Prediction Analysis: Guingamp vs Boulogne
Guingamp vs Boulogne prediction based on recent form, head-to-head data, team performance and key match statistics.

Guingamp
Home
Selected Prediction
Featured Pick
BTTS Yes
Pick
Yes
Probability
42%
Confidence
Medium
Score
1-1

Boulogne
Away
Prediction Summary
1
34%
X
30%
2
36%
Under 2.5
65%
BTTS No
58%
Confidence
Medium
Market Evidence
Guingamp (Home)
Goals scored / match1.12
Goals conceded / match1.29
Over 2.5 rate12%
BTTS rate35%
Boulogne (Away)
Goals scored / match0.82
Goals conceded / match0.94
Over 2.5 rate6%
BTTS rate41%
Team Form last 5 matches
Guingamp
LLLLD
Boulogne
LLLLD
Goals Comparison rate per team
65%
+0.5
59%
35%
+1.5
18%
12%
+2.5
6%
0%
+3.5
0%
0%
+4.5
0%
35%
BTTS
41%
Model Insight
The selected market is BTTS Yes with a probability of 42%. Model confidence is Medium.
Guingamp averages 1.12 goals scored at home, while Boulogne averages 0.82 goals scored away.
Model Strength
65%
Other Top Markets for This Match
Home Win
34%
Draw
30%
Away Win
36%
Over 2.5
35%
BTTS Yes
42%
Head-to-Head last 2
Jan 2026
Guingamp
3 - 0
Boulogne
Home
Oct 2025
Guingamp(A)
2 - 2
Boulogne
Draw
In the last 2 meetings, Guingamp won 1, drew 1 and lost 0.
Current Streaks
Guingamp — unbeaten run (home)0
Guingamp — scoring streak (home)0
Boulogne — winless run (away)3
Boulogne — clean sheets (away, last 5)3 of 5
1X2 Probability model
Guingamp Win (1)34%
Draw (X)30%
Boulogne Win (2)36%
Goals Over rate per team, own matches
65%
+0.5
59%
35%
+1.5
18%
12%
+2.5
6%
0%
+3.5
0%
0%
+4.5
0%
Goals Under rate per team, own matches
35%
-0.5
41%
65%
-1.5
82%
88%
-2.5
94%
100%
-3.5
100%
100%
-4.5
100%
Guingamp vs Boulogne — share of each team's own matches finishing above/below each goal line.
Goal Averages per Team
Guingamp — scored (home)1.12
Guingamp — conceded (home)1.29
Boulogne — scored (away)0.82
Boulogne — conceded (away)0.94
Model expected combined goals2.09
Both Teams To Score
Yes42%
No58%
Rate per Team
Guingamp — BTTS matches (home)35%
Boulogne — BTTS matches (away)41%
Combined (simple average)38%
Corners Line model prediction
Over 8.554%
Under 8.546%
Over 9.543%
Under 9.557%
Over 10.534%
Under 10.566%
Expected total corners (model prediction)9.20
Per-Team Corners own matches
Guingamp (home)
Corners for6.0
Corners against3.6
Boulogne (away)
Corners for3.6
Corners against6.1
Recent Trend last 5 matches — total corners
Guingamp
6
8
8
7
7
Boulogne
9
9
8
8
14
Yellow Cards Line match total, blended estimate
Over 0.597%
Under 0.53%
Over 1.597%
Under 1.53%
Over 2.588%
Under 2.512%
Expected total yellow cards (blended average)4.2
Yellow Cards per Team
Guingamp (home)
For1.9
Boulogne (away)
For1.8
Shots Forecast model prediction
Match Total
Over 19.564%
Under 19.536%
Over 22.548%
Under 22.552%
Over 25.533%
Under 25.567%
Expected total shots22.82
Guingamp
Shots Over 9.571%
Shots Over 11.554%
Shots Over 13.537%
Expected shots12.36
On Target Over 3.558%
On Target Over 4.540%
On Target Over 5.526%
Expected on target4.20
Boulogne
Shots Over 9.555%
Shots Over 11.537%
Shots Over 13.522%
Expected shots10.46
On Target Over 3.548%
On Target Over 4.531%
On Target Over 5.518%
Expected on target3.67
Shots per Game
Guingamp — total shots (home)13.2
Boulogne — total shots (away)11.4
Shots on Target
Guingamp — on target (home)3.9
Boulogne — on target (away)3.8
Shot Location Split avg per match, season
Guingamp
Inside the box8.09
Outside the box4.24
Boulogne
Inside the box6.15
Outside the box3.85
Player Shots Guingamp
L. Mafouta
Shots on Target/Game1.7
+0.5 On Target68%
+1.5 On Target29%
A. Hemia
Shots on Target/Game1.4
+0.5 On Target54%
+1.5 On Target15%
S. Kielt
Shots on Target/Game1.4
+0.5 On Target34%
+1.5 On Target10%
A. Samoura
Shots on Target/Game1.3
+0.5 On Target33%
+1.5 On Target11%
T. Ahile
Shots on Target/Game1.3
+0.5 On Target26%
+1.5 On Target7%
Player Shots Boulogne
G. Capuano
Shots on Target/Game2
+0.5 On Target14%
+1.5 On Target7%
S. Keita
Shots on Target/Game2
+0.5 On Target29%
+1.5 On Target29%
V. Burlet
Shots on Target/Game1.5
+0.5 On Target24%
+1.5 On Target6%
J. Bultel
Shots on Target/Game1.5
+0.5 On Target7%
+1.5 On Target3%
N. Fatar
Shots on Target/Game1.4
+0.5 On Target33%
+1.5 On Target13%
Probabilities are each player's own historical rate this season (minimum 3 matches played), not a joint match forecast.
Expected Goals (xG)
Guingamp xG (home)0
Boulogne xG (away)0
Average Possession
56.5%
Possession
45.76%
Team Comparison Guingamp vs Boulogne
83.96%
Pass accuracy
72.68%
497.21
Passes per match
367.15
0
Goals prevented
0
11.88
Fouls committed
14.38
2.53
Goalkeeper saves
2.42
2.19
Offsides
2.42
13.21
Tackles per match
17.76
Disclaimer: these predictions are generated by a statistical model and do not constitute financial advice or a guarantee of outcome. Bet responsibly and only what you can afford to lose.
PRE-MATCH ANALYSIS
Guingamp vs Boulogne prediction analysis
Review Guingamp vs Boulogne with prediction probabilities, 1X2, Over 2.5, BTTS, team form, market signals and key performance data from Ligue 2.
1X2
Over 2.5
BTTS
Recent form
Team performance
Ligue 2
DataHistorical results, fixtures and performance metrics
Markets1X2, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and trend indicators
AnalysisLeague, team, player and match-level insights