Prediction Analysis

Prediction Analysis: Guimaraes vs AVS

Guimaraes vs AVS prediction based on recent form, head-to-head data, team performance and key match statistics.

Back to Predictions
Primeira Liga 2025-11-28 20:15
Guimaraes
Home
Selected Prediction
Featured Pick
Over 2.5 Goals
Pick
Yes
Probability
62%
Confidence
Medium
Score
1-1
AVS
Away

Prediction Summary

1
56%
X
22%
2
23%
Over 2.5
62%
BTTS Yes
60%
Confidence
Medium

Market Evidence

Guimaraes (Home)

Goals scored / match1.53
Goals conceded / match1.12
Over 2.5 rate18%
BTTS rate53%

AVS (Away)

Goals scored / match0.71
Goals conceded / match2.35
Over 2.5 rate6%
BTTS rate41%

Team Form last 5 matches

Guimaraes
LLLWW
AVS
DWWDD

Goals Comparison rate per team

76% +0.5 41%
41% +1.5 24%
18% +2.5 6%
12% +3.5 0%
6% +4.5 0%
53% BTTS 41%

Model Insight

The selected market is Over 2.5 Goals with a probability of 62%. Model confidence is Medium.

Guimaraes averages 1.53 goals scored at home, while AVS averages 0.71 goals scored away.

Model Strength
62%

Other Top Markets for This Match

Home Win
56%
Draw
22%
Away Win
23%
Over 2.5
62%
BTTS Yes
60%

Head-to-Head last 5

Apr 2026 Guimaraes(A) 1 - 1 AVS Draw
Dec 2025 Guimaraes 0 - 1 AVS Away
Nov 2025 Guimaraes 4 - 0 AVS Home
Feb 2025 Guimaraes 2 - 0 AVS Home
Aug 2024 Guimaraes(A) 0 - 1 AVS Away

In the last 5 meetings, Guimaraes won 2, drew 1 and lost 2.

Current Streaks

Guimaraes — unbeaten run (home)0
Guimaraes — scoring streak (home)0
AVS — winless run (away)1
AVS — clean sheets (away, last 5)2 of 5

1X2 Probability model

Guimaraes Win (1)56%
Draw (X)22%
AVS Win (2)23%

Goals Over rate per team, own matches

76% +0.5 41%
41% +1.5 24%
18% +2.5 6%
12% +3.5 0%
6% +4.5 0%

Goals Under rate per team, own matches

24% -0.5 59%
59% -1.5 76%
82% -2.5 94%
88% -3.5 100%
94% -4.5 100%

Guimaraes vs AVS — share of each team's own matches finishing above/below each goal line.

Goal Averages per Team

Guimaraes — scored (home)1.53
Guimaraes — conceded (home)1.12
AVS — scored (away)0.71
AVS — conceded (away)2.35
Model expected combined goals3.2

Both Teams To Score

Yes60%
No40%

Rate per Team

Guimaraes — BTTS matches (home)53%
AVS — BTTS matches (away)41%
Combined (simple average)47%

Corners Line match total, blended estimate

Over 4.591%
Under 4.59%
Over 5.588%
Under 5.512%
Over 6.582%
Under 6.518%
Over 7.574%
Under 7.526%
Over 8.562%
Under 8.538%
Over 9.550%
Under 9.550%
Over 10.538%
Under 10.562%
Expected total corners (blended average)9.40

Per-Team Corners own matches

Guimaraes (home)

Corners for4.4
Corners against4.3

AVS (away)

Corners for3.9
Corners against6.2

Recent Trend last 5 matches — total corners

Guimaraes
13 8 8 10 8
AVS
13 9 14 10 8

Yellow Cards Line match total, blended estimate

Over 0.597%
Under 0.53%
Over 1.591%
Under 1.59%
Over 2.574%
Under 2.526%
Expected total yellow cards (blended average)4.6

Yellow Cards per Team

Guimaraes (home)

For2.5

AVS (away)

For2.0

Shots per Game

Guimaraes — total shots (home)13.5
AVS — total shots (away)10.6

Shots on Target

Guimaraes — on target (home)4.1
AVS — on target (away)2.5

Shot Location Split avg per match, season

Guimaraes

Inside the box7.38
Outside the box5.94

AVS

Inside the box6
Outside the box5.03

Player Shots Guimaraes

Gustavo
Shots on Target/Game0.7
+0.5 On Target43%
+1.5 On Target22%
Samu
Shots on Target/Game0.7
+0.5 On Target55%
+1.5 On Target10%
Tiago Silva
Shots on Target/Game0.5
+0.5 On Target50%
+1.5 On Target0%
Nélson Oliveira
Shots on Target/Game0.4
+0.5 On Target35%
+1.5 On Target8%
A. Ndoye
Shots on Target/Game0.4
+0.5 On Target33%
+1.5 On Target8%

Player Shots AVS

Nenê
Shots on Target/Game0.5
+0.5 On Target29%
+1.5 On Target10%
Pedro Lima
Shots on Target/Game0.5
+0.5 On Target35%
+1.5 On Target8%
Ó. Perea
Shots on Target/Game0.4
+0.5 On Target28%
+1.5 On Target8%
D. Duarte
Shots on Target/Game0.4
+0.5 On Target41%
+1.5 On Target0%
B. Akinsola
Shots on Target/Game0.4
+0.5 On Target29%
+1.5 On Target6%

Probabilities are each player's own historical rate this season (minimum 3 matches played), not a joint match forecast.

Expected Goals (xG)

Guimaraes xG (home)1.2
AVS xG (away)0.94

Average Possession

51.38% Possession 39.21%

Team Comparison Guimaraes vs AVS

81.71% Pass accuracy 72.74%
393.65 Passes per match 298.79
-0.11 Goals prevented -0.11
14.53 Fouls committed 13.76
3.12 Goalkeeper saves 3.44
1.94 Offsides 1.52
15.35 Tackles per match 17.09

League average xG this season is 1.3 per team per match, for context.

Disclaimer: these predictions are generated by a statistical model and do not constitute financial advice or a guarantee of outcome. Bet responsibly and only what you can afford to lose.
PRE-MATCH ANALYSIS

Guimaraes vs AVS prediction analysis

Review Guimaraes vs AVS with prediction probabilities, 1X2, Over 2.5, BTTS, team form, market signals and key performance data from Primeira Liga.

1X2 Over 2.5 BTTS Recent form Team performance Primeira Liga
DataHistorical results, fixtures and performance metrics
Markets1X2, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and trend indicators
AnalysisLeague, team, player and match-level insights
Scroll to Top