What markets are included in the Guimaraes vs Benfica prediction?

GoalStatsLab may analyze 1X2 outcome probabilities, Over/Under 2.5 goals, Both Teams To Score, corners and cards where enough match data is available.

How is the Guimaraes vs Benfica prediction calculated?

The prediction is based on available football data such as recent form, goals scored and conceded, home and away performance, league trends and selected market probabilities.

Are football predictions guaranteed?

No. Football predictions are statistical estimates and should be used for analysis, not as guaranteed betting outcomes or financial advice.

Prediction Analysis: Guimaraes vs Benfica

Guimaraes vs Benfica prediction based on recent form, head-to-head data, team performance and key match statistics.

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Primeira Liga 2025-04-19 19:30

Guimaraes

Home

Selected Prediction

Featured Pick

Over 2.5 Goals

Pick

Yes

Probability

54%

Confidence

Medium

Score

1-1

Benfica

Away

Prediction Summary

37%

25%

38%

Over 2.5

54%

BTTS Yes

57%

Confidence

Medium

Market Evidence

Guimaraes (Home)

Goals scored / match1.71

Goals conceded / match1.12

Over 2.5 rate18%

BTTS rate35%

Benfica (Away)

Goals scored / match1.88

Goals conceded / match0.94

Over 2.5 rate35%

BTTS rate53%

Team Form last 5 matches

Guimaraes

LLWWL

Benfica

DDWWW

Goals Comparison rate per team

82% +0.5 88%

59% +1.5 59%

18% +2.5 35%

12% +3.5 6%

0% +4.5 0%

35% BTTS 53%

Model Insight

The selected market is Over 2.5 Goals with a probability of 54%. Model confidence is Medium.

Guimaraes averages 1.71 goals scored at home, while Benfica averages 1.88 goals scored away.

Model Strength

57%

Other Top Markets for This Match

Home Win

37%

Draw

25%

Away Win

38%

Over 2.5

54%

BTTS Yes

57%

Head-to-Head last 5

Mar 2026 Guimaraes(A) 0 - 3 Benfica Away

Nov 2025 Guimaraes 0 - 3 Benfica Away

Apr 2025 Guimaraes 0 - 3 Benfica Away

Dec 2024 Guimaraes(A) 0 - 1 Benfica Away

Feb 2024 Guimaraes 2 - 2 Benfica Draw

In the last 5 meetings, Guimaraes won 0, drew 1 and lost 4.

Current Streaks

Guimaraes — unbeaten run (home)0

Guimaraes — scoring streak (home)2

Benfica — winless run (away)1

Benfica — clean sheets (away, last 5)2 of 5

1X2 Probability model

Guimaraes Win (1)37%

Draw (X)25%

Benfica Win (2)38%

Goals Over rate per team, own matches

82% +0.5 88%

59% +1.5 59%

18% +2.5 35%

12% +3.5 6%

0% +4.5 0%

Goals Under rate per team, own matches

18% -0.5 12%

41% -1.5 41%

82% -2.5 65%

88% -3.5 94%

100% -4.5 100%

Guimaraes vs Benfica — share of each team's own matches finishing above/below each goal line.

Goal Averages per Team

Guimaraes — scored (home)1.71

Guimaraes — conceded (home)1.12

Benfica — scored (away)1.88

Benfica — conceded (away)0.94

Model expected combined goals2.82

Both Teams To Score

Yes57%

No43%

Rate per Team

Guimaraes — BTTS matches (home)35%

Benfica — BTTS matches (away)53%

Combined (simple average)44%

Corners Line match total, blended estimate

Over 4.597%

Under 4.53%

Over 5.597%

Under 5.53%

Over 6.594%

Under 6.56%

Over 7.583%

Under 7.517%

Over 8.571%

Under 8.529%

Over 9.565%

Under 9.535%

Over 10.550%

Under 10.550%

Expected total corners (blended average)10.30

Per-Team Corners own matches

Guimaraes (home)

Corners for7.9

Corners against3.4

Benfica (away)

Corners for6.4

Corners against2.9

Recent Trend last 5 matches — total corners

Guimaraes

10 10 9 19 8

Benfica

10 14 6 8 12

Yellow Cards Line match total, blended estimate

Over 0.5100%

Under 0.50%

Over 1.594%

Under 1.56%

Over 2.585%

Under 2.515%

Expected total yellow cards (blended average)5.2

Yellow Cards per Team

Guimaraes (home)

For2.4

Benfica (away)

For2.2

Shots per Game

Guimaraes — total shots (home)14.9

Benfica — total shots (away)14.7

Shots on Target

Guimaraes — on target (home)4.8

Benfica — on target (away)5.5

Shot Location Split avg per match, season

Guimaraes

Inside the box8.26

Outside the box5

Benfica

Inside the box10.65

Outside the box6.21

Player Shots Guimaraes

Ricardo Mangas

Shots on Target/Game1.5

+0.5 On Target50%

+1.5 On Target25%

Vando Félix

Shots on Target/Game1.5

+0.5 On Target13%

+1.5 On Target6%

T. Borevković

Shots on Target/Game1.5

+0.5 On Target7%

+1.5 On Target4%

Gustavo

Shots on Target/Game1.4

+0.5 On Target43%

+1.5 On Target14%

Nuno Santos

Shots on Target/Game1.4

+0.5 On Target39%

+1.5 On Target15%

Player Shots Benfica

A. Belotti

Shots on Target/Game2

+0.5 On Target50%

+1.5 On Target21%

Tiago Gouveia

Shots on Target/Game2

+0.5 On Target50%

+1.5 On Target50%

Z. Amdouni

Shots on Target/Game1.8

+0.5 On Target38%

+1.5 On Target25%

Arthur Cabral

Shots on Target/Game1.7

+0.5 On Target29%

+1.5 On Target14%

Á. Di María

Shots on Target/Game1.6

+0.5 On Target44%

+1.5 On Target20%

Probabilities are each player's own historical rate this season (minimum 3 matches played), not a joint match forecast.

Expected Goals (xG)

Guimaraes xG (home)1.22

Benfica xG (away)2.23

Average Possession

56.91% Possession 58.38%

Team Comparison Guimaraes vs Benfica

83.32% Pass accuracy 84.06%

461.03 Passes per match 501.68

-0.08 Goals prevented -0.07

14.59 Fouls committed 11.76

1.94 Goalkeeper saves 2.29

1.62 Offsides 3.11

15.53 Tackles per match 18.65

League average xG this season is 1.21 per team per match, for context.

Disclaimer: these predictions are generated by a statistical model and do not constitute financial advice or a guarantee of outcome. Bet responsibly and only what you can afford to lose.

PRE-MATCH ANALYSIS

Guimaraes vs Benfica prediction analysis

Review Guimaraes vs Benfica with prediction probabilities, 1X2, Over 2.5, BTTS, team form, market signals and key performance data from Primeira Liga.

1X2 Over 2.5 BTTS Recent form Team performance Primeira Liga

DataHistorical results, fixtures and performance metrics

Markets1X2, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and trend indicators

AnalysisLeague, team, player and match-level insights