Shots per Game

Groningen — total shots (home)16.6
Heracles — total shots (away)8.6

Shots on Target

Groningen — on target (home)5.4
Heracles — on target (away)2.6

Shot Location Split avg per match, season

Groningen

Inside the box9.29
Outside the box6.29

Heracles

Inside the box7.38
Outside the box3.74

Player Shots Groningen

Y. Taha
Shots on Target/Game1.2
+0.5 On Target73%
+1.5 On Target33%
T. van Bergen
Shots on Target/Game1.1
+0.5 On Target71%
+1.5 On Target29%
B. Willumsson
Shots on Target/Game0.7
+0.5 On Target46%
+1.5 On Target21%
D. van der Werff
Shots on Target/Game0.7
+0.5 On Target49%
+1.5 On Target14%
J. Schreuders
Shots on Target/Game0.5
+0.5 On Target34%
+1.5 On Target14%

Player Shots Heracles

J. Hornkamp
Shots on Target/Game1.6
+0.5 On Target71%
+1.5 On Target50%
L. Zeefuik
Shots on Target/Game0.7
+0.5 On Target54%
+1.5 On Target15%
A. Hrustić
Shots on Target/Game0.4
+0.5 On Target37%
+1.5 On Target4%
S. Scheperman
Shots on Target/Game0.4
+0.5 On Target31%
+1.5 On Target13%
L. Kulenović
Shots on Target/Game0.4
+0.5 On Target31%
+1.5 On Target7%

Probabilities are each player's own historical rate this season (minimum 3 matches played), not a joint match forecast.

Expected Goals (xG)

Groningen xG (home)1.71
Heracles xG (away)1.18

Average Possession

50.43% Possession 44.71%

Team Comparison Groningen vs Heracles

78.97% Pass accuracy 76.91%
419.23 Passes per match 346.15
-0.22 Goals prevented 0.01
10.74 Fouls committed 13.47
2.85 Goalkeeper saves 4.29
1.69 Offsides 1.38
16.34 Tackles per match 15.85

League average xG this season is 1.54 per team per match, for context.

Disclaimer: these predictions are generated by a statistical model and do not constitute financial advice or a guarantee of outcome. Bet responsibly and only what you can afford to lose.
PRE-MATCH ANALYSIS

Groningen vs Heracles prediction analysis

Review Groningen vs Heracles with prediction probabilities, 1X2, Over 2.5, BTTS, team form, market signals and key performance data from Eredivisie.

1X2 Over 2.5 BTTS Recent form Team performance Eredivisie
DataHistorical results, fixtures and performance metrics
Markets1X2, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and trend indicators
AnalysisLeague, team, player and match-level insights
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