What markets are included in the Guimaraes vs Sporting CP prediction?

GoalStatsLab may analyze 1X2 outcome probabilities, Over/Under 2.5 goals, Both Teams To Score, corners and cards where enough match data is available.

How is the Guimaraes vs Sporting CP prediction calculated?

The prediction is based on available football data such as recent form, goals scored and conceded, home and away performance, league trends and selected market probabilities.

Are football predictions guaranteed?

No. Football predictions are statistical estimates and should be used for analysis, not as guaranteed betting outcomes or financial advice.

Prediction Analysis: Guimaraes vs Sporting CP

Guimaraes vs Sporting CP prediction based on recent form, head-to-head data, team performance and key match statistics.

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Primeira Liga 2025-12-23 20:45

Guimaraes

Home

Selected Prediction

Featured Pick

Over 2.5 Goals

Pick

Yes

Probability

51%

Confidence

Low

Score

1-1

Sporting CP

Away

Prediction Summary

25%

51%

Over 2.5

51%

BTTS Yes

53%

Confidence

Low

Market Evidence

Guimaraes (Home)

Goals scored / match1.53

Goals conceded / match1.12

Over 2.5 rate18%

BTTS rate53%

Sporting CP (Away)

Goals scored / match2.24

Goals conceded / match0.76

Over 2.5 rate35%

BTTS rate71%

Team Form last 5 matches

Guimaraes

LLLWW

Sporting CP

WWWDD

Goals Comparison rate per team

76% +0.5 100%

41% +1.5 65%

18% +2.5 35%

12% +3.5 24%

6% +4.5 0%

53% BTTS 71%

Model Insight

The selected market is Over 2.5 Goals with a probability of 51%. Model confidence is Low.

Guimaraes averages 1.53 goals scored at home, while Sporting CP averages 2.24 goals scored away.

Model Strength

53%

Other Top Markets for This Match

Home Win

25%

Draw

25%

Away Win

51%

Over 2.5

51%

BTTS Yes

53%

Head-to-Head last 5

May 2026 Guimaraes(A) 1 - 5 Sporting CP Away

Jan 2026 Guimaraes(A) 2 - 1 Sporting CP Home

Dec 2025 Guimaraes 1 - 4 Sporting CP Away

May 2025 Guimaraes(A) 0 - 2 Sporting CP Away

Jan 2025 Guimaraes 4 - 4 Sporting CP Draw

In the last 5 meetings, Guimaraes won 1, drew 1 and lost 3.

Current Streaks

Guimaraes — unbeaten run (home)0

Guimaraes — scoring streak (home)0

Sporting CP — winless run (away)0

Sporting CP — clean sheets (away, last 5)1 of 5

1X2 Probability model

Guimaraes Win (1)25%

Draw (X)25%

Sporting CP Win (2)51%

Goals Over rate per team, own matches

76% +0.5 100%

41% +1.5 65%

18% +2.5 35%

12% +3.5 24%

6% +4.5 0%

Goals Under rate per team, own matches

24% -0.5 0%

59% -1.5 35%

82% -2.5 65%

88% -3.5 76%

94% -4.5 100%

Guimaraes vs Sporting CP — share of each team's own matches finishing above/below each goal line.

Goal Averages per Team

Guimaraes — scored (home)1.53

Guimaraes — conceded (home)1.12

Sporting CP — scored (away)2.24

Sporting CP — conceded (away)0.76

Model expected combined goals2.71

Both Teams To Score

Yes53%

No47%

Rate per Team

Guimaraes — BTTS matches (home)53%

Sporting CP — BTTS matches (away)71%

Combined (simple average)62%

Corners Line match total, blended estimate

Over 4.591%

Under 4.59%

Over 5.585%

Under 5.515%

Over 6.582%

Under 6.518%

Over 7.574%

Under 7.526%

Over 8.568%

Under 8.532%

Over 9.553%

Under 9.547%

Over 10.544%

Under 10.556%

Expected total corners (blended average)9.70

Per-Team Corners own matches

Guimaraes (home)

Corners for4.4

Corners against4.3

Sporting CP (away)

Corners for7.5

Corners against3.2

Recent Trend last 5 matches — total corners

Guimaraes

13 8 8 10 8

Sporting CP

9 10 8 11 7

Yellow Cards Line match total, blended estimate

Over 0.5100%

Under 0.50%

Over 1.597%

Under 1.53%

Over 2.588%

Under 2.512%

Expected total yellow cards (blended average)5.8

Yellow Cards per Team

Guimaraes (home)

For2.5

Sporting CP (away)

For2.7

Shots per Game

Guimaraes — total shots (home)13.5

Sporting CP — total shots (away)16.1

Shots on Target

Guimaraes — on target (home)4.1

Sporting CP — on target (away)6.1

Shot Location Split avg per match, season

Guimaraes

Inside the box7.38

Outside the box5.94

Sporting CP

Inside the box11.82

Outside the box5.74

Player Shots Guimaraes

Gustavo

Shots on Target/Game0.7

+0.5 On Target43%

+1.5 On Target22%

Samu

Shots on Target/Game0.7

+0.5 On Target55%

+1.5 On Target10%

Tiago Silva

Shots on Target/Game0.5

+0.5 On Target50%

+1.5 On Target0%

Nélson Oliveira

Shots on Target/Game0.4

+0.5 On Target35%

+1.5 On Target8%

A. Ndoye

Shots on Target/Game0.4

+0.5 On Target33%

+1.5 On Target8%

Player Shots Sporting CP

L. Suárez

Shots on Target/Game1.9

+0.5 On Target91%

+1.5 On Target50%

Pote

Shots on Target/Game1.3

+0.5 On Target67%

+1.5 On Target33%

C. Harder

Shots on Target/Game1

+0.5 On Target75%

+1.5 On Target25%

Geny Catamo

Shots on Target/Game0.8

+0.5 On Target38%

+1.5 On Target24%

Trincão

Shots on Target/Game0.7

+0.5 On Target53%

+1.5 On Target15%

Probabilities are each player's own historical rate this season (minimum 3 matches played), not a joint match forecast.

Expected Goals (xG)

Guimaraes xG (home)1.2

Sporting CP xG (away)2.13

Average Possession

51.38% Possession 61.85%

Team Comparison Guimaraes vs Sporting CP

81.71% Pass accuracy 87.56%

393.65 Passes per match 544.06

-0.11 Goals prevented -0.21

14.53 Fouls committed 12.24

3.12 Goalkeeper saves 2.29

1.94 Offsides 1.62

15.35 Tackles per match 15.76

League average xG this season is 1.3 per team per match, for context.

Disclaimer: these predictions are generated by a statistical model and do not constitute financial advice or a guarantee of outcome. Bet responsibly and only what you can afford to lose.

PRE-MATCH ANALYSIS

Guimaraes vs Sporting CP prediction analysis

Review Guimaraes vs Sporting CP with prediction probabilities, 1X2, Over 2.5, BTTS, team form, market signals and key performance data from Primeira Liga.

1X2 Over 2.5 BTTS Recent form Team performance Primeira Liga

DataHistorical results, fixtures and performance metrics

Markets1X2, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and trend indicators

AnalysisLeague, team, player and match-level insights