Prediction Analysis

Prediction Analysis: Guingamp vs Boulogne

Guingamp vs Boulogne prediction based on recent form, head-to-head data, team performance and key match statistics.

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Ligue 2 2026-08-14 18:45
Guingamp
Home
Selected Prediction
Featured Pick
BTTS Yes
Pick
Yes
Probability
42%
Confidence
Medium
Score
1-1
Boulogne
Away

Prediction Summary

1
34%
X
30%
2
36%
Under 2.5
65%
BTTS No
58%
Confidence
Medium

Market Evidence

Guingamp (Home)

Goals scored / match1.12
Goals conceded / match1.29
Over 2.5 rate12%
BTTS rate35%

Boulogne (Away)

Goals scored / match0.82
Goals conceded / match0.94
Over 2.5 rate6%
BTTS rate41%

Team Form last 5 matches

Guingamp
LLLLD
Boulogne
LLLLD

Goals Comparison rate per team

65% +0.5 59%
35% +1.5 18%
12% +2.5 6%
0% +3.5 0%
0% +4.5 0%
35% BTTS 41%

Model Insight

The selected market is BTTS Yes with a probability of 42%. Model confidence is Medium.

Guingamp averages 1.12 goals scored at home, while Boulogne averages 0.82 goals scored away.

Model Strength
65%

Other Top Markets for This Match

Home Win
34%
Draw
30%
Away Win
36%
Over 2.5
35%
BTTS Yes
42%

Head-to-Head last 2

Jan 2026 Guingamp 3 - 0 Boulogne Home
Oct 2025 Guingamp(A) 2 - 2 Boulogne Draw

In the last 2 meetings, Guingamp won 1, drew 1 and lost 0.

Current Streaks

Guingamp — unbeaten run (home)0
Guingamp — scoring streak (home)0
Boulogne — winless run (away)3
Boulogne — clean sheets (away, last 5)3 of 5

1X2 Probability model

Guingamp Win (1)34%
Draw (X)30%
Boulogne Win (2)36%

Goals Over rate per team, own matches

65% +0.5 59%
35% +1.5 18%
12% +2.5 6%
0% +3.5 0%
0% +4.5 0%

Goals Under rate per team, own matches

35% -0.5 41%
65% -1.5 82%
88% -2.5 94%
100% -3.5 100%
100% -4.5 100%

Guingamp vs Boulogne — share of each team's own matches finishing above/below each goal line.

Goal Averages per Team

Guingamp — scored (home)1.12
Guingamp — conceded (home)1.29
Boulogne — scored (away)0.82
Boulogne — conceded (away)0.94
Model expected combined goals2.09

Both Teams To Score

Yes42%
No58%

Rate per Team

Guingamp — BTTS matches (home)35%
Boulogne — BTTS matches (away)41%
Combined (simple average)38%

Corners Line model prediction

Over 8.554%
Under 8.546%
Over 9.543%
Under 9.557%
Over 10.534%
Under 10.566%
Expected total corners (model prediction)9.20

Per-Team Corners own matches

Guingamp (home)

Corners for6.0
Corners against3.6

Boulogne (away)

Corners for3.6
Corners against6.1

Recent Trend last 5 matches — total corners

Guingamp
6 8 8 7 7
Boulogne
9 9 8 8 14

Yellow Cards Line match total, blended estimate

Over 0.597%
Under 0.53%
Over 1.597%
Under 1.53%
Over 2.588%
Under 2.512%
Expected total yellow cards (blended average)4.2

Yellow Cards per Team

Guingamp (home)

For1.9

Boulogne (away)

For1.8

Shots Forecast model prediction

Match Total

Over 19.564%
Under 19.536%
Over 22.548%
Under 22.552%
Over 25.533%
Under 25.567%
Expected total shots22.82

Guingamp

Shots Over 9.571%
Shots Over 11.554%
Shots Over 13.537%
Expected shots12.36
On Target Over 3.558%
On Target Over 4.540%
On Target Over 5.526%
Expected on target4.20

Boulogne

Shots Over 9.555%
Shots Over 11.537%
Shots Over 13.522%
Expected shots10.46
On Target Over 3.548%
On Target Over 4.531%
On Target Over 5.518%
Expected on target3.67

Shots per Game

Guingamp — total shots (home)13.2
Boulogne — total shots (away)11.4

Shots on Target

Guingamp — on target (home)3.9
Boulogne — on target (away)3.8

Shot Location Split avg per match, season

Guingamp

Inside the box8.09
Outside the box4.24

Boulogne

Inside the box6.15
Outside the box3.85

Player Shots Guingamp

L. Mafouta
Shots on Target/Game1.7
+0.5 On Target68%
+1.5 On Target29%
A. Hemia
Shots on Target/Game1.4
+0.5 On Target54%
+1.5 On Target15%
S. Kielt
Shots on Target/Game1.4
+0.5 On Target34%
+1.5 On Target10%
A. Samoura
Shots on Target/Game1.3
+0.5 On Target33%
+1.5 On Target11%
T. Ahile
Shots on Target/Game1.3
+0.5 On Target26%
+1.5 On Target7%

Player Shots Boulogne

G. Capuano
Shots on Target/Game2
+0.5 On Target14%
+1.5 On Target7%
S. Keita
Shots on Target/Game2
+0.5 On Target29%
+1.5 On Target29%
V. Burlet
Shots on Target/Game1.5
+0.5 On Target24%
+1.5 On Target6%
J. Bultel
Shots on Target/Game1.5
+0.5 On Target7%
+1.5 On Target3%
N. Fatar
Shots on Target/Game1.4
+0.5 On Target33%
+1.5 On Target13%

Probabilities are each player's own historical rate this season (minimum 3 matches played), not a joint match forecast.

Expected Goals (xG)

Guingamp xG (home)0
Boulogne xG (away)0

Average Possession

56.5% Possession 45.76%

Team Comparison Guingamp vs Boulogne

83.96% Pass accuracy 72.68%
497.21 Passes per match 367.15
0 Goals prevented 0
11.88 Fouls committed 14.38
2.53 Goalkeeper saves 2.42
2.19 Offsides 2.42
13.21 Tackles per match 17.76
Disclaimer: these predictions are generated by a statistical model and do not constitute financial advice or a guarantee of outcome. Bet responsibly and only what you can afford to lose.
PRE-MATCH ANALYSIS

Guingamp vs Boulogne prediction analysis

Review Guingamp vs Boulogne with prediction probabilities, 1X2, Over 2.5, BTTS, team form, market signals and key performance data from Ligue 2.

1X2 Over 2.5 BTTS Recent form Team performance Ligue 2
DataHistorical results, fixtures and performance metrics
Markets1X2, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and trend indicators
AnalysisLeague, team, player and match-level insights
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