Prediction Analysis: Groningen vs Utrecht
Groningen vs Utrecht prediction based on recent form, head-to-head data, team performance and key match statistics.
Eredivisie
2026-08-09
12:30
Groningen
Home
Selected Prediction
Featured Pick
BTTS Yes
Pick
Yes
Probability
56%
Confidence
Medium
Score
1-1
Utrecht
Away
Prediction Summary
1
47%
X
25%
2
29%
Over 2.5
53%
BTTS Yes
56%
Confidence
Medium
Market Evidence
Groningen (Home)
Goals scored / match1.59
Goals conceded / match1.06
Over 2.5 rate24%
BTTS rate53%
Utrecht (Away)
Goals scored / match1.33
Goals conceded / match1.61
Over 2.5 rate11%
BTTS rate67%
Team Form last 5 matches
Groningen
LWWLL
Utrecht
DWWWW
Goals Comparison rate per team
76%
+0.5
78%
53%
+1.5
44%
24%
+2.5
11%
6%
+3.5
0%
0%
+4.5
0%
53%
BTTS
67%
Model Insight
The selected market is BTTS Yes with a probability of 56%. Model confidence is Medium.
Groningen averages 1.59 goals scored at home, while Utrecht averages 1.33 goals scored away.
Model Strength
56%
Other Top Markets for This Match
Home Win
47%
Draw
25%
Away Win
29%
Over 2.5
53%
BTTS Yes
56%
Head-to-Head last 5
Feb 2026
Groningen
1 - 2
Utrecht
Away
Sep 2025
Groningen(A)
1 - 0
Utrecht
Home
Apr 2025
Groningen(A)
1 - 3
Utrecht
Away
Oct 2024
Groningen
0 - 1
Utrecht
Away
Apr 2023
Groningen
1 - 2
Utrecht
Away
In the last 5 meetings, Groningen won 1, drew 0 and lost 4.
Current Streaks
Groningen — unbeaten run (home)1
Groningen — scoring streak (home)2
Utrecht — winless run (away)1
Utrecht — clean sheets (away, last 5)2 of 5
1X2 Probability model
Groningen Win (1)47%
Draw (X)25%
Utrecht Win (2)29%
Goals Over rate per team, own matches
76%
+0.5
78%
53%
+1.5
44%
24%
+2.5
11%
6%
+3.5
0%
0%
+4.5
0%
Goals Under rate per team, own matches
24%
-0.5
22%
47%
-1.5
56%
76%
-2.5
89%
94%
-3.5
100%
100%
-4.5
100%
Groningen vs Utrecht — share of each team's own matches finishing above/below each goal line.
Goal Averages per Team
Groningen — scored (home)1.59
Groningen — conceded (home)1.06
Utrecht — scored (away)1.33
Utrecht — conceded (away)1.61
Model expected combined goals2.8
Both Teams To Score
Yes56%
No44%
Rate per Team
Groningen — BTTS matches (home)53%
Utrecht — BTTS matches (away)67%
Combined (simple average)60%
Corners Line model prediction
Over 8.564%
Under 8.536%
Over 9.554%
Under 9.546%
Over 10.545%
Under 10.555%
Expected total corners (model prediction)10.30
Per-Team Corners own matches
Groningen (home)
Corners for6.9
Corners against5.0
Utrecht (away)
Corners for5.2
Corners against4.7
Recent Trend last 5 matches — total corners
Groningen
6
13
11
14
4
Utrecht
12
11
7
15
12
Yellow Cards Line match total, blended estimate
Over 0.594%
Under 0.56%
Over 1.577%
Under 1.523%
Over 2.566%
Under 2.534%
Expected total yellow cards (blended average)3.2
Yellow Cards per Team
Groningen (home)
For1.6
Utrecht (away)
For1.8
Shots Forecast model prediction
Match Total
Over 19.576%
Under 19.524%
Over 22.564%
Under 22.536%
Over 25.551%
Under 25.549%
Expected total shots26.90
Groningen
Shots Over 9.581%
Shots Over 11.568%
Shots Over 13.554%
Expected shots14.80
On Target Over 3.570%
On Target Over 4.555%
On Target Over 5.541%
Expected on target5.23
Utrecht
Shots Over 9.566%
Shots Over 11.550%
Shots Over 13.535%
Expected shots12.09
On Target Over 3.560%
On Target Over 4.543%
On Target Over 5.530%
Expected on target4.40
Shots per Game
Groningen — total shots (home)16.6
Utrecht — total shots (away)13.2
Shots on Target
Groningen — on target (home)5.4
Utrecht — on target (away)5.1
Shot Location Split avg per match, season
Groningen
Inside the box9.29
Outside the box6.29
Utrecht
Inside the box10.39
Outside the box4.89
Player Shots Groningen
Y. Taha
Shots on Target/Game1.2
+0.5 On Target73%
+1.5 On Target33%
T. van Bergen
Shots on Target/Game1.1
+0.5 On Target71%
+1.5 On Target29%
B. Willumsson
Shots on Target/Game0.7
+0.5 On Target46%
+1.5 On Target21%
D. van der Werff
Shots on Target/Game0.7
+0.5 On Target49%
+1.5 On Target14%
J. Schreuders
Shots on Target/Game0.5
+0.5 On Target34%
+1.5 On Target14%
Player Shots Utrecht
Ángel Alarcón
Shots on Target/Game1.1
+0.5 On Target64%
+1.5 On Target36%
V. Jensen
Shots on Target/Game1
+0.5 On Target88%
+1.5 On Target13%
G. Zechiël
Shots on Target/Game0.8
+0.5 On Target50%
+1.5 On Target19%
Y. Cathline
Shots on Target/Game0.7
+0.5 On Target46%
+1.5 On Target14%
A. Stepanov
Shots on Target/Game0.7
+0.5 On Target53%
+1.5 On Target13%
Probabilities are each player's own historical rate this season (minimum 3 matches played), not a joint match forecast.
Expected Goals (xG)
Groningen xG (home)1.71
Utrecht xG (away)1.51
Average Possession
50.43%
Possession
46.53%
Team Comparison Groningen vs Utrecht
78.97%
Pass accuracy
78.69%
419.23
Passes per match
398.92
-0.22
Goals prevented
-0.15
10.74
Fouls committed
10.86
2.85
Goalkeeper saves
3.47
1.69
Offsides
1.25
16.34
Tackles per match
16.39
League average xG this season is 1.54 per team per match, for context.
Disclaimer: these predictions are generated by a statistical model and do not constitute financial advice or a guarantee of outcome. Bet responsibly and only what you can afford to lose.
PRE-MATCH ANALYSIS
Groningen vs Utrecht prediction analysis
Review Groningen vs Utrecht with prediction probabilities, 1X2, Over 2.5, BTTS, team form, market signals and key performance data from Eredivisie.
1X2
Over 2.5
BTTS
Recent form
Team performance
Eredivisie
DataHistorical results, fixtures and performance metrics
Markets1X2, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and trend indicators
AnalysisLeague, team, player and match-level insights