What markets are included in the Guimaraes vs Rio Ave prediction?

GoalStatsLab may analyze 1X2 outcome probabilities, Over/Under 2.5 goals, Both Teams To Score, corners and cards where enough match data is available.

How is the Guimaraes vs Rio Ave prediction calculated?

The prediction is based on available football data such as recent form, goals scored and conceded, home and away performance, league trends and selected market probabilities.

Are football predictions guaranteed?

No. Football predictions are statistical estimates and should be used for analysis, not as guaranteed betting outcomes or financial advice.

Prediction Analysis: Guimaraes vs Rio Ave

Guimaraes vs Rio Ave prediction based on recent form, head-to-head data, team performance and key match statistics.

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Primeira Liga 2025-04-27 17:00

Guimaraes

Home

Selected Prediction

Featured Pick

Over 2.5 Goals

Pick

Yes

Probability

48%

Confidence

Low

Score

1-0

Rio Ave

Away

Prediction Summary

55%

24%

21%

Under 2.5

52%

BTTS No

51%

Confidence

Low

Market Evidence

Guimaraes (Home)

Goals scored / match1.71

Goals conceded / match1.12

Over 2.5 rate18%

BTTS rate35%

Rio Ave (Away)

Goals scored / match0.82

Goals conceded / match1.82

Over 2.5 rate6%

BTTS rate41%

Team Form last 5 matches

Guimaraes

LLWWL

Rio Ave

DDWLD

Goals Comparison rate per team

82% +0.5 53%

59% +1.5 24%

18% +2.5 6%

12% +3.5 0%

0% +4.5 0%

35% BTTS 41%

Model Insight

The selected market is Over 2.5 Goals with a probability of 48%. Model confidence is Low.

Guimaraes averages 1.71 goals scored at home, while Rio Ave averages 0.82 goals scored away.

Model Strength

55%

Other Top Markets for This Match

Home Win

55%

Draw

24%

Away Win

21%

Over 2.5

48%

BTTS Yes

49%

Head-to-Head last 5

Apr 2026 Guimaraes 2 - 0 Rio Ave Home

Dec 2025 Guimaraes(A) 1 - 0 Rio Ave Home

Apr 2025 Guimaraes 3 - 0 Rio Ave Home

Dec 2024 Guimaraes(A) 2 - 2 Rio Ave Draw

May 2024 Guimaraes(A) 1 - 2 Rio Ave Away

In the last 5 meetings, Guimaraes won 3, drew 1 and lost 1.

Current Streaks

Guimaraes — unbeaten run (home)0

Guimaraes — scoring streak (home)2

Rio Ave — winless run (away)2

Rio Ave — clean sheets (away, last 5)1 of 5

1X2 Probability model

Guimaraes Win (1)55%

Draw (X)24%

Rio Ave Win (2)21%

Goals Over rate per team, own matches

82% +0.5 53%

59% +1.5 24%

18% +2.5 6%

12% +3.5 0%

0% +4.5 0%

Goals Under rate per team, own matches

18% -0.5 47%

41% -1.5 76%

82% -2.5 94%

88% -3.5 100%

100% -4.5 100%

Guimaraes vs Rio Ave — share of each team's own matches finishing above/below each goal line.

Goal Averages per Team

Guimaraes — scored (home)1.71

Guimaraes — conceded (home)1.12

Rio Ave — scored (away)0.82

Rio Ave — conceded (away)1.82

Model expected combined goals2.6

Both Teams To Score

Yes49%

No51%

Rate per Team

Guimaraes — BTTS matches (home)35%

Rio Ave — BTTS matches (away)41%

Combined (simple average)38%

Corners Line match total, blended estimate

Over 4.594%

Under 4.56%

Over 5.594%

Under 5.56%

Over 6.591%

Under 6.59%

Over 7.588%

Under 7.512%

Over 8.577%

Under 8.523%

Over 9.562%

Under 9.538%

Over 10.544%

Under 10.556%

Expected total corners (blended average)10.20

Per-Team Corners own matches

Guimaraes (home)

Corners for7.9

Corners against3.4

Rio Ave (away)

Corners for3.4

Corners against5.6

Recent Trend last 5 matches — total corners

Guimaraes

10 10 9 19 8

Rio Ave

10 10 8 9 13

Yellow Cards Line match total, blended estimate

Over 0.5100%

Under 0.50%

Over 1.591%

Under 1.59%

Over 2.582%

Under 2.518%

Expected total yellow cards (blended average)5.1

Yellow Cards per Team

Guimaraes (home)

For2.4

Rio Ave (away)

For2.4

Shots per Game

Guimaraes — total shots (home)14.9

Rio Ave — total shots (away)10.1

Shots on Target

Guimaraes — on target (home)4.8

Rio Ave — on target (away)3.4

Shot Location Split avg per match, season

Guimaraes

Inside the box8.26

Outside the box5

Rio Ave

Inside the box6.79

Outside the box4.26

Player Shots Guimaraes

Ricardo Mangas

Shots on Target/Game1.5

+0.5 On Target50%

+1.5 On Target25%

Vando Félix

Shots on Target/Game1.5

+0.5 On Target13%

+1.5 On Target6%

T. Borevković

Shots on Target/Game1.5

+0.5 On Target7%

+1.5 On Target4%

Gustavo

Shots on Target/Game1.4

+0.5 On Target43%

+1.5 On Target14%

Nuno Santos

Shots on Target/Game1.4

+0.5 On Target39%

+1.5 On Target15%

Player Shots Rio Ave

F. Petrasso

Shots on Target/Game2

+0.5 On Target14%

+1.5 On Target14%

Clayton

Shots on Target/Game1.8

+0.5 On Target74%

+1.5 On Target35%

Koka

Shots on Target/Game1.5

+0.5 On Target22%

+1.5 On Target11%

E. Tıknaz

Shots on Target/Game1.5

+0.5 On Target14%

+1.5 On Target7%

João Novais

Shots on Target/Game1.4

+0.5 On Target17%

+1.5 On Target3%

Probabilities are each player's own historical rate this season (minimum 3 matches played), not a joint match forecast.

Expected Goals (xG)

Guimaraes xG (home)1.22

Rio Ave xG (away)1.07

Average Possession

56.91% Possession 47.71%

Team Comparison Guimaraes vs Rio Ave

83.32% Pass accuracy 79.59%

461.03 Passes per match 389.88

-0.08 Goals prevented -0.09

14.59 Fouls committed 13.5

1.94 Goalkeeper saves 3.53

1.62 Offsides 2.79

15.53 Tackles per match 17.68

League average xG this season is 1.21 per team per match, for context.

Disclaimer: these predictions are generated by a statistical model and do not constitute financial advice or a guarantee of outcome. Bet responsibly and only what you can afford to lose.

PRE-MATCH ANALYSIS

Guimaraes vs Rio Ave prediction analysis

Review Guimaraes vs Rio Ave with prediction probabilities, 1X2, Over 2.5, BTTS, team form, market signals and key performance data from Primeira Liga.

1X2 Over 2.5 BTTS Recent form Team performance Primeira Liga

DataHistorical results, fixtures and performance metrics

Markets1X2, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and trend indicators

AnalysisLeague, team, player and match-level insights