Prediction Analysis

Prediction Analysis: Guadalajara Chivas vs FC Juarez

Guadalajara Chivas vs FC Juarez prediction based on recent form, head-to-head data, team performance and key match statistics.

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Liga MX 2026-07-25 23:07
Guadalajara Chivas
Home
Selected Prediction
Featured Pick
Over 2.5 Goals
Pick
Yes
Probability
59%
Confidence
Medium
Score
1-1
FC Juarez
Away

Prediction Summary

1
56%
X
22%
2
22%
Over 2.5
59%
BTTS Yes
58%
Confidence
Medium

Market Evidence

Guadalajara Chivas (Home)

Goals scored / match1.95
Goals conceded / match0.95
Over 2.5 rate32%
BTTS rate41%

FC Juarez (Away)

Goals scored / match1.2
Goals conceded / match1.85
Over 2.5 rate0%
BTTS rate80%

Team Form last 5 matches

Guadalajara Chivas
WLLDW
FC Juarez
LLWLL

Goals Comparison rate per team

77% +0.5 80%
55% +1.5 40%
32% +2.5 0%
23% +3.5 0%
9% +4.5 0%
41% BTTS 80%

Model Insight

The selected market is Over 2.5 Goals with a probability of 59%. Model confidence is Medium.

Guadalajara Chivas averages 1.95 goals scored at home, while FC Juarez averages 1.2 goals scored away.

Model Strength
59%

Other Top Markets for This Match

Home Win
56%
Draw
22%
Away Win
22%
Over 2.5
59%
BTTS Yes
58%

Head-to-Head last 5

Jul 2026 Guadalajara Chivas 1 - 0 FC Juarez Home
Jan 2026 Guadalajara Chivas(A) 1 - 0 FC Juarez Home
Aug 2025 Guadalajara Chivas 1 - 2 FC Juarez Away
Mar 2025 Guadalajara Chivas(A) 1 - 1 FC Juarez Draw
Aug 2024 Guadalajara Chivas 5 - 0 FC Juarez Home

In the last 5 meetings, Guadalajara Chivas won 3, drew 1 and lost 1.

Current Streaks

Guadalajara Chivas — unbeaten run (home)1
Guadalajara Chivas — scoring streak (home)1
FC Juarez — winless run (away)6
FC Juarez — clean sheets (away, last 5)0 of 5

1X2 Probability model

Guadalajara Chivas Win (1)56%
Draw (X)22%
FC Juarez Win (2)22%

Goals Over rate per team, own matches

77% +0.5 80%
55% +1.5 40%
32% +2.5 0%
23% +3.5 0%
9% +4.5 0%

Goals Under rate per team, own matches

23% -0.5 20%
45% -1.5 60%
68% -2.5 100%
77% -3.5 100%
91% -4.5 100%

Guadalajara Chivas vs FC Juarez — share of each team's own matches finishing above/below each goal line.

Goal Averages per Team

Guadalajara Chivas — scored (home)1.95
Guadalajara Chivas — conceded (home)0.95
FC Juarez — scored (away)1.2
FC Juarez — conceded (away)1.85
Model expected combined goals3.08

Both Teams To Score

Yes58%
No42%

Rate per Team

Guadalajara Chivas — BTTS matches (home)41%
FC Juarez — BTTS matches (away)80%
Combined (simple average)60.5%

Corners Line model prediction

Over 8.559%
Under 8.541%
Over 9.548%
Under 9.552%
Over 10.538%
Under 10.562%
Expected total corners (model prediction)9.70

Per-Team Corners own matches

Guadalajara Chivas (home)

Corners for6.8
Corners against3.1

FC Juarez (away)

Corners for4.2
Corners against5.1

Recent Trend last 5 matches — total corners

Guadalajara Chivas
14 7 15 10 21
FC Juarez
11 6 8 9 21

Yellow Cards Line match total, blended estimate

Over 0.5100%
Under 0.50%
Over 1.590%
Under 1.510%
Over 2.579%
Under 2.521%
Expected total yellow cards (blended average)4.5

Yellow Cards per Team

Guadalajara Chivas (home)

For2.2

FC Juarez (away)

For2.5

Shots Forecast model prediction

Match Total

Over 19.577%
Under 19.523%
Over 22.565%
Under 22.535%
Over 25.552%
Under 25.548%
Expected total shots26.83

Guadalajara Chivas

Shots Over 9.585%
Shots Over 11.574%
Shots Over 13.560%
Expected shots15.62
On Target Over 3.572%
On Target Over 4.557%
On Target Over 5.542%
Expected on target5.23

FC Juarez

Shots Over 9.561%
Shots Over 11.543%
Shots Over 13.528%
Expected shots11.21
On Target Over 3.552%
On Target Over 4.534%
On Target Over 5.521%
Expected on target3.85

Shots per Game

Guadalajara Chivas — total shots (home)17.7
FC Juarez — total shots (away)11.3

Shots on Target

Guadalajara Chivas — on target (home)6.2
FC Juarez — on target (away)3.7

Shot Location Split avg per match, season

Guadalajara Chivas

Inside the box9.48
Outside the box6.55

FC Juarez

Inside the box7.32
Outside the box5.03

Player Shots Guadalajara Chivas

A. González
Shots on Target/Game1.6
+0.5 On Target83%
+1.5 On Target33%
Santiago Sandoval
Shots on Target/Game1.5
+0.5 On Target32%
+1.5 On Target15%
B. González
Shots on Target/Game1.5
+0.5 On Target37%
+1.5 On Target12%
E. Álvarez
Shots on Target/Game1.4
+0.5 On Target40%
+1.5 On Target13%
R. Alvarado
Shots on Target/Game1.4
+0.5 On Target47%
+1.5 On Target19%

Player Shots FC Juarez

Madson
Shots on Target/Game1.5
+0.5 On Target40%
+1.5 On Target12%
D. Valoyes
Shots on Target/Game1.5
+0.5 On Target33%
+1.5 On Target17%
D. Villalpando
Shots on Target/Game1.5
+0.5 On Target17%
+1.5 On Target8%
Ó. Estupiñán
Shots on Target/Game1.4
+0.5 On Target52%
+1.5 On Target18%
R. Pizarro
Shots on Target/Game1.3
+0.5 On Target20%
+1.5 On Target6%

Probabilities are each player's own historical rate this season (minimum 3 matches played), not a joint match forecast.

Expected Goals (xG)

Guadalajara Chivas xG (home)1.66
FC Juarez xG (away)1.29

Average Possession

56.65% Possession 48.21%

Team Comparison Guadalajara Chivas vs FC Juarez

85.71% Pass accuracy 81.48%
479.55 Passes per match 367.05
-0.27 Goals prevented -0.25
12 Fouls committed 12.76
2.69 Goalkeeper saves 2.74
2.13 Offsides 1.24
13.95 Tackles per match 13.79

League average xG this season is 1.32 per team per match, for context.

Disclaimer: these predictions are generated by a statistical model and do not constitute financial advice or a guarantee of outcome. Bet responsibly and only what you can afford to lose.
PRE-MATCH ANALYSIS

Guadalajara Chivas vs FC Juarez prediction analysis

Review Guadalajara Chivas vs FC Juarez with prediction probabilities, 1X2, Over 2.5, BTTS, team form, market signals and key performance data from Liga MX.

1X2 Over 2.5 BTTS Recent form Team performance Liga MX
DataHistorical results, fixtures and performance metrics
Markets1X2, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and trend indicators
AnalysisLeague, team, player and match-level insights
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